Microsoft

includes Microsoft Excel, Microsoft PowerPoint, Microsoft Azure, Microsoft Copilot, Microsoft Outlook, Microsoft Word, Microsoft OneNote, Microsoft SQL Server, Microsoft Windows

13 statements across 10 episodes · 6 bullish · 3 bearish · 8 people on the record · first statement Jun 17, 2025 by Jay Hoag · said 183 times in 43 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Patrick O'Shaughnessy (55), Ben Thompson (27), Dylan Patel (23), Gavin Baker (18), Jeff Horing (7), Dan Sundheim (6), Mitchell Green (4), Jay Hoag (4)

tap a year for its mentions
0075131502520252026episodesmentions
0132520252026episodes it came up in
002.51352520252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 113 mentions in 25 episodes 5 per episode
2025 70 mentions in 18 episodes 4 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Microsoft, oldest first

Jun 17, 2025 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Jay Hoag: Microsoft spent over a decade in a 'desert of disillusionment'
“Microsoft from investor lens sort of wandered in that desert for more than a decade.”
Jay Hoag Jun 17, 2025 ▶ 7:26 Why This Veteran Venture Capitalist Avoids AI Hype | Jay Hoag Interview · Invest Like The Best
Aug 26, 2025 positive
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Liemandt: Trilogy beat Microsoft on 70% of competing offers in 1997-1998
“At the time, I think Microsoft, you know, sort of the peak of their power in 97, 98, 90% of students would go to Microsoft versus any competing company. And against Trilogy, it was like, ah, Microsoft only got 30% and we won 70.”
Joe Liemandt Aug 26, 2025 ▶ 2:09:25 Alpha School's Disruptive Vision for the Future of Education · Invest Like The Best
Sep 30, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Patel: Nebius will make at least $6B gross profit from Microsoft deal
“Nebius is gonna make, like, at least six billion dollars of gross profit off of this.”
Dylan Patel Sep 30, 2025 ▶ 1:14:19 Inside the Trillion-Dollar AI Buildout | Dylan Patel Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Meta and Microsoft failed to build competitive internal frontier AI models
“Because Meta threw a lot of money at it and they failed. Jan LeCun had to leave. They had to have the famous billion dollar for AI researchers. By the way, Microsoft also failed. They did not make such an unequivocal prediction, but they hire, but they bought …”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 43:20 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025
Insight
AI is the first tech market where low-cost production defines success
“AI is the first time in my career as a tech investor that being the low-cost producers ever mattered. Apple is not worth trillions because they're the low-cost producer of phones. Microsoft is not worth trillions because they're the low-cost producer of softwa…”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 11:22 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Dec 9, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Virtually every major software company except Microsoft is failing the AI transition
“This is a life or death decision, and essentially everyone except Microsoft Is failing it.”
Gavin Baker Dec 9, 2025 ▶ 1:15:40 GPUs, TPUs, & The Economics of AI Explained | Gavin Baker Interview · Invest Like The Best
Mar 24, 2026 bullish
Insight
Mitchell Green: Software Moats Come from Distribution and Retention, Not R&D
“Our belief, for right or wrong, is that the competitive advantage of software company has never been about R&D. We're not building semiconductor chips. Like we're not, it's, we're not building biotech and pharma companies. This isn't that it's to build like ch…”
Mitchell Green Mar 24, 2026 ▶ 21:20 Why Now is the Best Time to Buy Public Software Companies · Invest Like The Best
May 13, 2026 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Rao: Anthropic is the only AI lab on all three major clouds and chip architectures
“We are, you know, the only model that's on all three clouds today, we're the only language lab that's using all three of these chip platforms.”
Krishna Rao May 13, 2026 ▶ 38:36 Inside Anthropic's $100 Billion Al Compute Commitment | CFO Krishna Rao · Invest Like The Best
May 20, 2026 neutral
What-if
Microsoft Stock Would Be $800 if GPUs Were Exclusively for AI Labs
“Microsoft probably be an 800 dollar stock today if they were using their GPUs to serve open AI Solely open AI and anthropics capacity instead of using them for their own products.”
Gavin Baker May 20, 2026 ▶ 1:14:24 Watts, Wafers, and the Future of AI Infra | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Jun 30, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Wachen: In-House AI Chip Failure Is Not Existential for Hyperscalers or OpenAI
“Meta won't fail if MTIA fails, Microsoft won't fail if Maya fails, and OpenAI won't fail if Jalapeno fails.”
Rob Wachen Jun 30, 2026 ▶ 56:21 The Two Harvard Dropouts Who raised $800M to take on NVIDIA · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Baker: Microsoft added huge capacity in June that missed Q2 results
“Microsoft, they brought on a huge slug of capacity in the month of June. That didn't even show up in the second quarter.”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 16:15 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 4, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Baker: Hyperscaler Operating Cash Flow Growth Accelerated to 35% Adjusted
“If we look at operating cash flow, not free cash flow, operating cash flow from Microsoft, Meta, and Amazon has reported accelerated from 28 to 32. There are some actually pretty big unusual items now, like these hyperscalers, they always seem to have, like, b…”
Gavin Baker Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 4:45 Why the Markets Are Pricing AI Wrong | Gavin Baker · Invest Like The Best
Aug 18, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Thompson: Power AI Users Cost Microsoft Far More Than $100 Monthly
“I think they had to do it because that extreme of user who uses a ton of tokens and is actually leveraging AI costs way more to Microsoft than a hundred dollars a month. They can't support them, but they want to hold on to this set cost for the vast majority o…”
Ben Thompson Aug 18, 2026 ▶ 25:48 What Happens When the AI Boom Runs Out of Money · Invest Like The Best
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