Jan Wurzbacher

1 appearance on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

14statements → 10claims → 7claims resolved → 100%fully supported → 4/5average certainty → 1.79/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated →

7 supported 0 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 10 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 8 assertions · 1 opinion · 2 insights · 1 disclosure · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 10 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 7 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Jan argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Direct air capture is 1,000x more area-efficient than trees
“If you build machines like we are doing, you can do it on much, much less area. So you are about a thousand times more area efficient. So at the same area where you can take one ton out of the air with trees, you could take a thousand tons out of the air with …”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 10:52 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
100% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Jan Wurzbacher on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Jan Wurzbacher said on How I Built This that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Opinion
Wurzbacher: Carbon removal will match today's oil and gas industry in size
“What we are talking is the creation of a new industry of the size of today's oil and gas industry. That that's basically it.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 23:34 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Direct air capture is 1,000x more area-efficient than trees
“If you build machines like we are doing, you can do it on much, much less area. So you are about a thousand times more area efficient. So at the same area where you can take one ton out of the air with trees, you could take a thousand tons out of the air with …”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 10:52 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Injected CO₂ turns into stone underground within two years
“They have developed this method where they inject the CO₂ in underground porous rocks, where the CO₂ is mineralizing with the rocks, so within two years, the CO₂ is just turned into stone there”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 17:27 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Wurzbacher: Direct air capture will reach million-ton scale by 2030
“This industry is set up to scaling up to the million tons per year scale in the next couple of Years towards the end of this decade. So that's what will happen. We are doing that like a handful of other companies are working towards that.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 20:54 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Insight
Wurzbacher: Reaching gigaton-scale carbon removal requires government mandates and taxes
“95% of the population Would likely only do this when they are forced to it. And that's eventually to get to billions of tons of CO two removal. We need regulation. We need corresponding legislation. We need governmental procurement programs that might be CO tw…”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 32:30 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Removing 10B tons of CO2 via trees requires Europe-sized land
“If we just do the calculation, what about capturing these ten billion tons of CO₂ from the air just by planting trees or doing similar biological methods, then you'll end up with huge areas that you need to fill with new trees. It's like you need something lik…”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 10:18 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Insight
Wurzbacher: Selling captured CO₂ to beverage makers has zero climate benefit
“Like, in terms of climate effects, that market is totally irrelevant. Like, is that a market? Could you grow a sustainable business on that? Yes, sure. So you, we could have decided just to become a small, medium-sized company developing direct air capture pla…”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 14:14 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wurzbacher: Direct air capture will scale and drop in cost like solar
“And that's the same, what has had to happen in our industry, and I'm sure that will happen over the next two decades to come.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 20:06 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wurzbacher: Capturing 1% of emissions requires 750,000 shipping container-sized units
“You would need something like 750,000 containers for that, which Is that a large number? It's actually not a large number. It's actually what goes through Shanghai port in two weeks, right? It's like, it's not a lot compared to global economy.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 22:14 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Disclosure
Wurzbacher: Climeworks is building a capture plant 10x larger than Orca
“Like, based on that, we are now building a 10 times larger plant.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 27:44 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Capturing one ton of CO2 requires filtering 2M cubic meters of air
“Like to take a ton of CO₂ out of ambient air, you need to filter around two million cubic meters of air.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 6:44 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Climeworks sold its first captured CO₂ to greenhouses and Coca-Cola
“Our first Plant we built here in Switzerland, and that is taking, that's still an operation, that is taking CO₂ out of the air to then sell the CO₂ to a greenhouse. They are fertilizing their plants with CO₂, and also to Coca-Cola, who are making sparkling dri…”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 13:16 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Climeworks' Orca plant captures 4,000 tons of CO2 annually
“Everyone has eight containers, so that ends up then with a total nominal capacity of, ah, 4000 tons of CO₂ per year that can be captured.”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 27:27 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher
Assertion Supported
Wurzbacher: Climeworks has surpassed 14,000 direct individual subscribers
“We've had since beginning over 14,000 customers, and that's increasing”
Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 ▶ 31:11 HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
HIBT Lab! Climeworks: Jan Wurzbacher Jun 30, 2022 22m
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