why aren't all 1,222 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
DOE analyses consistently show LNG exports increase domestic natural gas prices
“The DOE itself has been studying the impacts, both economic and environmental, of LNG exports for over a decade now. And even have, like, setting aside the climate impacts These analyses have pretty consistently shown that entire time that increasing U.S. LNG …”
Assertion Partly supported
Pierpoint: 58% of Californians support keeping Diablo Canyon plant open
“I noted that this year, polling in my home state of California showed that 58% of Californians support keeping Diablo Canyon nuclear plant open, and that is very surprising. This has been a pretty staunchly anti-nuclear state for decades, I think, as folks wel…”
Assertion Supported
Wesoff: Only 20-25% of nuclear plant costs come from equipment
“Only 25%, 20 to 25% of the cost of a nuclear site stems from the actual equipment itself, the reactor vessel, the fuel rods. 50% of the cost of a nuclear project is due to the cost of installation, the cost of building reinforced concrete and the steel that's …”
Assertion Supported
Ramanathan: Ongoing Transformer Shortage Continues to Delay Energy Projects
“Because there's a huge shortage of transformers, and it hasn't been a short-term thing. It hasn't been just the COVID years. You know, it continues to be Something that you know, can really affect the timing of projects.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Princeton estimates light-duty EVs will use 3,000% more electricity by 2035
“Princeton University has estimated that we're gonna, ah, light duty vehicles, ah, are gonna use 3000% more electricity by 20 35 than they do today.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: EIA Data Shows Gas-Heated Homes Benefit from 40% Lower Bills
“The EIA's Winter Fuels Outlook... Showing that because of the decline in gas prices, homeowners who heat with fossil gas will on average see 40% lower bills than those that heat with electricity”
Assertion Contradicted
Utility sector faces first electricity demand growth since air conditioning invention
“The truth is, suddenly, the utility industry is going from 40 years of flat and declining load to the first growth moment since the air conditioning unit was invented.”
Assertion Supported
Ørsted cancels two NJ offshore wind projects, taking $5.5B write-down
“Just today, right before we started recording, the Danish developer Orsted said it would ditch two offshore wind farms off the coast of New Jersey because of rising financing and construction costs, and it'll take maybe a five and a half billion dollar write d…”
Assertion Supported
China to add 150 GW solar in 2023, 1 TW by 2026
“China in particular is adding clean energy at an absolutely mind-boggling pace. They're expected to add a 150 gigawatts of solar in twenty-twenty-three. That's roughly five times what the U.S. Is projected to add, and they're projected to top a terawatt of tot…”
Assertion Supported
The US currently lacks commercial-scale green hydrogen production facilities
“We actually don't have capacity to do that in the U.S. Today. There's a lot of Fossil-based carbon-emitting hydrogen in the US today. I couldn't find any, like, commercial scale, like, real operation pumping out green hydrogen yet”
Assertion Supported
Pfund: Global oil and gas subsidies reached $7T in 2022
“So it does, 3.5 trillion is, is a huge accomplishment, and it We're so grateful for it, but it is dwarfed by the seven, seven trillion dollars in twenty-twenty-two that the oil and gas industry has in subsidies.”
Assertion Supported
Pfund: If wildfires were a country, they'd rank fourth in carbon emissions
“And the fires of twenty-twenty in our state wiped out 15 years of progress, and if wildfires were a country, they'd be ranked number four behind China, U.S., and India in terms of carbon emissions.”
Assertion Partly supported
St. John: California Rule Mandates 1.8M Commercial Trucks Go Zero-Emission Over 20 Years
“We've got a advanced clean trucks rule that's going to require all 1.8 million commercial trucks in the state to go emissions free over the next two decades.”
Assertion Partly supported
Del Chiaro: California has 1 GW of distributed residential battery storage
“The largest battery in the world is in California hanging on garage walls. It's a gigawatt worth of energy storage capacity in a distributed fashion.”
Assertion Supported
Senator Becker: California must quadruple emissions cuts to hit 2030 goals
“We're reducing emissions about one percent a year. And even to hit our own 20, 30 goals, we've got to be reducing emissions four to five percent a year.”
Assertion Supported
Del Chiaro: Electricity delivery is the largest expense on utility bills
“The expense to rate payers of delivering those electrons into our cities, piping it into our homes and our businesses, is the largest expense right now on a utility bill.”
Assertion Supported
Del Chiaro: Rooftop solar grew fastest in working-class communities before NEM 3.0
“Our largest growth in our market prior to this NEM III decision was in working class communities in California.”
Assertion Supported
Del Chiaro: AB 643 penalizes utilities from shareholder funds over interconnection delays
“We put forward a bill last year in addition to what Senator Becker did. It was authored by Senator Becker's colleague in the South Bay, Mark Berman, and it was, I believe it's AB six 43, but it would basically require that the Public Utilities Commission penal…”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Only 4% of announced green hydrogen projects are actually funded
“Only four percent Of projects, of green hydrogen projects hydrogen made by electrolyzers are, that have been announced in the last couple of years are actually under construction or have reached final investment stage”
Assertion Supported
Bowman: DOE Launches World's First Direct Government Carbon Removal Purchasing Program
“The notice of intent last Thursday covers that sixty million of the funds will actually go towards direct your capture, but I think what's even more exciting is the Track Two CDR purchase pilot, because this is allocating thirty-five million, roughly over seve…”
Assertion Supported
Risner: Hermosa is only advanced mine that can supply US battery-grade manganese
“And it's also the only advanced mine development that could produce a battery-grade manganese to provide battery-grade manganese for the emerging U.S. And North American electric vehicle supply chain.”
Assertion Supported
EV battery makers can completely eliminate cobalt by increasing manganese
“One is you can completely displace the cobalt in the battery by increasing the manganese content.”
Assertion Supported
Spector: Clean Energy Factories Are the Top Job Creators in Several States
“In many of these states up into like new clean energy factories are the biggest new job creators in the entire state. And we're talking like Georgia, Tennessee you know, West Virginia, like, you know, places that, that are really eager to have these, even if p…”
Assertion Supported
IRA Puts US on Track for 40% Emissions Cut by 2030
“If you average out the outlooks now We're headed for, on the high end of the spectrum, cutting the U.S. Emissions economy-wide, 40% from the 2005 levels by 2030.”
Assertion Supported
BNEF estimates over $120 billion in subsidies for announced hydrogen projects
“We estimated, I think, over a hundred twenty billion dollars in subsidies that could go to all the announced clean hydrogen projects.”
Assertion Supported
Air Products backs strict hydrogen rules while Plug Power opposes them
“Companies were really interested in producing large volumes of clean hydrogen, like air products, and manufacturers of electrolyzers like electric hydrogen have come out in favor of very stringent standards on, on hydrogen production. Whereas others, like Plug…”
Prediction Held up
2030 green hydrogen goals would consume 16% of new renewables
“If about a 20 millimetric tons or so of clean hydrogen are produced globally by the end of the decade, And we got to about 16% of all the renewables we expect to deploy this decade will just go to the production of hydrogen.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lacey: Rooftop solar shaved enough demand to shut down major fossil plant
“And then suddenly you have this finding that rooftop solar can shave enough demand to shut down the region's third biggest fossil power plant.”
Assertion Supported
Naam: Global sales of gasoline-powered cars peaked in 2017 or 2018
“Sales of gasoline-powered cars peaks? Anybody have a guess? 2017, 20 18. It happened already.”
Assertion Supported
Jaramillo: Form Energy's active materials cost under $1 per kWh
“The chemistry is very, very low cost, so it's less than a dollar per kilowatt hour for the active materials.”
Assertion Partly supported
Lott: European Energy Purchases Supplied Russia an Estimated $1B Daily
“Well, those energy purchases have allowed Russia to continue financing their military, supplying an estimated one billion dollars a day to Moscow.”
Assertion Contradicted
Tomlinson: A Texas bill proposed banning all future renewable energy development
“Well, I mean, there was one bill to ban all future renewable energy development.”
Assertion Supported
Tomlinson: Texas lawmakers proposed requiring 50% fossil fuel energy mandate
“One of the proposals was to mandate that 50% of Texas energy must come from fossil fuels. That measure didn't pass, but it kind of set the tone for what followed.”
Assertion Supported
Tomlinson: Wind and solar saved Texans $31B over the last decade
“Well, you know, the Texas Consumer Association says that we saved about thirty-one billion dollars on our electricity bills over the last decade, thanks to wind and solar.”
Assertion Contradicted
Slenk: Modesto City Schools placed the largest US electric bus order
“At his new job with Modesto City School District, he's ordered the largest ever single order for electric school buses in the country.”
Assertion Partly supported
Shah: Vogtle Unit 4 came in 30% cheaper than Unit 3
“When you look at Vogel Unit Three and Unit Four has come in 30% cheaper than Unit Three”
Assertion Supported
Shah: 10M tons of clean hydrogen requires 200GW of renewables
“In order to build ten million tons of hydrogen, you're talking about 200 gigawatts of renewables that have to then be built and then converted into hydrogen.”
Assertion Contradicted
Nichols: Battery-powered planes are already delivering freight between US airports
“There already are battery-powered airplanes that are making deliveries between small airports you know, in this country.”
Assertion Supported
Shah: Advanced reconductoring can triple existing electric grid capacity
“Replacing the existing wire with fantastic new wire that can three X the current grid capacity.”
Assertion Supported
Shah: US adds 2 GW monthly in app-controllable distributed energy assets
“Today we're adding, and we're adding two gigawatts a month to our homes and businesses of things that you can control with an app on your phone, right?”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: New York building fossil fuel bans include commercial kitchen carve-outs
“You know, you go to New York, for example, which has all the local laws which are aimed at, you Burning of fossil fuels inside buildings over the next over the coming years. But there's a carve-out for commercial kitchens. The restaurant industry, the lobby, h…”
Assertion Supported
O'Brien: Broadcast networks lack dedicated science reporters except PBS NewsHour
“The broadcast networks except for the PBS NewsHour, frankly, Don't have dedicated science reporters anymore. They have health, you know, health and medicine.”
Assertion Partly supported
The CIA exploited racial divisions in Guyana to back Forbes Burnham
“As they have done in so many countries, the CIA leaned on racial differences to split the parties into two, and then backed Burnham.”
Prediction Held up
Francetic: Mandatory climate disclosure regulation is still coming to the US
“We knew these disclosures and this regulation was coming, because we could see what was happening in Europe, and we could see that this pressure that was being placed globally on big investors to try to disclose this was gaining momentum in the U.S., even thou…”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: Caesar Rodney Institute is Koch-funded and bankrolls offshore wind opposition
“It's this free market think tank supported by the Kochs that is bankrolling opposition to offshore wind, and that quickly brought him to Facebook.”
Assertion Supported
Lacey: FPL CEO Resigned Amid Campaign Finance and Surveillance Scandals
“Earlier this year, FPNL's CEO stepped down amidst a swirl of scandal at the company, including campaign finance violations, journalist surveillance, and media manipulation.”
Assertion Supported
Adams: LA's clean energy transition will cost between $60B and $80B
“So if you've seen the LA 100 studies, you've seen it's got a 60 to eighty billion dollar price tag, which over time is not unreasonable.”
Assertion Supported
Kra: Silicon Valley Bank was the leading lender in climate tech
“That enabled, that empowered Silicon Valley, that helped make Silicon Valley better at starting really amazing companies, and in climate tech, they were the leading lending partner out there.”