Dr. Melissa Lott

Partner for Energy Technologies, Microsoft · 4 appearances on the record.

computed by AI from the episodes · how this works → · full disclaimer →

engineeracademicexecutivehostscientist@mclott ↗LinkedIn ↗energypolicy.columbia.edu/dr-melissa-c-lott ↗

Dr. Melissa C. Lott leads energy technology innovation at Microsoft, focusing on clean, firm power solutions and datacenter decarbonization. She previously served as Director of Research at Columbia University's Center on Global Energy Policy and hosted The Big Switch podcast.

19statements → 19claims → 17claims resolved → 71%fully supported → 3.63/5average certainty → 1.74/5average debate potential →

12 supported 3 partly supported 2 contradicted 2 not checkable as stated how the 19 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

3 predictions · 16 assertions · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 19 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 17 are resolved, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Dr. argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Lott: CARB mandates all new car sales be zero-emission by 2035
“Transportation is the biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions in California, but on August 25th of this year, CARB, which stands for the California Air Resources Board, which is this organization that deals with regulating air quality in California, well, C…”
Dr. Melissa Lott May 10, 2023 ▶ 2:56 The Big Switch: California’s climate czar on banning gas cars

Their most notable contradicted claim

Assertion Contradicted
Lott: Central Bank of Russia Was Blocked From Over $400B Abroad
“And the Central Bank of Russia was blocked from accessing more than four hundred billion that it held abroad.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 5:46 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
100% certainty 2
83% certainty 3
77% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Dr. Melissa Lott on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Dr. Melissa Lott said on the Green Blueprint that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Assertion Supported
Lott: CARB mandates all new car sales be zero-emission by 2035
“Transportation is the biggest source of greenhouse gas emissions in California, but on August 25th of this year, CARB, which stands for the California Air Resources Board, which is this organization that deals with regulating air quality in California, well, C…”
Dr. Melissa Lott May 10, 2023 ▶ 2:56 The Big Switch: California’s climate czar on banning gas cars
Prediction Held up
Lott: Up to 17 states tied to California rules may ban gas cars
“New York is also banning gas-powered car sales by twenty-thirty-five, and soon, as many as 17 other states, like Washington and Massachusetts, which currently have vehicle emissions standards tied to California's, may follow suit.”
Dr. Melissa Lott May 10, 2023 ▶ 4:19 The Big Switch: California’s climate czar on banning gas cars
Assertion Partly supported
Lott: European Energy Purchases Supplied Russia an Estimated $1B Daily
“Well, those energy purchases have allowed Russia to continue financing their military, supplying an estimated one billion dollars a day to Moscow.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 6:21 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lott: Direct molten oxide electrolysis could eventually outcompete green hydrogen
“If the technology improves fast enough, it could outcompete hydrogen, but it's got a long way to go.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Aug 31, 2022 ▶ 21:48 The Big Switch: The Race to Green Steel
Assertion Supported
Lott: Germany sourced over half its natural gas from Russia in 2022
“When Russia invaded Ukraine last year, Germany was getting more than half of its gas from Russia.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 16:19 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis
Assertion Supported
Lott: Chancellor Gerhard Schröder solidified plans for Nord Stream 1
“And from 1998 to 2005, German Chancellor Gerhard Schroeder pushed the hardest. He's the one who helped solidify plans for a pipeline from Russia called Nord Stream One.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 19:10 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis
Assertion Partly supported
Lott: Europe's pivot from Russian fuels caused greenhouse emissions increase
“As Europe reduced its dependence on Russian fossil fuels, it saw its greenhouse gas emissions increase. As it shifted its energy sources.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 33:45 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis
Assertion Supported
Lott: CARB projects 9.5 million fewer gas cars sold by 2035
“The agency estimates that by twenty-thirty-five, the regulation will result And 9.5 million fewer gas powered cars being sold.”
Dr. Melissa Lott May 10, 2023 ▶ 3:47 The Big Switch: California’s climate czar on banning gas cars
Assertion Supported
Lott: Rule avoids $13B in pollution health costs by 2040
“According to CARB, the regulation will reduce deaths associated with pollution exposure and save Californians the equivalent of thirteen billion dollars in avoided health costs due to pollution from 2026 to 20 40.”
Dr. Melissa Lott May 10, 2023 ▶ 4:03 The Big Switch: California’s climate czar on banning gas cars
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lott: Coal power remains economically competitive in pockets of the American West
“So there's some parts of the country I'm thinking about some pockets in the West where actually coal still makes it in the market. It's still competitive. It's still alive.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 12:04 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Prediction Held up
Lott: 2021 US coal power resurgence will be short-term
“So I can't see coal roaring back to its glory days of a few decades ago. I don't think anyone sees that. I personally think it'll be shorter term.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 13:46 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Assertion Supported
Lott: One in three Americans is currently energy insecure
“I think about the one in three Americans that are currently energy insecure in this country right now. They either can't pay their bills or they're not turning on their air conditioning or heating and making their home healthy to be in because they know they c…”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 14:51 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Assertion Contradicted
Lott: Central Bank of Russia Was Blocked From Over $400B Abroad
“And the Central Bank of Russia was blocked from accessing more than four hundred billion that it held abroad.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 5:46 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis
Assertion Supported
Dr. Lott: Decarbonizing steel would cut global carbon emissions by 8%
“Cleaning up the steel industry would mean that we could cut global carbon pollution by eight percent. That's more than the total greenhouse gas emissions from India.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Aug 31, 2022 ▶ 3:23 The Big Switch: The Race to Green Steel
Assertion Supported
Lott: Freight trucks drove a post-pandemic rebound in US diesel demand
“And, you know, we can see in transportation that, like, diesel demand is really up again. And this is coming from a lot of freight, a lot of trucks on the road, moving goods around, moving all that stuff that we're buying.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 1:58 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Assertion Supported
Lott: US transportation emissions dropped 15% in 2020, then rebounded 10%
“So, transportation had decreased overall by, I think, was 15% from 2019 to 20 20, and we've seen it come back by 10%.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 5:43 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Assertion Supported
Lott: US electric power emissions rebounded 6.5% after a 10% drop
“So that's back up overall, you know, went down 10% and it's back up six and a half percent.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 6:24 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Assertion Contradicted
Lott: US passenger gasoline demand remained flat in 2021 despite predictions
“Overall, I think what is surprising to some, maybe surprising to a lot of people, is that if you look at gasoline demand for passenger transport, it's actually been pretty [440] SPEAKER_05: Flat. [441] Dr. Melissa Lott: So some people were saying, oh, it's goi…”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jan 26, 2022 ▶ 7:10 Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly
Assertion Partly supported
Lott: Germany was the world's third-largest coal producer in 1951
“And Germany was the Biggest producer of coal in the world behind the U.S. And Great Britain.”
Dr. Melissa Lott Jul 6, 2023 ▶ 9:25 A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis

Appearances (4)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
A new narrative series on the origins of Europe's energy crisis Jul 6, 2023 16m
The Big Switch: California’s climate czar on banning gas cars May 10, 2023 5m
The Big Switch: The Race to Green Steel Aug 31, 2022 9m
Why US carbon emissions are rising quickly Jan 26, 2022 8m
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