Dr. Sue Natale discusses global permafrost thaw projections under ambitious climate action versus business-as-usual scenarios.
0:00 / 0:30exact quote · 30.8s
720p mp4 · rendered on demand · StarZero watermark
“There's a, there's an Kind of a range of possibilities for how much permafrost will thaw, say, by 2100, and number of different, based on a number of different models, but the range always stays somewhere between 30 to 70%, something like that, and I think about that number a lot because that doesn't mean, like, we don't know what the number is. It could be 30, it could be 70. It's the 30% is actually if we take really ambitious, ambitious climate action, right? So some is going to thaw, it's going to be 30%. If we do nothing and continue as we are now, that's 70%.”
quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading:
filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard
(the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →
More from Dr. Sue Natale
AssertionSupported
Natale: Most climate models omit permafrost or ignore abrupt thaw and wildfires
“Many of the models either don't include permafrost at all. The very few that do don't account for these abrupt ground collapses that are happening. They don't account for the impact of wildfire and permafrost, which can greatly accelerate thaw.”
Dr. Sue NataleJul 13, 2022▶ 12:04The climate wild card: permafrost
“It's about 1.5 trillion tons of carbon. So every tree and every forest on the planet, it's three times more carbon than that that's stored in permafrost. And almost twice as much carbon stored in permafrost than is in the atmosphere.”
Dr. Sue NataleJul 13, 2022▶ 1:19The climate wild card: permafrost
AssertionSupported
Natale: 15% of Northern Hemisphere Land Area Underlain by Permafrost
“15% of the northern hemisphere land areas underlain by permafrost.”
Dr. Sue NataleJul 13, 2022▶ 3:55The climate wild card: permafrost
AssertionPartly supported
Natale: Viable Seeds Thousands of Years Old Discovered in Permafrost
“They found seeds from permafrost that are still viable, that are thousands of years old.”
Dr. Sue NataleJul 13, 2022▶ 5:05The climate wild card: permafrost
AssertionNot checkable as stated
Natale: Arctic Communities First Noticed Permafrost Thaw Through Collapsing Ice Cellars
“People who live on permafrost were, you know, the first ones really noticing what's happening because their ice cellars were, weren't functioning, right? And they were starting to collapse and the food, food was going bad and just, you know, meat that the peop…”
Dr. Sue NataleJul 13, 2022▶ 5:16The climate wild card: permafrost
AssertionSupported
Natale: The Arctic is warming at least three times faster than global average
“It's, you know, warming at least three times faster than the rest of the planet in the Arctic”
Dr. Sue NataleJul 13, 2022▶ 6:14The climate wild card: permafrost
Made with StarZero
Turn any episode into a week of clips.
This entire site, over 100 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable,
runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the
moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.
We use essential cookies to make the site work. With your permission we
also use analytics cookies (Google Analytics and Mixpanel) to understand
usage and improve StarZero. See our Cookie Policy.