The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions

0due for another look

0closed calls →

474days to next prediction date

Everyone Ramez Naam (5)Dacia Leone (5)Stephen Lacey (4)Rick Needham (4)John O'Donnell (4)Jigar Shah (4)Tadeu Carneiro (3)Steve Cotton (3)Saritha Paruri (3)Katherine Hamilton (3)Yayoi Sekine (2)Will Hazlip (2)

drag to pan · pinch, buttons, or ⌘/ctrl scroll to zoom

today 2026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 1 call beyond 2029 →

Next up (2)

474 days left 2027-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027

Needham: CFS will demonstrate commercial net energy gain by 2027

“We're building a plant just about an hour west of here that in 2027 will show net energy gain in a commercially relevant architecture.”

Rick Needham Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 7:56 The tape that led to a fusion breakthrough

3031 days left 2034-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2034

Needham: First commercial CFS fusion plant will launch in early 2030s

“Early 20 thirties. That means probably within a few, not 2030, but probably within a few years of 2030.”

Rick Needham Jun 18, 2025 ▶ 40:47 The tape that led to a fusion breakthrough

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 100 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.

The Calls

Next up (2)

Turn any episode into a week of clips.