direct air capture

13 statements across 8 episodes · 7 bullish · 1 bearish · 9 people on the record · first statement Mar 29, 2022 by Sheldon Kimber · across every show →

Everything said about direct air capture, oldest first

Mar 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Kimber: Direct air capture costs will drop to $100-$200 per ton
“There are plenty of them out there at industrial scales that will definitely get down into the, you know, 102 hundred dollar, you know, a ton kind of level, at which point capture becomes your backstop technology, if you will, and it will set the price point a…”
Sheldon Kimber Mar 29, 2022 ▶ 8:26 The ‘inevitable industries’ that will decarbonize the world [branded content]
Mar 29, 2022 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2072
Kimber: Five clean energy sectors will become multi-hundred-billion industries
“So, you know, those five industries are what we've identified as, you know, the areas where we think there is inevitable growth in the sort of hundreds of billions of dollars. These are industries that could easily be some of the largest industries that our pl…”
Sheldon Kimber Mar 29, 2022 ▶ 4:08 The ‘inevitable industries’ that will decarbonize the world [branded content]
Dec 6, 2022 neutral
Assertion Supported
Friedman: Direct air capture costs roughly $600 per ton
“Direct air capture, say, is on the order of 600 dollars a ton. A good biochar project might be on the order of 150 dollars a ton. A good biomass with carbon capture project might be between 153 hundred dollars a ton.”
Julio Friedman Dec 6, 2022 ▶ 24:13 A breakout year for carbon removal?
Aug 23, 2023 positive
Assertion Partly supported
Bowman: DAC Uses Less Land and Captures Carbon Faster Than Trees
“But if we're talking about the square footage it requires to, you know, plant trees and have that carbon dioxide removed over time versus the square footage it requires, or a DAC unit might require to remove carbon dioxide in a given time, the DAC unit is goin…”
Savvy Bowman Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 10:15 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Aug 23, 2023 positive
Assertion Supported
Lacey: US Unveils $1.2B in Direct Air Capture Hub Funding
“The Inflation Reduction Act expanded tax credits for the technology, and this month the Biden administration unveiled 1.2 billion dollars in funding for hubs to support direct air capture projects, plus thirteen million dollars for 23 different R&D projects in…”
Stephen Lacey Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 15:18 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Aug 23, 2023 bullish
Assertion Supported
Bowman: DOE Launches World's First Direct Government Carbon Removal Purchasing Program
“The notice of intent last Thursday covers that sixty million of the funds will actually go towards direct your capture, but I think what's even more exciting is the Track Two CDR purchase pilot, because this is allocating thirty-five million, roughly over seve…”
Savvy Bowman Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 19:33 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Aug 23, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Bowman: Global Direct Air Capture Capacity Sits at 7,000 Tons Annually
“DAC is actually currently Hovering around 7000 metric tons annually globally.”
Savvy Bowman Aug 23, 2023 ▶ 8:33 As debate over carbon removal swirls, America steps up funding
Jan 17, 2024 bearish
Opinion
Kra: Many DAC startups lack a credible pathway to $100 per ton
“I think eventually investors are going to look at, do you have a credible path to getting to like a hundred bucks a ton? Of removal. And I think there's a large number of players who don't have a credible pathway to getting there, even if you make big assumpti…”
Gabriel Kra Jan 17, 2024 ▶ 36:07 Venture investors riff on headwinds, hype, and wildcards of 2023
Jun 3, 2024
Insight
Patel: Scaling climate tech requires process engineering over pure science
“However, the capabilities and the requirements to move to the next levels of scaling and to do it as quickly as possible, they move very quickly from technical insight and technical capability, particularly scientific insight and scientific capability, into th…”
Mark Patel Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 10:33 A macro view on the state of climate tech
Jan 8, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Chan: Climeworks has moved past FOAK to fourth-of-a-kind DAC plants
“A lot of direct air capture is currently in its first of a kind stage, but we do, and Climax has been able to show that now we're past that original folk valley, and now we're up to a fourth of a kind, which is still a folk, but a fourth, and this should reall…”
Doug Chan Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 32:24 Building the world’s biggest DAC facility
Jan 8, 2025
Insight
Chan: Scaling direct air capture to billions requires non-recourse debt
“As companies look to get to scale, especially in direct air capture, and once you get to like triple digit, or even triple digit millions, or billions of dollars of capex, debt financing, non-recourse financing is, is ultimately going to be needed.”
Doug Chan Jan 8, 2025 ▶ 8:18 Building the world’s biggest DAC facility
Nov 19, 2025 positive
Disclosure
Captura's direct ocean capture system runs on intermittent or curtailed energy
“Direct air capture typically requires a continuous level of power. We've designed our system to work with very intermittent and even curtailed energy for the majority, if not potentially all, of our energy use.”
Steve Oldham Nov 19, 2025 ▶ 6:34 Captura's high-stakes gamble
Dec 12, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Direct air capture and marine CDR will not scale before 2030
“What is the next generation of direct air capture look like? What is the next generation of marine CDR look like? Those are pathways that aren't going to be so big on our 20 30 timescale, but really important in 2035 by 20 40.”
Phil Goodman Dec 12, 2025 ▶ 9:49 Inside Microsoft’s plan to remove 50 years of carbon emissions
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