why aren't all 363 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Insight
Leone: Founders must architect boards the same way they architect products
“Choose to architect your board the same way you architect your product.”
Insight
Reil: Scaling military drone usage requires autonomous AI flight over manual operators
“If you really want scale drone usage, they have to fly autonomously. You want to have a human surveying them, looking at what they're doing, and being on or in the loop, but the drones themselves need to be AI controlled and autonomous. It's the only way to ge…”
Insight
Reil: 95% of company success comes from aggression and ambition
“I think it's 95% of a company's success is that. Everything else, like I said, is excuses. So regulation doesn't matter.”
Insight
Reil: The desire for conflict is partly hardwired and genetic
“I do think it's in human nature to have at least parts of the population that want to have conflict, that enjoy conflict, that want to you know, increase their sphere of influence sometimes You know, that is political. Sometimes it's geographical. Sometimes yo…”
Insight
Altman: Running a company is much harder than investing
“Having done both, I think I can say it's like much, much, much harder to run a company than being an investor.”
Insight
Altman: AI products have neglected context in favor of raw intelligence
“So I think we've focused Correctly. So much on model intelligence that on the product side, we have not yet thought enough about what it means to give a model more context than any person could have and help advise that person on, on their big decisions.”
Insight
Altman: Founders learn way more from success than from failure
“You learned some lessons from failure, but I think you learned way more from success.”
Insight
Altman: External demos for eminent guests motivate researchers better than fake deadlines
“We also learned the incredible power of external demos for like an eminent person that the researchers really wanted to impress. And then we learned a bunch of things that like didn't work like fake deadlines.”
Insight
Kalanick: Expanding a tech business into China requires starting from scratch
“What you learn when you go and do what we did in China is you learn that when you go and take your business and go to China, you have to start over. So many people think that you can take your business and take it somewhere, which by the way, Uber kind of like…”
Insight
Kalanick: Anti-competitive behavior is only legal if regulators do it for you
“Being anti-competitive is illegal in the United States, unless you get a government official or regulator to do it for you, then it's legal.”
Insight
Kalanick: Founders must draw power from being bothered by wrong outcomes
“You have to be careful of the ease at which you walk through it, because there is an extra power in being bothered by something that is wrong. You can get too used to wrong things happening.”
Insight
Kalanick: Humanoids belong in low-scale domestic settings, not industrial automation
“Humanoids have their place, which is let's call it low scale tasks in human design environments designed for humans.”
Insight
Founders must apply the same seriousness to storytelling as to code
“The same amount of seriousness that you apply to the product or the code or the hiring You have to be applying to your story, and you're the only person who can say it. You're the only person who can do it that effectively, because you have, at the beginning e…”
Insight
Techno-optimist narratives fail as PR when technology is the focal point
“The tech is the thing people focus on, but the utopian stories about tech, when you make tech the thing people focus on, they write it off as PR, and so I think what we want is for the utopian stories about tech, or the optimistic stories about tech, To have i…”
Insight
Founders must control their narrative or audiences will construct their own conclusions
“It's the space in between the facts that ties them into a story that is our responsibility to fill in, because if you let people fill it in haphazardly, they might end up with any conclusion that you don't control.”
Insight
Ovitz: AI requires modern operators to be generalists unless founding deep tech
“Today, there's no such thing. Today, you have to be a generalist. You have to know a little bit about everything, and then, unless you're a deep scientist, and you're founding Palantir, or Anthropic, or one of these businesses that require extraordinary brain …”
Insight
Ovitz: Producers shouldn't enter the editing room with visionary directors like Scorsese
“First of all, he shouldn't have been in the editing room. It's okay for Marty's agents to be in the editing room, but not the producer, unless the producer is someone incredibly close to him where they've done multiple movies together.”
Insight
Malka: Every major art movement in history starts with portraits
“Every single art movement in history starts with portraits. They always involve the portrait.”
Insight
DHH: A handful of daily interruptions completely wastes a builder's workday
“If you're a builder and you get interrupted just a handful of times in a single day, that day is a waste, because you will never get into the flow. You will never get into this long stretch of uninterrupted time, and therefore you will not feel in the, not jus…”
Insight
DHH: The mouse is a terrible tool for computer productivity
“And the mouse is an incredible tool for learnability. Anyone who has just a rough conception of, like, how I move this thing around, they can use almost any app, because everything is sort of explained. But, If you're interested in productivity, it's a terribl…”
Insight
DHH: Making Linux mimic Mac or Windows fails to attract mainstream users
“And the misconception that I had, and I think a lot of people in the Linux world have had, if we just make it as close to Windows or Mac as possible, then they'll come. But no, they won't. Why would you want, again, the Timo version of Mac or of Windows? I don…”
Insight
DHH: Algorithmic social feeds break creator reach unless posts go viral
“What's broken now on the social platforms is that my followers don't see anything I post unless it goes medium viral because everyone is now in the algorithmic feed. So I follow someone. It's just like this little drop in the signal and it kind of breaks that …”
Insight
Zalaznick: Executing a 70-dish menu is operationally harder than a tasting menu
“If anyone, just so you understand, without even that much culinary training, could make you four or five dishes if they make the same exact dishes every single night, and probably get them to a point that is acceptable, right?
Obviously, you need to be great f…”
Insight
Glyman: Two workdays reveal more about candidates than 15 interview hours
“Even if you have a really intensive interview process, and you have, like, 10 rounds of interviews, right, and you interview someone for 15 hours, it turns out in two business days of working with someone, you're gonna have more information about working with …”
Insight
Glyman: Hiring college freshmen captures talent mispricings before AI labs compete
“I agree with Elon's philosophy of trying to find really smart people, in part because it allows you to find maybe something like a mispricing in the market by their junior summer, or after they've been working for five years, it's priced in. You're competing s…”
Insight
Glyman: Compensating free riders equally destroys high-performing team culture
“I think one of the most damaging things you can do to an organization is if there are folks who are getting paid similarly, have similar ownership, and are just not pulling their weight, because I think it leads to this, like, very tough, like, question and fa…”
Insight
Ross: GPUs excel at LLM attention while LPUs excel at applying weights
“The LPU and GPU, as mentioned, they, they're better at different parts of what's, what's called the decoder layer of an LLM. The GPU is better at the attention portion, and the LPU is better at sort of applying the weights, which is the thing that gets trained…”
Insight
Stoute: Booming business models temporarily reward and financially applaud mediocrity
“That when an industry is booming, sometimes when it's booming because of the business model itself, mediocre gets rewarded. And like, and then over time it catches up. But in the beginning, mediocrity is applauded and financially awarded.”
Insight
Stoute: Online creators and independent artists are the modern SMBs
“The SMBs that used to be flower shops and bodegas and this, that, and the third are now streamers, independent artists, influencers, podcasters, vloggers, and writers on Substack, they're the new SMBs.”
Insight
Catmull: Pixar's Braintrust failed as an outside force but worked for problem-solving
“Now, ah, it was to replace what Tom Schumacher was doing. It didn't work. The problem was, they weren't outside. They're in the building, they're all the time, and they're always know what's going on. Ah, so the notion of them being on the outside isn't true. …”
Insight
Leaders Must Stay Silent for the First 15 Minutes of Feedback
“There's another reason why you didn't go to the brain trust meetings, is that in order to get the dynamics right, that the people with power, either real or perceived power, need to shut the hell up for the first 10 to 15 minutes.
David Senra: And he couldn't…”
Insight
A CEO's Job Is Managing Room Dynamics, Not Making the Product
“So paying attention to the dynamics of those rooms is the job. They're the ones that are making the movies. I'm not making the movie. I'm just trying to make sure they work well together.”
Insight
Pixar Directors Can Make Mistakes, But Cannot Lose the Team
“The one thing that the director can't do, they can screw up in all sorts of ways, but they can't lose the team. That was our guiding line.”
Insight
Catmull: Mission statements provide static answers when companies should ask questions
“A mission statement is an answer when typically we should always be asking questions.”
Insight
Discipline Individuals Directly Instead of Making Blanket Company Rules
“If somebody violates a rule of common sense, People do once in a while. You call them on the carpet, you tell them you can't do it, but you don't make a rule so that nobody else makes the same mistake. Because as soon as you make more rules, then people are wo…”
Insight
Söderström: Technology alone cannot drive change without contrarian business models
“I believe that technology is a necessary ingredient for change. But not sufficient. I think you can cause havoc with technology, like piracy, but when things really change is when you take a new technology and marry it with a new, often contrarian business mod…”
Insight
Söderström: External corporate hires won't challenge founders without long-built trust
“You can't expect someone to come in, especially if they come from corporate America and expect them to like stand up to you, because usually there are consequences. You just get fired.”
Insight
Söderström: Companies only capture or lose significant market share during macro changes
“When things are stable, market share stays stable. You don't eat market share. So when there's change, there's risk. You can lose market share, but that is also when you have the most opportunity to eat market share. If you adopt the change.”
Insight
Rubin: Minimalist creation requires rigorous curation because nothing is hidden
“If you're stacking a lot of things on top of each other, each one of those things becomes less important. So if you have 10 things, Each one of them is one 10th as important as one by itself. So if you're making something and you want the least amount involved…”
Insight
Rubin: Layering guitar tracks makes music generic instead of human
“A lot of recordings are made where the guitarist plays and then they double it and triple it and they create this like wall of guitars. And when you, when there's a wall of guitars, you hear guitar, but you don't hear someone playing guitar. You just hear guit…”
Insight
Rubin: True editing requires drastically cutting past your target and adding back
“Sometimes for the sake of the whole work, removing things about it that you really love is part of the process. And instead of If you have a hundred percent and you know at the end you want to have 70% of what you have, like you have 30% too much, instead of w…”
Insight
Rubin: Creating from passion versus commercial viability are two fundamentally different mindsets
“I'm doing a passion and belief. And he's doing a bottom line, what's gonna work? What's gonna be good for business? And it's just two different things, two different mentalities.”
Insight
Rubin: Work is ready for everyone once you'd share it with one friend
“As soon as I liked it enough to share it with one person, chances are, it's ready for everybody.”
Insight
Rubin: True creative work is made purely for oneself, not an audience
“If you were to Move into a house on the top of a mountain that no one could ever come and visit. And you made that the place that you most wanted to spend your time and you really create, curated it to your taste. That's the job. It's not about I'm making this…”
Insight
Calling a Company a 'Family' Creates Unnecessary Angst
“I never say the word that executives use something like we're a big family here. We're not a big family here. This is an enterprise. Like my family's at home. So we don't have all the angst around being a family.”
Insight
White: Never Edit Fights; Let Fans Judge Their Authentic Quality
“You don't ever edit a fight. You let the fight play out and the fans determine whether the fight is good or bad and you can't control that. You, I call it the bells and whistles. We do all the bells and whistles And the fighters, we hand the torch off to them …”
Insight
White: People Wanting Flexible Hours Should Be Employees, Not Entrepreneurs
“The greatest line of all time is, you know, I want to start my own thing because I want to set my own hours and I want to, you know, take days off and I want, oh Jesus Christ, you should just stay where you're at and keep working for somebody else because that…”
Insight
White: Give Digital Creators Full Event Access and Stop Micromanaging Them
“You show up to any of my events. I give you full access, film what you want, create what you want. The other thing is, is most people that that deal with content creators, they try to tell them you have to do this, that, what the fuck do you know about creatin…”