The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions

0due for another look

1closed calls →

301days to next prediction date

Everyone Zach Dell (1)Scott Wu (1)Evan Spiegel (1)Eric Glyman (1)David Baszucki (1)Brian Armstrong (1)

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Next up (2)

301 days left 2027-07-12

Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2027

Glyman: OpenAI and Anthropic will pass $300B combined revenue in a year

“And if you play out what they and OpenAI, just the two labs, are on track to do in revenue and call it a year's time I think it'd be reasonably conservative at this point to say they're gonna pass more than three hundred billion dollars a year in revenue, whic…”

Eric Glyman Jul 12, 2026 ▶ 44:07 The $44 Billion Company Automating Your Company's Finances

473 days left 2027-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2027

Armstrong: NewLimit's first drug candidate will probably enter clinical trials next year

“And the first drug can that's going to go into clinical trials probably next year.”

Brian Armstrong Mar 1, 2026 ▶ 1:34:36 Brian Armstrong: When Washington Tried to Kill Coinbase

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Partly held up

Dell: AI will soon be the world's largest consumer of electricity

“And it's now the fastest growing and soon going to be the largest consumer of electricity in the world. And its name is AI.”

Zach Dell Sep 6, 2026 ▶ 5:13 Building a Power Company for the Next 50 Years | Zach Dell, Base Power

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Closed calls (1) the full record →

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