United States

also referred to as: the us · us

42 statements across 17 episodes · 13 bullish · 16 bearish · 16 people on the record · first statement Jul 9, 2025 by John Collison · said 363 times in 26 episodes since 2025 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by John Collison (117), Casey Handmer (30), Dave Ricks (24), Dan Sundheim (21), Tony Xu (16), Patrick Collison (16), Garrett Langley (14), Ben Thompson (13)

tap a year for its mentions
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081520252026episodes it came up in
00107.5201520252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 129 mentions in 13 episodes 10 per episode
2025 234 mentions in 13 episodes 18 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about United States, oldest first

Jul 9, 2025 negative
Insight
Collison: Non-standard European labor laws hinder small cross-border startups
“One is where the regs are just bad, and the second is where the regulations are not standardized, where places where, you know, employment law is really annoyingly different across European countries, and so if you're a ten-person startup and you employ people…”
John Collison Jul 9, 2025 ▶ 17:26 A Cheeky Pint with serial entrepreneur Pieter Levels (@levelsio)
Aug 29, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Osika: Low ambition levels are the biggest problem for European tech startups
“The ambition level is the biggest problem, I think. Like, there's fewer people that are, like, super ambitious, like, okay, this is a unique opportunity in the history of mankind, and we're here to build the best way to build software applications with AI. Ins…”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 22:59 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
Aug 29, 2025 bearish
Opinion
Osika: The US has far more experienced SaaS talent than Europe
“There is much more people who've built SaaS and like startups before that you can, that have like very, very good expertise that you can hire in the U.S. And much less so in Europe.”
Anton Osika Aug 29, 2025 ▶ 21:21 A conversation with Lovable CEO Anton Osika
Oct 1, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Andreessen: AI job displacement will be slowed dramatically by licensing and unions
“The employment shifts everybody's worried about are actually not going to happen at anywhere near the velocity people think because it's like, you know, a significant, significant percentage of jobs in the US literally are, you know, licensed or unionized or c…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 1, 2025 ▶ 54:50 Marc Andreessen and Charlie Songhurst on the past, present, and future of Silicon Valley
Oct 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: China has 3.5 to 4 times higher EV adoption than the US
“And then if you compare this to China, where there is a lot more choice China is a, Three and a half, four times higher level of adoption of electrification than we are, and the slope of the curve is very steep.”
RJ Scaringe Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 1:08:11 How to build a $16B car company with RJ Scaringe, founder of Rivian
Oct 14, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Rivian captures 35% US market share in premium electric SUVs
“If you draw the boundary diagram around electric premium vehicles, so like premium SUVs that are over 70,000 dollars, we're by far the best-selling vehicle in that class of vehicles, so we have about 35% market share as we draw that boundary diagram”
RJ Scaringe Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 15:27 How to build a $16B car company with RJ Scaringe, founder of Rivian
Oct 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: US is the only developed country requiring unbelted crash tests
“We also uniquely in the United States there's no other developed country that has this where we have unbelted tests.”
RJ Scaringe Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 35:03 How to build a $16B car company with RJ Scaringe, founder of Rivian
Oct 14, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Scaringe: Tesla holds 50% US EV share while EVs make up 8% of sales
“You know, the best measure of, I think the under investment in this space and the lack of highly compelling product is that there's a single company, Tesla, that still has around 50% market share in the United States. The United States is at around eight perce…”
RJ Scaringe Oct 14, 2025 ▶ 1:06:30 How to build a $16B car company with RJ Scaringe, founder of Rivian
Oct 22, 2025 bullish
Assertion Supported
Sundheim: Clean Harbors owns majority of US hazardous waste incinerators
“There's a couple called Clean Harbors, which I like a lot, which is, they do hazardous waste, and they own the majority of the incinerators in the United States. You can't really build more incinerators because of NIMBY.”
Dan Sundheim Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 1:00:32 Dan Sundheim of D1 Capital on the art of public market investing
Oct 22, 2025 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2045
Sundheim: US electricity demand will grow 4% annually over 20 years
“Electricity demand in the United States grew at zero percent for the last 20 years. And so, if you think about the next 20 years, I think electricity demand will grow at four percent.”
Dan Sundheim Oct 22, 2025 ▶ 1:03:15 Dan Sundheim of D1 Capital on the art of public market investing
Oct 28, 2025 positive
Insight
Handmer: US must maintain domestic electronics manufacturing via automation to rapidly prototype
“If you want to have the ability to, like, rapidly prototype electronic systems, you've got to have that here, servicing, servicing the US market, which is the strongest consumer market on earth. There's no reason you can't do it. No, you don't want to have, li…”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 38:39 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Oct 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Handmer: JPL is America's space science jewel but has been allowed to wither
“Which is a real problem because it is, it's really the jewel of space science in the United States and much of our technology besides but it has been allowed to wither.”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 1:12:15 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Oct 28, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
China deployed more solar in three months than the US has historically
“China has deployed more solar in, like, the last three months than the United States has ever deployed ever.”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 28:55 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Oct 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Handmer: The idea the US is intrinsically uncompetitive in manufacturing is crap
“This whole idea, like, comparative advantage, that the United States should just be intrinsically bad, or, like, uncompetitive at certain kinds of things, is crap. Like, this has every advantage it could possibly want.”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 39:17 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Oct 28, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Cheap energy lets China outproduce the US in metals by up to 100x
“We're already in a situation right now where China is outproducing the United States on all the metals, like steel, aluminum, magnesium, and so on and so forth, by, like, a factor of between 10 and a hundred, because they're, Energy is cheap”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 35:11 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Oct 28, 2025 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2030
Handmer predicts China will beat the United States to the Moon
“Relax the outer space treaty in 2017 with the outer space, so the Artemis Accords, so we can go and kind of make a land grab on the moon, and then it turns out China's going to get there first.”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 1:14:22 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Oct 28, 2025 negative
Assertion Supported
US car seat mandates save 58 lives but avert 10,000 births annually
“Something like 58 children's lives are saved in the United States every year by statistically by car seats, and something like 10,000 births are averted by families who cannot afford to upgrade their cars”
Casey Handmer Oct 28, 2025 ▶ 50:48 Casey Handmer of Terraform Industries on solar maximalism, hard tech, and reclaiming the Salton Sea
Nov 11, 2025 bullish
Assertion Partly supported
Ricks: Eli Lilly captures 70-75% of new US GLP-1 starts
“Right now in the US, across all forms of GLP-ONE, on new patient capture, we're basically 70, 75% right now.”
Dave Ricks Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 1:50:08 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly, on GLP-1s and the business of pharma
Nov 11, 2025
Assertion Supported
Ricks: Medicine accounts for only 10 cents of every US healthcare dollar
“In the US, the most expensive healthcare system in the world, we spend 10 cents on the dollar on medicine. The other 90 cents go through everything else that medicine's trying to prevent.”
Dave Ricks Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 34:06 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly, on GLP-1s and the business of pharma
Nov 11, 2025 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Ricks: The US and China hold 70% of global diagnostic capacity
“The US and China have something like 70% of all diagnostic capacity in the world.”
Dave Ricks Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 53:56 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly, on GLP-1s and the business of pharma
Nov 11, 2025
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Ricks: 80% of effective COVID treatments were produced in US
“Basically, 80% of the medicines and vaccines that worked were produced in the United States.”
Dave Ricks Nov 11, 2025 ▶ 1:09:25 Dave Ricks, CEO of Eli Lilly, on GLP-1s and the business of pharma
Nov 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
DeWahl: The US launched a nuclear reactor into space in the 1960s
“We actually put one reactor into space in the 19 sixties to test that out.”
Julia DeWahl Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 13:15 Julia DeWahl of Antares on building nuclear reactors for the US military
Nov 25, 2025
Disclosure
DeWahl: Antares Did Not Seek Foreign Regulatory Jurisdictions
“You know, we really didn't. It felt like there was enough signal that we would be able to, you know, get through regulatory, right, and see some positive change. There was enough to basically demand signal within the US, and it's, I don't know, we take pride i…”
Julia DeWahl Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 40:45 Julia DeWahl of Antares on building nuclear reactors for the US military
Nov 25, 2025 positive
Assertion Supported
DeWahl: Nuclear energy support surged nearly 20 points to over 60%
“The, like, percentage point change we've seen in the last five to 10 years is almost 20 points. I mean, it's like 17 points or something. Yes. So it's 60 plus percent of people support nuclear.”
Julia DeWahl Nov 25, 2025 ▶ 14:25 Julia DeWahl of Antares on building nuclear reactors for the US military
Nov 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Iqbal: US celebrates failed founders while UK press brings doom and gloom
“Just in the U S you get praise. If you're a second or third time failed founder, another investor will bet on you again, because okay, you've done it two, three times here. It's just doom and gloom. If you fail, the press are all over you know?”
Merva Iqbal Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 42:47 UK Budget 2025: Stripe + Startup Coalition
Nov 28, 2025 negative
Opinion
Depledge: UK healthtech moves to US due to NHS procurement friction
“Most of the reason that our health tech companies leave and go to the US is not because they can't raise the money. It's because the NHS makes them jump through about a billion different hoops to get onto their, like, framework, and it's just much easier to go…”
Alex Depledge Nov 28, 2025 ▶ 19:14 UK Budget 2025: Stripe + Startup Coalition
Feb 12, 2026 negative
Opinion
Ben Thompson: US TikTok divestiture is a disaster because China retains control
“The way that it shows up messily is we somehow do pass the law banning TikTok and it didn't get banned. And now it is sold, but China still controls the algorithm. So I think it's a big disaster.”
Ben Thompson Feb 12, 2026 ▶ 27:43 Ben Thompson from Stratechery on AI ads, the end of SaaS, and the future of media
Feb 17, 2026 bullish
Assertion Supported
Glyman: Ramp powers over 2% of US business card transactions
“I believe today, ramp powers more than two percent of all corporate and small business card transactions in the United States, which is amazing for a business that, you know, ah, the product you couldn't even sign up for it six years ago.”
Eric Glyman Feb 17, 2026 ▶ 51:44 Ramp founder Eric Glyman on the many ways AI is changing corporate spending
Feb 17, 2026 negative
Assertion Contradicted
Glyman: Average US Business Checking Account Yield Is 0.7%
“I think that the national average You know, on checking accounts is .7% in the US.”
Eric Glyman Feb 17, 2026 ▶ 1:07:33 Ramp founder Eric Glyman on the many ways AI is changing corporate spending
Feb 24, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Collison: US small business loan approvals fell to 41% in 2025
“Only 41% of small business loan applications were approved in the US last year, down from 50% in 2015.”
John Collison Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 13:20 Stripe’s 2025 annual letter
Feb 24, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Collison: US productivity reached $104/hr versus $85/hr in Europe
“While the economies of the US and Europe were similarly productive in 1990, there has since been a stark divergence, with US productivity per hour works reaching 104 dollars, as compared with a plateau of something closer to 85 dollars per hour in Europe.”
John Collison Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 21:02 Stripe’s 2024 annual letter
Feb 24, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Collison: Non-bank corporate lending is 80% in US versus 32% in EU
“In the US, almost 80% of corporate lending is now from non-bank sources, compared to just 32% in the EU.”
John Collison Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 22:46 Stripe’s 2024 annual letter
Feb 24, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Collison: US invests 0.7% of GDP in high-growth firms versus under 0.3% in Europe
“While the US invests around 0.7% of GDP in high growth firms, that figure is less than 0.3% in Europe.”
John Collison Feb 24, 2026 ▶ 23:05 Stripe’s 2024 annual letter
Mar 5, 2026 positive
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2027
Langley: US crime rate is down and will continue falling
“It is down. I think it'll continue to go down.”
Garrett Langley Mar 5, 2026 ▶ 32:39 Garrett Langley of Flock Safety on building technology to solve crime
Mar 24, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dolgov: Waymo driver tech will eventually reach every US USPS address
“Eventually it will. Absolutely. There's no doubt in my mind. I think it's just a matter of when.”
Dmitri Dolgov Mar 24, 2026 ▶ 55:06 The 20-year journey to fully autonomous cars with Dmitri Dolgov of Waymo
Mar 24, 2026
Assertion Supported
Waymo runs 3,000 cars delivering 500k rides and 4M miles weekly
“We have about 3000 cars on the roads. We're doing about half a million rides per week. It, that translates to about, you know, over four million fully autonomous miles per week. We are operating in a fully autonomous mode in 11 cities in the US and 10 of those…”
Dmitri Dolgov Mar 24, 2026 ▶ 46:46 The 20-year journey to fully autonomous cars with Dmitri Dolgov of Waymo
Apr 21, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Xu: DoorDash has run drone deliveries in Australia and plans US/EU rollouts
“We've been doing drone deliveries actually for a couple years now. Mostly outside of the United States. Outside of the U.S. Places like Australia you know we're gonna bring them to Europe, bring them to the United States as well.”
Tony Xu Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 50:33 The economics and trends of the restaurant industry, with Tony Xu of DoorDash
Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Xu: DoorDash delivery fleet in London is predominantly non-automotive
“You know, we predominantly are non-autos in, in the city of London which is very different in, in, in the States as an example.”
Tony Xu Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 1:09:52 The economics and trends of the restaurant industry, with Tony Xu of DoorDash
Apr 21, 2026
Assertion Partly supported
Xu: Big QSRs account for nearly 50% of US restaurant spend
“Some of these large brands, you know the big QSRs that you've heard of which, you know, represents almost 50 cents on the dollar of restaurant spend in, in, in, in a place like the US.”
Tony Xu Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 19:21 The economics and trends of the restaurant industry, with Tony Xu of DoorDash
Apr 21, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Xu: Retail in Europe is far more concentrated than in the US
“Yeah, in the U.K., in Germany, in France, in a lot of European countries actually, this is more the norm than the exception, whereas in the U.S. You have, you know, maybe hundreds of different big brands that, that, that, that are strong in certain regions, bu…”
Tony Xu Apr 21, 2026 ▶ 1:10:45 The economics and trends of the restaurant industry, with Tony Xu of DoorDash
Apr 27, 2026 positive
Disclosure
Snap builds the most sensitive Spectacles components in the US and UK
“We build, You know, some of the most important components for specs in the U S and in the UK. So we've really thought about building some of the most IP sensitive components, some of the most sophisticated components in the U S and the UK, where we can sit th…”
Evan Spiegel Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 1:01:37 What comes after smartphones, with Evan Spiegel of Snap
Apr 27, 2026
Assertion Contradicted
Norway was the first country where Snapchat gained user traction
“Well, Norway was the first place that Snapchat got traction. I mean, we had no traction anywhere. Not the US. Not the US. We had no traction anywhere except Norway.”
Evan Spiegel Apr 27, 2026 ▶ 57:42 What comes after smartphones, with Evan Spiegel of Snap
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