The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Moerenhout: Zero Chance Energy Transition Succeeds on Schedule Without China
“Zero chance. Not at all. Not in a million years.”
Tom Moerenhout Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 32:54 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Assertion Supported
Moerenhout: China controls 60% to 90% of key battery supply chain steps
“On the refining side, China controls 80% of manganese refining, more than 70% of cobalt and nickel refining, more than 60% of lithium refining. And then you get to the most valuable components, the cathodes, the anodes, right? China controls more than 75% of c…”
Tom Moerenhout Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 26:44 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Opinion
Moerenhout: The world's best batteries and cathodes are Chinese technology
“If you look today at the best type of batteries, the best cathodes in the world, that is Chinese technology.”
Tom Moerenhout Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 28:30 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Assertion Supported
Moerenhout: Indonesia's Nickel Export Ban Successfully Attracted Processing Investment
“So Indonesia, for example, implemented a nickel export ban over several years to force investment into Indonesia's processing capacity. And that worked very well.”
Tom Moerenhout Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 32:04 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
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