why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gramlich: US electric grid will face severe constraints for five years
“We're going to be, you know, putting a lot more both supply and demand on, and we're going to have a much more constrained grid, I think, for a good five years, and then depending on how long it takes us to build transmission, it could last longer.”
Prediction Partly held up
Gramlich: Electricity interconnection queue backlogs will not get worse
“I also don't expect the cues to get even worse than they are. I think there are a lot of activities to improve the cue processing issue.”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Gramlich expects Grain Belt Express transmission project will proceed without DOE loan
“The project I expect will go forward. It's a great project.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gramlich: US transmission buildout could reach thousands of miles annually
“Yeah, we could be getting into the few thousand or more miles per year.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gramlich: US House will move quickly on NEPA permitting reform
“I expect to see the House moving pretty quickly on, on one piece, the NEPA-related piece and that'll be an important milestone.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gramlich: Some inter-regional transmission lines will get built without permitting reform
“Some of these lines are, you know, looking very, very promising, so I do think we will get some of those under the current regime, even if we don't get permitting reform, but if we get permitting reform you know, and or significant FERC action in the interregi…”
Prediction Held up
Gramlich: FERC interconnection reform will proceed despite incoming commissioner turnover
“The FERC reform rulemaking is likely to proceed, regardless of new commissioners coming, just because, like, that one was actually passed on a The proposal was passed on a bipartisan five-zero vote at FERC.”