The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

2statements match

0resolved → 2open predictions → 0held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2028

Grogan: First commercial seabed mineral recovery will occur around 2028

“I think probably around twenty-twenty-eight is, is a fair guess.”

Renee Grogan Jul 27, 2023 ▶ 48:12 Mining the deep sea

Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2033

Grogan: The ISA will pass deep sea exploitation regulations

“I think the ISA will pass its exploitation regulations. Whether they do that in July is, is a question that I can't answer. But I think there's, it will go ahead.”

Renee Grogan Jul 27, 2023 ▶ 45:55 Mining the deep sea

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The Ledger

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