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The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

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3statements match
0resolved → 2open predictions → 0held up → 0didn’t hold up →

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Steele: 90% of Unelectrified People Will Live in Africa by 2030
“By 2030, 90% of people who don't have access to electricity will be living in Africa.”
Kate Steele Oct 27, 2022 ▶ 5:12 Climatetech for developing economies
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steele: Electric transit may scale faster in East Africa than the US
“Electric motorbikes and electric public transit, I think is going to happen possibly faster in places like East Africa than in May in the U.S.”
Kate Steele Oct 27, 2022 ▶ 39:04 Climatetech for developing economies
Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2037
Steele: Nigeria's Population Will Surpass the US in the Next 15 Years
“In the next 15 years, Nigeria's population is going to pass the U.S., So it'll be the third most populous country in the world.”
Kate Steele Oct 27, 2022 ▶ 46:21 Climatetech for developing economies
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