The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Insight
Koomey: Rebound effects from efficiency gains are typically only 10 to 20%
“Yes, the car's a little bit cheaper, and yes, people drive a little bit more, but generally, these effects tend to be kind of small. They tend to be kind of 10 to 20%.”
John Koomey Mar 6, 2025 ▶ 22:39 A skeptic’s take on AI electricity load growth
Insight
Koomey: Software moves on one-year cycles while physical infrastructure takes decades
“The world of Bits moves really fast. They have all the money in the world. The world of atoms is slower. So it's like a year for the world of bits, 10 years or 20 years for the world of atoms, and so it's like a mismatch.”
John Koomey Mar 6, 2025 ▶ 44:28 A skeptic’s take on AI electricity load growth
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