The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 4 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2035
Waters: SMRs will not be a viable power source until the mid-2030s
“The challenge there is that between permitting and technology development that needs to happen, you're probably talking about, you know, mid 20 thirties before you see that become a real play.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 5:30 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
LFP battery pricing could drop to $25 per kWh within years
“There's a decent likelihood we'll continue to see pricing go down. You know, I've heard some claims that you could see it go down as far as, you know, from 50 dollars down to even 25 dollars over the course of the next couple of years. I think it's realistic t…”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 10:52 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Median utility-scale storage projects will hit 2 GWh in two years
“I would expect, if we were to even talk two years from now, I think two gigawatt hours would probably be the size of projects that will be more the median than even the maybe 800 megawatt hour that you have today.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 15:44 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Waters: LFP chemistry will remain dominant in battery storage as costs fall
“LFP will, I think, remain dominant in that timeframe, just because you're going to see the cost curves continue to drive down.”
Jeff Waters Apr 23, 2025 ▶ 15:57 What’s next for the battery storage boom? [partner content]
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