The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Bordoff: 2040 mineral revenue will pale in comparison to oil and gas
“The IA's one of the IA's scenarios that gets you sort of close to 1.5 degrees, if not all the way, has critical mineral revenue growing from forty one billion in 2019 to two hundred and sixty three billion by 2040. Again, that's not all the way to 1.5, maybe 1…”
Jason Bordoff Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 35:26 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Assertion Partly supported
Bordoff: 2040 mineral volume will be a fraction of fossil fuel production
“Even on a net zero pathway, critical minerals demand does not top thirty million metric tons in 2040, according to the IEA, and by comparison to thirty million metric tons, oil production last year was 4.4 billion. Metric tons. Coal was seven and a half billio…”
Jason Bordoff Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 36:02 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Assertion Supported
Bordoff: China's critical mineral dominance is mostly refining and processing
“With critical mineral dominance that China has, most of that is about refining and processing. Those are manufacturing plants, and you can build those in lots and lots of places.”
Jason Bordoff Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 39:44 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Assertion Partly supported
Bordoff: Mineral production is significantly more concentrated than global crude oil
“So the top producers of oil in the world, the US, Saudi Arabia, and Russia, each produce roughly 10% of global crude oil supply. The top producer Of lithium, of cobalt, of rare earths. Each of those, the top producers, each of those produces more than half, an…”
Jason Bordoff Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 38:50 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
Assertion Supported
Bordoff: Bringing a new mining project to development averages 16 years
“Right now, it takes, according to the IEA, an average of 16 years to bring a new mining project to development.”
Jason Bordoff Apr 11, 2024 ▶ 41:23 The Big Switch: Are Batteries the New Oil?
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