The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Berdichevsky: Some US battery factory projects will get mothballed
“So I do think some of these projects are still, are not going to go forward at certain stages. You know, and that's kind of classic. A lot of times, you know, maybe half the announced projects end up getting built. The pipeline is way bigger than the demand to…”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 31:01 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Assertion Supported
Berdichevsky: Cobalt cathodes outperform cheaper nickel and LFP battery chemistries
“Cobalt cathodes are actually the highest performing. And the reason we're on nickel is because it's meaningfully cheaper. And the reason we're on iron is it's yet cheaper still. But both of those are actually lower performing than the cobalt-based cathodes.”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 8:55 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Assertion Supported
Berdichevsky: Iron-based battery vehicles offer lower range than nickel-based EVs
“Iron, iron-based vehicles have lower range than nickel-based vehicles today. They're really kind of marginal, but they're good enough for, you know, some markets, they're good enough for some consumers, but they're not great for everybody.”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 10:35 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Assertion Supported
Berdichevsky: Global overcapacity in LFP battery production is driving low costs
“And we are so Over capacity in the world on, on battery production today of LFP, which is part of the reason why the costs are so low”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 18:01 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Assertion Contradicted
Berdichevsky: Solar has 10x higher value per kilo than batteries
“There's like a 10 X difference in the value per kilo of the good between batteries and solar. So it's still a lot more efficient and effective and faster to ship solar around the world than it is with batteries.”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 28:04 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Assertion Contradicted
Berdichevsky: Only 2,000 to 3,000 EVs were sold worldwide in 2011
“There were about 2003 thousand electric cars sold worldwide, right? Not 100,200 thousand, but, you know, just 2003 thousand. So you know, we're talking you know, almost no vehicles.”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 6:32 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
Assertion Contradicted
Berdichevsky: Global lithium-ion production was roughly 50 GWh in 2011
“There were maybe 50 gigawatt hours of lithium ion produced that year.”
Gene Berdichevsky Jul 25, 2024 ▶ 7:25 The EV market’s awkward teenage years
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