Gene Berdichevsky, CEO of Sila Nanotechnologies, explains how massive global LFP production overcapacity hinders alternative chemistries from competing on price.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Berdichevsky: It may take many years to absorb online battery capacity
“I think these shocks of supply-demand shocks will start to be smaller and smaller, but it'll take us a few years to, it may take many years to use up the capacity that's already online.”
Prediction Held up
Berdichevsky: Some US battery factory projects will get mothballed
“So I do think some of these projects are still, are not going to go forward at certain stages. You know, and that's kind of classic. A lot of times, you know, maybe half the announced projects end up getting built. The pipeline is way bigger than the demand to…”
Insight
Berdichevsky: Mass EV adoption requires superior products, not just lower costs
“One thing to remember is, you know, people aren't going to buy EVs just because they're cheaper than gas cars. People are going to buy EVs faster if they're just better cars. And this is one of those things that EVs can offer that your combustion car just coul…”
Insight
Berdichevsky: Volumetric energy density is the most critical metric for EVs
“The most, so my view, the most important metric for EVs is energy density, defined as watt-hours per liter, volumetric energy density.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Berdichevsky: LFP batteries alone cannot achieve 100% EV fleet adoption
“I think that's a, it's a, it's going to be a huge part of the market, but it can't be the only thing we do because if it's the only thing we do, we may replace the, you know, we may replace half of the ground fleet with EVs, but not a hundred percent.”
Opinion
Berdichevsky: Sodium-ion makes sense for grid storage, not electric vehicles
“I think sodium ion makes a ton of sense for the grid. I don't think it makes any sense for EVs.”