The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 3 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2034
Janus: AEP will not connect 90 gigawatts in next decade
“There's no reason to believe that AEP is going to connect 90 gigawatts in the next 10 years.”
Brian Janous Jun 13, 2024 ▶ 13:35 Under the hood of data center power demand
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Janous: Terrestrial data centers will remain the vast majority through 2030
“I just look at the pie of total data centers by 20 30 and pick your date in the future. I'm a big believer of terrestrial data centers are still going to be, like, the vast majority of the way we build data centers. Like, I just don't, I'm not sure how much it…”
Brian Janous Sep 3, 2026 ▶ 37:16 What comes after the data center backlash?
Assertion Open · timeframe Sep 2028
AI training data centers are beginning to abandon backup generators
“I think with some of the AI training sites, we've seen it's more of a move away from backup generators.”
Brian Janous Sep 12, 2025 ▶ 7:17 When to colocate data centers with generation
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