The Ledger
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Quantum advantage over classical systems is three to four years away
“As quantum computing capability follows the trajectory that most people believe it's on, we're about three to four years away from the rolling out of systems that will be able to have performance gains that will lead any scientist or engineer or researcher to …”
Quantum algorithms are a bigger ten-year hurdle than hardware
“The algorithmic issue right now is probably the greater hill to climb in terms of general applicability of quantum systems in the next decade.”
Quantum roadmaps target million-qubit systems within three to five years
“So right now the holy grail, if you will, of quantum is say a million physical qubits to implement perhaps thousands of logical qubits. And that's where you start to get real science and real applications. And if you look at all the company roadmaps, that is t…”
Quantum qubit scaling follows a near-exponential trajectory
“So if you look at What's happening in the sector, it is not a linear progression. In many cases, it is a near exponential kind of capability. So this idea of moving from 10 to a hundred to a thousand cubits is, it's going to happen faster than if you were just…”
Rolls-Royce found quantum fluid dynamics outperformed theoretical predictions
“Rolls-Royce, who makes very good jet engines, are starting to examine what they can do for their computational fluid dynamics programs, what quantum can bring to the table. It was interesting. They got some cool results, but what I really liked about their exp…”
Quantum computers have not yet demonstrated dramatic performance gains over classical systems
“From a performance perspective, they haven't demonstrated what we would call you know dramatic performance gains over classical counterparts. It's still in the phase where some people would call them toy problems.”
Leading scientific supercomputers cost up to $700M plus $300M in power
“Some of the most expensive HPCs right now doing science and engineering work are costing six to seven hundred million dollars a pop. And they require perhaps two to three hundred million dollars of electricity to run over a five year period.”