The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Supported
Mills: Building a new transformer plant costs $100M and takes 1-2 years
“And then if you really had no equipment availability, and you had to add a new facility or a new line, you're talking hundreds of millions of dollars, well, hundred million dollars of investment in order to get that facility stood up. And then the lead time to…”
Tim Mills Feb 22, 2024 ▶ 17:58 The electric transformer shortage
Assertion Supported
Mills: Distribution transformer prices surged 75% to 100% over two years
“Pricing has increased a lot over the last couple of years. I would say on average, 75 to a hundred percent increase in price.”
Tim Mills Feb 22, 2024 ▶ 27:26 The electric transformer shortage
Prediction Held up
Mills projects distribution transformer prices will rise 0% to 5% in 2024
“Right now I'm projecting a, you know, a flat to a five percent increase in twenty-twenty-four.”
Tim Mills Feb 22, 2024 ▶ 27:42 The electric transformer shortage
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