May 28, 2024 · 24m · catalyst

With Great Power: Why dynamic rates are gaining momentum

Ahmad Faruqi · 14m spoken Brad Langley · 5m spoken Stephen Lacey · 1m spoken
0:00 / 0:00

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In this episode of With Great Power, veteran energy economist Ahmad Faruqi joins host Brad Langley to examine how consumer behavior, distributed energy resources, and modern communication strategies are accelerating the adoption of dynamic electricity pricing.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

Shayle as informed peer 2.6 Guest teaching 4.0 Guest disagreement 1.0 Shayle pushing back 0.0
05100:0010:0020:001:50–4:14 · Shayle as informed peer 0/10 California Energy Crisis and the Genesis of Dynamic Rates Produced narrative introduction segment detailing the 2000-2001 California energy crisis and Ahmad Faruqi's early experiments with time-of-use rates. Monologue and documentary audio clips with zero interactive dynamic.4:19–7:08 · Shayle as informed peer 3/10 Show Introduction and Ahmad Faruqi's Career Background Brad Langley sets context on Faruqi's multi-decade career across several regions. Faruqi educates the host on why EVs, rather than smart meters alone, served as the true catalyst for customer engagement.7:08–10:04 · Shayle as informed peer 3/10 Heat Pumps and the Case for Marginal Cost Pricing Langley asks if heat pumps are the next killer app for dynamic pricing. Faruqi reframes the premise, explaining that heat pumps actually clash with peak TOU pricing and require separate marginal cost structures.10:04–12:14 · Shayle as informed peer 3/10 Managing the Duck Curve and Shifting Peak Hours Langley asks Faruqi to clarify the duck curve and define the precise distinction between static TOU and dynamic pricing. Faruqi offers clear technical explanations.12:14–14:42 · Shayle as informed peer 4/10 Overcoming Utility Inertia and Moving Beyond Pricing Pilots Langley cites specific utility examples like PSEG Long Island and questions industry sluggishness. Faruqi forcefully critiques utility inertia and calls for ending redundant pricing pilots.14:42–18:02 · Shayle as informed peer 3/10 Marketing Smart Rates: Emphasizing Savings Over Penalties Faruqi dismisses overcomplicated economic jargon like locational marginal pricing for retail customers and explains why overly sharp opt-out mandates trigger political backlashes.18:03–21:27 · Shayle as informed peer 3/10 The Core Principles of Effective Dynamic Rate Design Langley invites Faruqi to name utilities that have struggled. Faruqi provides an in-depth dissection of Puget Sound Energy's failed 2000s rollout caused by weak rate differentials.21:28–23:12 · Shayle as informed peer 2/10 The Evolving Power Sector and the Imperative of Rate Reform Concluding discussion on the future grid where Faruqi asserts that utilities failing to adapt to consumer DER preferences will face bankruptcy, ending on a collaborative note.1:50–4:14 · Guest teaching 0/10 California Energy Crisis and the Genesis of Dynamic Rates Produced narrative introduction segment detailing the 2000-2001 California energy crisis and Ahmad Faruqi's early experiments with time-of-use rates. Monologue and documentary audio clips with zero interactive dynamic.4:19–7:08 · Guest teaching 4/10 Show Introduction and Ahmad Faruqi's Career Background Brad Langley sets context on Faruqi's multi-decade career across several regions. Faruqi educates the host on why EVs, rather than smart meters alone, served as the true catalyst for customer engagement.7:08–10:04 · Guest teaching 6/10 Heat Pumps and the Case for Marginal Cost Pricing Langley asks if heat pumps are the next killer app for dynamic pricing. Faruqi reframes the premise, explaining that heat pumps actually clash with peak TOU pricing and require separate marginal cost structures.10:04–12:14 · Guest teaching 5/10 Managing the Duck Curve and Shifting Peak Hours Langley asks Faruqi to clarify the duck curve and define the precise distinction between static TOU and dynamic pricing. Faruqi offers clear technical explanations.12:14–14:42 · Guest teaching 4/10 Overcoming Utility Inertia and Moving Beyond Pricing Pilots Langley cites specific utility examples like PSEG Long Island and questions industry sluggishness. Faruqi forcefully critiques utility inertia and calls for ending redundant pricing pilots.14:42–18:02 · Guest teaching 5/10 Marketing Smart Rates: Emphasizing Savings Over Penalties Faruqi dismisses overcomplicated economic jargon like locational marginal pricing for retail customers and explains why overly sharp opt-out mandates trigger political backlashes.18:03–21:27 · Guest teaching 5/10 The Core Principles of Effective Dynamic Rate Design Langley invites Faruqi to name utilities that have struggled. Faruqi provides an in-depth dissection of Puget Sound Energy's failed 2000s rollout caused by weak rate differentials.21:28–23:12 · Guest teaching 3/10 The Evolving Power Sector and the Imperative of Rate Reform Concluding discussion on the future grid where Faruqi asserts that utilities failing to adapt to consumer DER preferences will face bankruptcy, ending on a collaborative note.1:50–4:14 · Guest disagreement 0/10 California Energy Crisis and the Genesis of Dynamic Rates Produced narrative introduction segment detailing the 2000-2001 California energy crisis and Ahmad Faruqi's early experiments with time-of-use rates. Monologue and documentary audio clips with zero interactive dynamic.4:19–7:08 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Show Introduction and Ahmad Faruqi's Career Background Brad Langley sets context on Faruqi's multi-decade career across several regions. Faruqi educates the host on why EVs, rather than smart meters alone, served as the true catalyst for customer engagement.7:08–10:04 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Heat Pumps and the Case for Marginal Cost Pricing Langley asks if heat pumps are the next killer app for dynamic pricing. Faruqi reframes the premise, explaining that heat pumps actually clash with peak TOU pricing and require separate marginal cost structures.10:04–12:14 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Managing the Duck Curve and Shifting Peak Hours Langley asks Faruqi to clarify the duck curve and define the precise distinction between static TOU and dynamic pricing. Faruqi offers clear technical explanations.12:14–14:42 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Overcoming Utility Inertia and Moving Beyond Pricing Pilots Langley cites specific utility examples like PSEG Long Island and questions industry sluggishness. Faruqi forcefully critiques utility inertia and calls for ending redundant pricing pilots.14:42–18:02 · Guest disagreement 2/10 Marketing Smart Rates: Emphasizing Savings Over Penalties Faruqi dismisses overcomplicated economic jargon like locational marginal pricing for retail customers and explains why overly sharp opt-out mandates trigger political backlashes.18:03–21:27 · Guest disagreement 2/10 The Core Principles of Effective Dynamic Rate Design Langley invites Faruqi to name utilities that have struggled. Faruqi provides an in-depth dissection of Puget Sound Energy's failed 2000s rollout caused by weak rate differentials.21:28–23:12 · Guest disagreement 1/10 The Evolving Power Sector and the Imperative of Rate Reform Concluding discussion on the future grid where Faruqi asserts that utilities failing to adapt to consumer DER preferences will face bankruptcy, ending on a collaborative note.1:50–4:14 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 California Energy Crisis and the Genesis of Dynamic Rates Produced narrative introduction segment detailing the 2000-2001 California energy crisis and Ahmad Faruqi's early experiments with time-of-use rates. Monologue and documentary audio clips with zero interactive dynamic.4:19–7:08 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 Show Introduction and Ahmad Faruqi's Career Background Brad Langley sets context on Faruqi's multi-decade career across several regions. Faruqi educates the host on why EVs, rather than smart meters alone, served as the true catalyst for customer engagement.7:08–10:04 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 Heat Pumps and the Case for Marginal Cost Pricing Langley asks if heat pumps are the next killer app for dynamic pricing. Faruqi reframes the premise, explaining that heat pumps actually clash with peak TOU pricing and require separate marginal cost structures.10:04–12:14 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 Managing the Duck Curve and Shifting Peak Hours Langley asks Faruqi to clarify the duck curve and define the precise distinction between static TOU and dynamic pricing. Faruqi offers clear technical explanations.12:14–14:42 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 Overcoming Utility Inertia and Moving Beyond Pricing Pilots Langley cites specific utility examples like PSEG Long Island and questions industry sluggishness. Faruqi forcefully critiques utility inertia and calls for ending redundant pricing pilots.14:42–18:02 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 Marketing Smart Rates: Emphasizing Savings Over Penalties Faruqi dismisses overcomplicated economic jargon like locational marginal pricing for retail customers and explains why overly sharp opt-out mandates trigger political backlashes.18:03–21:27 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 The Core Principles of Effective Dynamic Rate Design Langley invites Faruqi to name utilities that have struggled. Faruqi provides an in-depth dissection of Puget Sound Energy's failed 2000s rollout caused by weak rate differentials.21:28–23:12 · Shayle pushing back 0/10 The Evolving Power Sector and the Imperative of Rate Reform Concluding discussion on the future grid where Faruqi asserts that utilities failing to adapt to consumer DER preferences will face bankruptcy, ending on a collaborative note.

speaking balance: gold is Shayle, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%0:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%3:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%3:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%6:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%6:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%9:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%9:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%12:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%12:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%15:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%15:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%18:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%21:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%21:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%24:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%24:00 · Shayle 0% · guest 100%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 15:35 Dismissing academic jargon in rate marketing

Faruqi bluntly rejects complex industry terminology, stating that calling rates 'locational marginal cost real-time pricing' is guaranteed to fail with customers.

Hardest push from Shayle ▶ 19:05 Prompting guest to name failing utilities

Langley nudges Faruqi out of safe generalities by explicitly asking him to put on his controversial hat and identify utilities that struggled.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 7:20 Reframing heat pumps and TOU synergy

Faruqi corrects the host's assumption that heat pumps are a natural fit for TOU rates, explaining they exacerbate winter and summer peaks unless paired with marginal cost pricing.

Shayle holds their own ▶ 12:14 Citing specific pilot successes across utilities

Langley displays strong subject knowledge by detailing specific deployments at SCE, PG&E, and PSEG Long Island to challenge why widespread adoption remains stalled.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicShayle as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementShayle pushing backWhy
California Energy Crisis and the Genesis of Dynamic Rates 0000 Produced narrative introduction segment detailing the 2000-2001 California energy crisis and Ahmad Faruqi's early experiments with time-of-use rates. Monologue and documentary audio clips with zero interactive dynamic.
Show Introduction and Ahmad Faruqi's Career Background 3400 Brad Langley sets context on Faruqi's multi-decade career across several regions. Faruqi educates the host on why EVs, rather than smart meters alone, served as the true catalyst for customer engagement.
Heat Pumps and the Case for Marginal Cost Pricing 3610 Langley asks if heat pumps are the next killer app for dynamic pricing. Faruqi reframes the premise, explaining that heat pumps actually clash with peak TOU pricing and require separate marginal cost structures.
Managing the Duck Curve and Shifting Peak Hours 3500 Langley asks Faruqi to clarify the duck curve and define the precise distinction between static TOU and dynamic pricing. Faruqi offers clear technical explanations.
Overcoming Utility Inertia and Moving Beyond Pricing Pilots 4420 Langley cites specific utility examples like PSEG Long Island and questions industry sluggishness. Faruqi forcefully critiques utility inertia and calls for ending redundant pricing pilots.
Marketing Smart Rates: Emphasizing Savings Over Penalties 3520 Faruqi dismisses overcomplicated economic jargon like locational marginal pricing for retail customers and explains why overly sharp opt-out mandates trigger political backlashes.
The Core Principles of Effective Dynamic Rate Design 3520 Langley invites Faruqi to name utilities that have struggled. Faruqi provides an in-depth dissection of Puget Sound Energy's failed 2000s rollout caused by weak rate differentials.
The Evolving Power Sector and the Imperative of Rate Reform 2310 Concluding discussion on the future grid where Faruqi asserts that utilities failing to adapt to consumer DER preferences will face bankruptcy, ending on a collaborative note.

Statements from this episode (11)

Insight
Faruqi: Electric vehicles, not smart meters, drove time-of-use rate adoption
“The change that came was through a technology. Not digital meters, but through electric cars. Electric cars, or EVs as they're called, were the defining moment. Customers finally realized That they can lower their charging cost if they just charge during the o…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 6:28
Insight
Faruqi: Time-of-use rates are a poor fit for heat pumps
“A heat pump, which is both an air conditioner in the summer and a heat source in the winter, will be running precisely when there is a peak situation in the summer or a peak situation in the winter. Actually, it will create a peak demand in the winter that cur…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 7:34
Insight
Faruqi: Net grid load impact of DERs remains uncertain
“Some of them will raise load growth, EVs and heat pumps certainly being those two. But then there are other DERs which will lower load growth, like energy efficiency, demand response, and certainly solar. So what will be the net effect of those is anybody's gu…”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 9:18
Assertion Supported
Faruqi: Australia Introduced Afternoon Off-Peak 'Sponge Tariffs'
“In Australia, they have introduced what they call the sponge tariff, and it is basically the off-peak period is now in the afternoon as opposed to at night”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 10:35
Prediction Held up
Faruqi: Solar generation will push electricity peak hours into late night
“The peak will keep on going into the later evening, early nighttime hours, and the off peak will be in the middle of the day when the sun is shining and you have a lot of solar generation, both supply side and customer side.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 11:08
Insight
Faruqi: Dynamic electricity pricing operates like Uber surge pricing during critical grid shortages
“Dynamic pricing says, well, but on a hundred to 200 hours of the year, the system, the power system has a critical condition. There might be outages because there's a shortage of supply, and therefore in those few hours, 100 to 200 hours, we have to have even …”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 11:49
Insight
Faruqi: Utilities do not need pilots given 400 existing global trials
“Let's try to actually move to actual implementation, and my advice is you don't really need to do a pilot because we already have 400 pilots across the globe.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 14:28
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Faruqi: Technical jargon like 'real-time pricing' is guaranteed to fail with customers
“Using terms like real-time pricing, terms like locational marginal cost real-time pricing, I mean, that's guaranteed to fail.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 15:43
Assertion Supported
Faruqi: Missouri rejected aggressive default dynamic pricing after political backlash
“One utility tried it. Actually, one state tried it with Missouri, and then they rejected it because of the political crisis that they were about to precipitate.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 17:41
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Faruqi: Oklahoma Gas and Electric led California in dynamic pricing a decade ago
“Oklahoma Gas and Electric, actually about 10 years ago I discovered That Oklahoma was ahead of California when it came to dynamic pricing”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 19:17
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Faruqi: Utilities that fail to update rate structures will go bankrupt
“And if they don't change those utilities that don't change them, they'll go bankrupt.”
Ahmad Faruqi May 28, 2024 ▶ 22:22
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