mining

5 statements across 5 episodes · 2 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Apr 21, 2022 by Kurt House · across every show →

Everything said about mining, oldest first

Apr 21, 2022 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2072
House: Reaching a fully circular battery economy will take 50 years
“We can achieve 90, 98, 99% recycling rates on these, on, on these batteries, and over time, we'll get to the point where we do not have to mine them which is really, really exciting. But that will take more than a generation, unfortunately. We need a lot more …”
Kurt House Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 46:05 The great rush for battery metals
Sep 22, 2022 neutral
Insight
Yergin: The energy transition shifts dependency from big oil to big shovels
“And that's, you know, in, in, in the new map, the way I phrased it, is you go from big oil to big shovels, because you're going to need so much more mining, and the volume of mining, I think, is just not really recognized.”
Dr. Daniel Yergin Sep 22, 2022 ▶ 44:49 Columbia Energy Exchange: Will Putin’s Energy Strategy Backfire?
Jul 27, 2023 bullish
Insight
Kann: Decarbonization is a transition to go short oil and long mining
“So to a first approximation, I think that a big part of decarbonization is basically a transition from the extraction of fossil fuels to the extraction of minerals. If you've got a sufficiently extended time horizon, then the bet is to go short oil and gas and…”
Shayle Kann Jul 27, 2023 ▶ 2:38 Mining the deep sea
Nov 3, 2023 bearish
Assertion Supported
Kann: Average mine development timeline worldwide is 15 to 20 years
“The average time it takes to build a new mine right now, pretty much everywhere in the world, 1520 years.”
Shayle Kann Nov 3, 2023 ▶ 1:00:50 The Volts crossover episode
Feb 25, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2046
Roberts predicts recycled minerals will become cheaper than mined within 20 years
“I would just say that my, I guess my prediction would be that in 10 years, maybe or in 20, that just a unit of critical minerals drawn from recycling will be cheaper than a unit of Mind. I think. I think. Eventually. Like, I think it will end up being our prim…”
David Roberts Feb 25, 2026 ▶ 50:49 Volts crossover: Six big energy questions
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