geothermal energy

14 statements across 6 episodes · 7 bullish · 3 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Feb 17, 2022 by Jeff McCauley · across every show →

Everything said about geothermal energy, oldest first

Feb 17, 2022 positive
Assertion Supported
McCauley: DFIs are launching geothermal drilling insurance projects in Kenya
“There are emerging insurance projects out there That are focused on this kind of drilling success coverage. I think it's primarily in Kenya at the moment, where this is being launched in collaboration with some of the DFIs.”
Jeff McCauley Feb 17, 2022 ▶ 17:52 A critical tool for scaling climate tech: insurance
Sep 9, 2022 bullish
Assertion Supported
Beard: Geothermal has a tiny footprint and avoids massive mineral mining
“Geothermal has a Tiny footprint compared to other renewables. It doesn't rely on a massive amount of rare earth mining like you know, like, for instance, wind and solar production and storage production.”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 23:32 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Sep 9, 2022
Insight
Beard: Geothermal scaling is a human resources challenge, not a technology problem
“Really this comes down in my view To a human resources problem, not a technology problem.”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 53:11 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Sep 9, 2022 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beard: $1 billion could launch every active geothermal startup into field testing
“I mean, a billion dollars could launch every team I'm aware of into the field. That's, I mean, look, that's a drop of the bucket compared to the climate Problem.”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 47:49 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Sep 9, 2022 bearish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beard: 20 geothermal startups are stranded needing $30M–$50M for demonstration projects
“There's 20 teams globally right now that could be in the field building a geothermal project that can't raise the 30 to fifty million dollars they need to go out and drill the well and build the plant”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 42:11 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Sep 9, 2022 bullish
Assertion Supported
Beard: Drilling 70,000 geothermal wells yearly to 2050 meets global energy demand
“Current oil and gas well drilling capacity in the world, which is roughly, you know, 70,000 wells a year. We do that every year between now and 20 50. That meets global energy demand.”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 18:15 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Sep 9, 2022 negative
Opinion
Beard: Using geothermal baseload merely to mine battery lithium is a distraction
“And so, when I see geothermal in the media as a lithium play, really, I mean, if you look at it, if you back up and look at that, what you're thinking is, oh, ok, good, we'll use this clean, awesome, ubiquitous, baseload energy source to mine lithium to make b…”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 36:21 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Sep 9, 2022 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Beard: Geothermal will fail to scale if mired in climate lawsuits
“Geothermal is going to carry the baggage of a hundred years of fighting between the hydrocarbon industry and environmental and climate groups, and that, navigating that I mean, it will be incredibly important to, you know, making sure that we can achieve fast …”
Jamie Beard Sep 9, 2022 ▶ 57:36 Could geothermal become a major zero-emissions player?
Jun 6, 2024 neutral
Disclosure
Baglino: Tesla excluded nuclear and geothermal from Master Plan due to costs
“It was a little bit of a complexity, and also the, if you took the best known cost of all those technologies and just stuck them into the optimizer wouldn't pick them, is, is really what it comes down to.”
Drew Baglino Jun 6, 2024 ▶ 23:04 Drew Baglino on Tesla’s Master Plan
Jun 27, 2024 positive
Assertion Supported
Horne: Geothermal generates 6% of California's, 10% of Nevada's, and 50% of Kenya's electricity
“Six percent of our electricity comes from geothermal. 10% of electricity in Nevada comes from geothermal, conventional geothermal. And there are countries in the world, ah, Kenya notably takes 50% of its national electricity from geothermal.”
Dr. Roland Horne Jun 27, 2024 ▶ 5:09 Going deep on next-gen geothermal
Jun 27, 2024 neutral
Insight
Horne: Rock permeability is the primary bottleneck for conventional geothermal energy
“And so, the three things that you need for your thermal resource are heat, water, and permeability. So, it's hot everywhere to, if you can drill deep enough and almost the entire planet is saturated with water, you know, at depth. But the places that don't hav…”
Dr. Roland Horne Jun 27, 2024 ▶ 6:46 Going deep on next-gen geothermal
May 29, 2025
Assertion Supported
Hoyland: Geothermal slim wells cost $1M to $4M at 5,000-6,000 feet
“In this case, you're going to be going to a few thousand feet, maybe as much as five or 6000 feet, and your cost is going to be in the million plus range, so call it one to two million, maybe three or four, depending on the more complex wells to prove that out…”
Carl Hoyland May 29, 2025 ▶ 19:40 How geothermal gets built
May 29, 2025 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoyland: Geothermal projects can realistically reach completion in three to four years
“If you just take it down to the bare bones of you need about one to two years to explore and confirm the resource, and about One and a half to two years to construct that power facility and tie it into the grid. So the ideal scenario would be three to four yea…”
Carl Hoyland May 29, 2025 ▶ 27:40 How geothermal gets built
Mar 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Araque: Super-hot geothermal will achieve $50 to $100 per MWh globally
“The higher outputs will be a big part of bringing those LCOEs down, and we see a hundred dollars per megawatt hour at the meter, no matter where you are in the world. Now, that includes the shallow and the deep systems. If you look specifically at the shallow …”
Carlos Araque Mar 5, 2026 ▶ 28:43 Digging deep for super hot geothermal
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