geoengineering

6 statements across 4 episodes · 1 bullish · 2 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Dec 1, 2022 by Shayle Kann · across every show →

Everything said about geoengineering, oldest first

Dec 1, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kann: Solar will be the primary technology driving global decarbonization
“I continue to fundamentally believe that solar is going to be the bedrock of decarbonization. Put another way, if you ask me what single technology will do the most to mitigate climate change, short of some potential geoengineering or nuclear fusion future, my…”
Shayle Kann Dec 1, 2022 ▶ 3:18 Unpopular solar opinions, 2022 edition
Apr 27, 2023 neutral
Insight
Surprise: Geoengineering researchers cannot control real-world technology deployment
“The experts who are researching this stuff are well-meaning and well-intentioned and are attempting to be very careful, but even with those safeguards that they're trying to impose on themselves, they are not going to have control over how this technology actu…”
Dr. Kevin Surprise Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 15:05 The Carbon Copy: A rogue geoengineering startup sparks worry
Apr 27, 2023 negative
Opinion
Dr. Buck: Make Sunsets is a performance art stunt, not geoengineering
“I don't really see this effort as relating to geoengineering. Actually, like it's basically performance. You could call it performance art. I don't know if it meets the threshold of art, but it's more of like a performance that is meant to be. A provocation or…”
Dr. Holly Buck Apr 27, 2023 ▶ 21:54 The Carbon Copy: A rogue geoengineering startup sparks worry
Sep 14, 2023 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2033
Visioni: Planet-altering geoengineering deployment is extremely unlikely in next decade
“Whatever happens, we're not doing, we're not going to change the planet in the next decade. There, we just, there's no upside. There's, it's extremely unlikely.”
Dan Visioni Sep 14, 2023 ▶ 41:15 Stopping geoengineering, by accident
Sep 14, 2023 neutral
Assertion Supported
Visioni: Global bodies like White House and UN published geoengineering reports
“In the last year, there's been a lot of advances in bringing the conversation around geoengineering to a more global public, right? There's been plenty of reports from very influential places. The White House has had a report, the OSTP, the Office of Science, …”
Dan Visioni Sep 14, 2023 ▶ 36:38 Stopping geoengineering, by accident
May 1, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Schroepfer: Geoengineering to lock current temperatures costs ~$10B annually
“About ten billion a year to, like, lock in current, current temperatures.”
Mike Schroepfer May 1, 2025 ▶ 27:20 Catalyst Live at SF Climate Week
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