carbon dioxide removal

also referred to as: cdr

10 statements across 6 episodes · 3 bullish · 3 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Apr 7, 2022 by Dr. Chris Bataille · across every show →

Everything said about carbon dioxide removal, oldest first

Apr 7, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bataille: Technical carbon dioxide removal will reach 1 to 5 gigatons annually
“The key CDR technologies, in my mind, will be direct air capture with CCS, because what CCS does is it takes the CO₂ taken by the direct air capture unit and pushes it back underground, and probably some forms of geological weathering, and it's going to be a b…”
Dr. Chris Bataille Apr 7, 2022 ▶ 34:12 Carbon capture and storage is making a comeback
Apr 7, 2022 bearish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2070
Bataille: Carbon removal is an admission we will miss net-zero targets
“We're probably going to blow past the deadline by about two decades, which means, you know, CDR is basically an admission of failure. That we did not mitigate fast enough.”
Dr. Chris Bataille Apr 7, 2022 ▶ 33:37 Carbon capture and storage is making a comeback
May 5, 2022 neutral
Insight
Orbuch: Direct air capture will be far easier to verify than biomass
“Some of the more expensive methods, like direct air capture, are gonna probably be easier to verify. And some of the potentially cheaper methods, especially those using biomass, are probably gonna be harder to verify.”
Ryan Orbuch May 5, 2022 ▶ 31:32 Growing the Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) market
May 5, 2022 bullish
Opinion
Orbuch: Carbon dioxide removal must become a standardized commodity market to scale
“Eventually it needs to get there, I think. It's going to be really bumpy and sloppy on the way. Long-term fullness of time, CDR needs to become a commodity market. I don't think there's a mechanism to scale it otherwise.”
Ryan Orbuch May 5, 2022 ▶ 27:16 Growing the Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) market
May 5, 2022 positive
Insight
Orbuch: Categorize CDR by trapping mechanism rather than natural versus engineered
“One thing that I found a little more useful is to kind of just think about like, what's the actual trapping mechanism for the CO two? Like where does the carbon actually end up? And there you can sort of think like, okay, well, it's leaving the air and another…”
Ryan Orbuch May 5, 2022 ▶ 5:34 Growing the Carbon Dioxide Removal (CDR) market
Jun 16, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Visioni: 20 years will not be enough to scale CDR effectively
“I do not think personally that in the 20 years are going to be enough to scale CDR solutions in a really, in a way that would really make an impact.”
Dan Visioni Jun 16, 2022 ▶ 37:20 Making sense of solar engineering
Jul 20, 2023 neutral
Insight
Emily Grubert: Carbon removal is a depletable resource due to physical constraints
“With CDR in particular, I think we would do well to really recognize this as essentially a depletable resource in some ways. You know, there's an amount of CO₂ in the atmosphere that means we're not going to run out anytime, you know, in the foreseeable future…”
Dr. Emily Grubert Jul 20, 2023 ▶ 30:15 The good and bad of carbon capture
Nov 9, 2023 neutral
Insight
Kann: Every carbon removal method fails on cost, scale, durability, or verifiability
“The reason for that is, the way that I Think about CDR is that you're looking, your mythical unicorn solution for removing CO two from the atmosphere has four characteristics. It is cheap, which is, you know, let's just call it sub a hundred dollars a ton, but…”
Shayle Kann Nov 9, 2023 ▶ 38:34 Mailbag episode! Interest rates, carbon dioxide removal, load growth, and more
Jan 4, 2024 negative
Insight
Orbuch: Overly conservative scientific governance breaks carbon removal project finance
“Like, loudest, most conservative scientist in the room-based governance doesn't work for this. You actually do need to make something off-takeable and contractable, and the way you do that is for these emerging more uncertain approaches, or the approaches that…”
Ryan Orbuch Jan 4, 2024 ▶ 45:56 Fixing the messy voluntary carbon market
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