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Jon Wertheim

Executive Editor, Sports Illustrated · 1 appearance on the record.

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Jon Wertheim is a reporter who has covered sports, business, and cultural affairs for Sports Illustrated since the late 1990s and has reported for 60 Minutes since 2017. He has authored multiple books, including Scorecasting and Strokes of Genius, and has served as an analyst for Tennis Channel.

15statements → 5claims → 2claims resolved → 3.53/5average certainty → 1.73/5average debate potential → ≈4.5/5argument clarity, estimated → 5said about them ↓

1 supported 1 partly supported 0 contradicted 1 not yet assessed 2 not checkable as stated how the 5 claims stand · each chip opens the sources

2 predictions · 3 assertions · 2 opinions · 8 insights · every statement was checked. The predictions and assertions are the 5 claims: statements the public record can support or contradict. 2 are resolved, 1 is not yet assessed, and 2 name no date, number or outcome precise enough to check. Everything else (opinions, insights, what ifs, disclosures) can never be settled by the record, so it carries no assessment.

The record, in short

What the tape says about how Jon argues and how the claims held up. Everything they said, and everything said about them, is in the tabs below.

Their most notable supported claim

Assertion Supported
Wertheim: Studies show team wins increase fans' task confidence
“There are a number of studies that people have more confidence in their ability to do tasks when their team wins versus when they lose.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 30:17 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)

Expressed certainty vs assessment result

none yet certainty 1
none yet certainty 2
50% certainty 3
100% certainty 4
none yet certainty 5

weighted support: a fully supported claim counts one, a partly supported claim counts half. Each filled bar is clickable and opens exactly those claims; "none yet" means nothing said at that certainty level has resolved yet

How they sound: not measured why? →

We measure speaking style by listening to the audio itself, and a fair number needs at least 2,000 words from one person on tape we have measured. There is too little of Jon Wertheim on measured tape to publish a rate. This says nothing about how they speak.

Everything Jon Wertheim said on Capital Allocators that made the record, most notable first. Filter by type, assessment or year in the ledger →

Prediction Open · timeframe Jun 2024
Wertheim: Sports betting will be ubiquitous, mobile, and live in-game
“I mean, I think that pretty soon we're going to be at a place where sports gambling, in different iterations, is going to be legal everywhere, that we're not just betting on point spreads and Whether the Patriots are going to beat the Jets, but we're going to …”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 32:19 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Opinion
Wertheim: Tennis is one of the most underleveraged assets in sports
“To me, it's one of the great, if we're going to stay in business terms, this is one of the great under leveraged assets. I mean, this sport to me has so much going for it.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 10:26 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Opinion
Wertheim: Tennis lags behind other sports in data analytics adoption
“Tennis does not do very well on the analytics front, and I don't know if that is just It hasn't thought creatively. I don't know if it's the fact that it's not like you can rig up an NBA arena and you're good for 40 days, right? I mean, this is a circuit, so i…”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 13:57 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Wertheim: Raw tennis metrics like serve percentage are often misleading without context
“If you serve 90% of your first serves, Well, that's an extraordinarily high number. Ted must have been having a tremendous serving day. Or was Ted playing too conservatively and hitting the ball into the middle of the box and not taking chances, and that 90% i…”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 14:25 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Wertheim: Sports and Investing Resist Acknowledging the Role of Luck
“Luck in some ways is, is really anathema to sports, right? We work hard and we game plan and we strategize and we compete and we sweat. We don't want to think that this is just in the hands of fate or coin flip. I mean, in some ways, luck is very much at odds …”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 19:32 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Sports executives often prioritize job preservation over maximizing team wins
“And so a lot of times in sports, you end up with decisions being made that actually don't maximize your chances of winning. But what they maximize is your chance of keeping a job.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 27:24 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Loss aversion and omission bias drive suboptimal decisions in sports
“I think loss aversion and omission bias are two things that in investing and also in sports have us making some really suboptimal choices, but like shooting overhand free throws, at least we're on the right side of convention.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 29:08 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wertheim: Most sports bettors will lose; only quantitative models will win
“People that place bets based on emotion are going to get burned. I think we're going to have a lot of conspiracy theories. I think there are going to be very few winners, and I think like Investing in general. I think there are going to be winners that are goi…”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 33:10 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Wertheim: Athletes respect direct confrontation more than fawning media questions
“These athletes are I think at some level respect being confronted and having a real conversation and the athlete media relationship is very strange. It was when I started. It's probably more so today, but if you can just have a normal conversation, I think tha…”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 40:47 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Wertheim: Media companies now embrace journalist moonlighting across platforms
“When I started, if you wanted to do an NPR interview, you would have to jump through hoops and get signed approval from a manager's manager. And now I think there's much more of an acknowledgement and a reasonable policy that as long as something isn't directl…”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 7:29 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wertheim: Very few pro tennis players come from country clubs
“It is known as this country club sport, but really, at least at the professional level, very few players come up that way”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 9:44 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Wertheim: Fierce rivals can compete intensely without becoming enemies
“Very early on, they recognized that rivalry ultimately benefits both of them, and Nadal may deprive me of a few titles, and Federer may deprive Deprive me of a few titles, but ultimately I'm better off for having this guy in my life. And they've shown that you…”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 18:18 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Assertion Supported
Wertheim: Studies show team wins increase fans' task confidence
“There are a number of studies that people have more confidence in their ability to do tasks when their team wins versus when they lose.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 30:17 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Assertion Partly supported
The Golden State Warriors' valuation represents a 10x gain
“Golden State Warriors are now worth probably in excess of four billion dollars. That's 10 X what the owners paid for it not that long ago.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 35:14 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)
Insight
Wertheim: Letting subjects fill silence beats trying to prove interview expertise
“Sometimes less is more and a simple question and letting the subject fill any silence is better than jumping in and trying to prove that you belong to be at the table.”
Jon Wertheim Jun 17, 2019 ▶ 38:03 Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102)

The other half of the tape: Jon Wertheim's own voice is left out of every number here. Other people bring the name up 5 times in 2 episodes on Capital Allocators. every mention, with the transcript →

Who brings them up most Ted Seides 5

Every mention by year

tap a year for its mentions
00214120172018201920202021202220232024episodesmentions
01120172018201920202021202220232024episodes it came up in
0020.54120172018201920202021202220232024episodesmentions per episode
2024 4 mentions in 1 episode
2017 1 mention in 1 episode

Appearances (1)

EpisodeDateSpeaking time
Jon Wertheim – Sports and… (Capital Allocators, EP. 102) Jun 17, 2019 31m
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