Western world

5 statements across 2 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 1 people on the record · first statement Apr 25, 2022 by Louis-Vincent Gave · said 41 times in 16 episodes since 2018 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Marko Papic (10), James Aitken (8), Adam Rodman (7), Louis-Vincent Gave (5), Rashmi Kwatra (2), Leda Braga (2), Fabrice Grinda (2), Sandra Robertson (1)

tap a year for its mentions
00103206201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions
036201820192020202120222023202420252026episodes it came up in
002346201820192020202120222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 1 mention in 1 episode
2023 8 mentions in 2 episodes 4 per episode
2022 20 mentions in 6 episodes 3 per episode
2021 4 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2020 6 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
2018 2 mentions in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Western world, oldest first

Apr 25, 2022 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gave: EM wealth will stay local, strengthening domestic currencies and equities
“From now on, I think emerging markets, people will keep their money in emerging markets, which should make for much stronger currencies, domestic blue markets”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 24:14 Louis-Vincent Gave – Macro Consequences of Government Sanctions (Capital Allocators, EP.247)
Apr 25, 2022 positive
Insight
Gave: Impartial rule of law is the West's greatest comparative advantage
“My starting point when I look at the world today is that the biggest comparative advantage the Western world has is the rule of law, is the fact that you can be brown, black, white, Chinese, Indian, it doesn't matter. You can be Hindu, Muslim, Jewish, Christia…”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 20:38 Louis-Vincent Gave – Macro Consequences of Government Sanctions (Capital Allocators, EP.247)
Apr 25, 2022 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gave: Money will move from the West to hubs like Dubai and Singapore
“The most obvious one for me is you're going to have to have the birth of new financial centers, which might be Hong Kong, might be Singapore, might be Dubai, but money will be starting to move away from Western world.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Apr 25, 2022 ▶ 26:19 Louis-Vincent Gave – Macro Consequences of Government Sanctions (Capital Allocators, EP.247)
Oct 10, 2022 bullish
Prediction Partly held up
Gave: Asian currencies and EM bonds will revalue against Western debt
“I think the next coming years, we're now entering a cycle of revaluation of Asian currencies, revaluation of emerging market bonds relative to those of the Western world. I think it started, and I think very few people are positioned for it.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 17:42 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
Oct 10, 2022
Assertion Partly supported
Gave: EM money supply grew far less than Western aggregates during COVID
“You look at the monetary aggregates of Brazil or China or Indonesia, they didn't grow to the same extent as we saw in the Western world.”
Louis-Vincent Gave Oct 10, 2022 ▶ 26:07 Louis-Vincent Gave – The Case for Emerging Markets (Capital Allocators, EP.275)
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