premortem

also referred to as: pre-mortem

9 statements across 3 episodes · 8 bullish · 0 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Oct 9, 2017 by Jason Klein · across every show →

Everything said about premortem, oldest first

Oct 9, 2017 positive
Insight
Klein: Post-commitment premortems uncover overlooked risks and create monitoring checklists
“What we have found is that creative thinking, once you're fully committed, It lets you take a step back and identify things that, from a different perspective, maybe you didn't do, identify earlier on, and what it also does is it gives you a sort of checklist …”
Jason Klein Oct 9, 2017 ▶ 37:08 Jason Klein – Investing to Cure Cancer (Capital Allocators, EP.28)
Nov 19, 2018 positive
Insight
Duke: Premortems redefine teamwork to include exploring failure modes
“So I think this idea of doing these premortems are really important because it shifts what it means to be a team player into something where you're willing to explore the way that things can go wrong.”
Annie Duke Nov 19, 2018 ▶ 31:59 Annie Duke – Thinking More in Bets (Capital Allocators, EP.76)
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Insight
Klein: Pre-mortems fail unless facilitators assert the plan has definitively failed
“We see premortems fail when the person who's facilitating will say something like, okay, we've seen the plan, let's do a premortem, what could go wrong with the plan? That's the wrong approach. What can go wrong with the plan? That's a typical critiquing appro…”
Gary Klein Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 25:35 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Assertion Supported
Klein: Pre-mortems reduce overconfidence significantly more than listing pros and cons
“Listing pros and cons are just cons. Reduced confidence, but the premortem reduced confidence more than any of the other techniques we measured.”
Gary Klein Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 46:28 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Insight
Klein: Pre-mortems succeed by turning risk identification into a competition
“On the other hand, with a pre-mortem, The contest is to see who can come up with the most clever and worrisome issues that haven't been discussed at the time, so the whole incentive system changes, and now people, people are competing with each other to come u…”
Gary Klein Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 31:15 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Insight
Klein: Pre-mortem leaders must share a serious risk first to set candor
“And the reason for that is people don't know how candid to be, and the leader is going to set an example. And if the leader picks something that's frivolous or trivial, that tells people not to take it seriously. So it's really important for the leader to come…”
Gary Klein Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 24:31 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
Sep 23, 2019
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Johnson: A 27-person pre-mortem uncovered four path-critical risks I missed
“I ran a pre-mortem a year ago on a project we were going to launch. 27 people in the room. Wrote 27 things down on the first pass. Five of them were path critical. Of those five, I'd only thought of one.”
Paul Johnson Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 38:11 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Insight
Klein: Pre-mortems must be capped at 20 to 30 minutes
“Premortem should take no more than a half hour, Maybe 20 minutes. If it goes for an hour, that's too long. So there's a virtue of keeping it really brief, because that compresses the energy rather than dissipates it.”
Gary Klein Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 44:43 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
Sep 23, 2019 positive
Insight
Klein: Cap pre-mortem risk writing at exactly two minutes
“When we did this for a number of projects in my company, one minute was leaving people frustrated, because people were still writing when they said time is up. When we tried three minutes, a lot of people would be finished, and they'd be twiddling their thumbs…”
Gary Klein Sep 23, 2019 ▶ 24:04 Gary Klein with Paul Sonkin and Paul Johnson – Conducting Pre-Mortem Analysis (Capital Allocators, EP.109)
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