Long-Term Capital Management

4 statements across 4 episodes · 0 bullish · 1 bearish · 4 people on the record · first statement Oct 22, 2018 by Andrew Tsai · said 46 times in 25 episodes since 2017 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Anthony Scaramucci (5), Andy Redleaf (4), Andrew Tsai (4), Ted Seides (3), Michael Mauboussin (3), Michael Cembalest (3), Daniel Mahr (3), Gregory Zuckerman (2)

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2026 2 mentions in 1 episode
2025 5 mentions in 3 episodes 2 per episode
2024 1 mention in 1 episode
2023 6 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode
2022 4 mentions in 3 episodes 1 per episode
2021 1 mention in 1 episode
2020 3 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode
2019 7 mentions in 5 episodes 1 per episode
2018 13 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode
2017 4 mentions in 2 episodes 2 per episode

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Everything said about Long-Term Capital Management, oldest first

Oct 22, 2018
Insight
Market crises can wipe out investors before mean reversion occurs
“When things go bad, they can go much worse than you expected. And things can really happen that, that don't make sense. And it doesn't matter if it makes sense or not, because you're not around to take advantage of the other side.”
Andrew Tsai Oct 22, 2018 ▶ 15:56 Andrew Tsai – Catching a Theme on the Chalkstream (EP.73)
Nov 4, 2024 neutral
Opinion
Bessent: LTCM's 1998 collapse was relative value gone amok, not macro
“Long-term capital had blown up in 1998, And that wasn't really macro, it was more RV gone amok.”
Scott Bessent Nov 4, 2024 ▶ 32:15 Scott Bessent - Macro Maven (EP.415)
Nov 3, 2025 bearish
Assertion Supported
IG credit spreads are at their tightest levels since the late 1990s
“Spreads are super tight. They're tighter now than they were before the GFC in the investment grade world, which is mind blowing. Spreads tightened the tightest level since pre-long-term capital management in the late nineties.”
Jeff Aronson Nov 3, 2025 ▶ 39:14 Jeff Aronson – Building Centerbridge Across the Capital Structure (EP.468)
Nov 20, 2025 neutral
What-if
Mahr: LTCM Would Not Have Failed Without 50x Leverage
“If long-term capital management hadn't been running a fifty-x leveraged strategy, They wouldn't have ended up in the trouble that they ended up with.”
Daniel Mahr Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 37:45 Daniel Mahr – Glass Box Quant at MDT Advisers (EP.472)
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