Daniel Mahr, Head of MDT Advisers, discusses how market observers conflate normal quantitative strategy drawdowns with catastrophic leverage-driven unwinds.
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“If long-term capital management hadn't been running a fifty-x leveraged strategy, They wouldn't have ended up in the trouble that they ended up with.”
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More from Daniel Mahr
Insight
Mahr: Valuation matters far more for mature companies than new entrants
“Valuation is a lot more important for companies that have been around for a long time than a brand new entrant to the public markets.”
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Mahr: Decades-long trend toward market efficiency broke in recent years
“It does feel like the markets are different in the last couple of years than they were a decade ago. If you asked me five years ago, are markets on a never ending trend towards efficiency? And is your job as a systematic investor It's going to get harder and h…”
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Disclosure
Mahr: MDT trains its machine learning models on 50 years of data
“We train our models on roughly 50 years worth of data, which I say that to some potential investors and they're surprised. We think that market data from the 19 seventies and eighties is still useful for forecasting mispricing.”
Daniel MahrNov 20, 2025▶ 45:49Daniel Mahr – Glass Box Quant at MDT Advisers (EP.472)
“At MDT, that is not the case. We like to position our investment strategies as being a glass box. There's a lot of machinery on the inside, but we can see into it. We can see how it's working and understand what's driving all of the decision making on a day-to…”
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Insight
Mahr: Stocks down 70-80% yield strong returns when combined with value
“A number of years ago, we started adding price-based factors to our model, and the price-based factors found momentum effects, as was published in the academic literature and as we fully expected to see, but it also found some very powerful reversal effects wh…”
Daniel MahrNov 20, 2025▶ 16:11Daniel Mahr – Glass Box Quant at MDT Advisers (EP.472)
Insight
Mahr: Deep reversals work because investors emotionally avoid 'bad stories'
“This is precisely why this strategy works is because even quantitative investors who are intentionally trying to buy these stocks Find it hard to overcome the human emotions involved with buying a bad story.”
Daniel MahrNov 20, 2025▶ 17:21Daniel Mahr – Glass Box Quant at MDT Advisers (EP.472)
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