IPO

also referred to as: ipos

17 statements across 17 episodes · 3 bullish · 6 bearish · 16 people on the record · first statement Nov 13, 2017 by Meredith Jenkins · across every show →

Everything said about IPO, oldest first

Nov 13, 2017 bearish
Insight
Jenkins: IPOs are priced for sellers, not value buyers
“When you're taking something public, it's probably not a value option, a value play, right? You're taking, you're trying to take advantage of getting a good price in the market For the person who's selling their equity, not buying it.”
Meredith Jenkins Nov 13, 2017 ▶ 6:22 Meredith Jenkins – A Path to Trinity (Capital Allocators, EP.31)
Sep 17, 2018 neutral
Opinion
Crypto security token issuances are not cheaper than traditional IPOs
“Today, I'm not sure it is cheaper. Because if you look at the costs around an IPO, yeah, there's some legal costs, there's some accounting costs, like there's some things you could probably automate, but the really big costs are the bankers that are selling it…”
Stephen McKeon Sep 17, 2018 ▶ 58:27 Stephen McKeon – Professor of Crypto Security Tokens (Capital Allocators, EP.69)
May 13, 2019 neutral
Assertion Supported
Mauboussin: M&A, IPOs, and Buybacks Are Heavily Pro-Cyclical
“Things like mergers and acquisitions, share buybacks, IPOs, have historically been associated with high market levels, right?... And by contrast, M&A tends to dry up when you've had difficult times, IPOs dry up and buybacks dry up.”
Michael Mauboussin May 13, 2019 ▶ 12:09 Michael Mauboussin – Who's on the Other Side (Capital Allocators, EP.99)
Aug 26, 2019 negative
Opinion
Ries: Delayed IPO timelines locking retail investors out of growth is a travesty
“All growth companies, the average time to becoming public has gone way, way, way up. That means that the great public has been blocked out of the ability to invest in growth, and everyone, I'm sure your listeners know this phenomenon very well, but it's a trav…”
Eric Ries Aug 26, 2019 ▶ 23:02 Eric Ries – Lean Start-Ups and the Long-Term Stock Exchange (Capital Allocators, EP.107)
Sep 2, 2019
Assertion Supported
Median Time From Founding to IPO Has Doubled to 12 Years
“For the last 15 years, it's basically been 10 to 12 years, so we've almost doubled the time to stay private”
Scott Kupor Sep 2, 2019 ▶ 41:13 Scott Kupor - Andreessen Horowitz (First Meeting EP.07)
Jul 15, 2021 neutral
Insight
Casdin: Biotech companies go public faster than tech due to capital needs
“There is a IPO, time to public market, that has been far shorter than what the tech industry has experienced, Because unlike the tech industry, these companies' product development cycles are seven to 10 years, and they need capital, and so the public markets …”
Eli Casdin Jul 15, 2021 ▶ 42:19 Eli Casdin – Casdin Capital (Manager Meetings, EP.02)
Aug 2, 2021 negative
Opinion
Excuses That IPO Windows Close for Summer Holidays Make No Sense
“The big one is how so many market participants explain the market as if it's true. So for example, when they say, well, the reason this time is not good for IPOs is although the market is up, that's the secondary market, but the primary market is struggling ri…”
Orlando Bravo Aug 2, 2021 ▶ 1:02:31 Private Equity Masters 7: Orlando Bravo – Thoma Bravo (Capital Allocators, EP.206)
Mar 30, 2023 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Between 25 and 40 companies go public with TRAs annually
“So on an annual basis, there are, call it, 25 to 40 IPOs with TRAs, depending on the IPO market.”
Andy Lee Mar 30, 2023 ▶ 11:48 Andy Lee – Empty Rooms: Investing in Tax Assets at Parallaxes Capital (Capital Allocators, EP.305)
Jul 13, 2023
Insight
Traditional venture capital operates on an 'IPO or bust' ethos
“Since the dawn of venture capital, it's been IPO or bust. You're going to have these, we call them needle movers, these iconic companies that really define venture capital and define venture capital firms. The quest is about that versus we've got really good c…”
Ravi Viswanathan Jul 13, 2023 ▶ 12:48 Ravi Viswanathan – Venture Secondaries and Growth Capital at NewView (EP.327)
Aug 28, 2023 positive
Assertion Contradicted
Gordon: HCA's IPO Raised Mainly Secondary Capital, Not Debt Paydown
“The IPO is actually mainly Secondary capital, because we had done a good job of growing into our capital structure and already going down the path of spreading it over time.”
Chris Gordon Aug 28, 2023 ▶ 41:46 Classic Deal: HCA – Chris Gordon, Bain Capital (EP.335)
Feb 19, 2024 negative
Assertion Supported
Mauboussin: US IPOs averaged 280 annually before 2001 vs 120 since
“The main way companies get added are initial public offerings, and what we've seen is IPOs from 76 to 2000 averaged about 280 per year. They're a couple years way above that, and since 2001, they're about a 120. And by the way, the last couple years, Have been…”
Michael Mauboussin Feb 19, 2024 ▶ 27:57 Michael Mauboussin - Pattern Recognition and Public Markets (EP.370)
Jun 3, 2024 negative
Insight
Fink: Mega-cap PE managers face severe exit constraints compared to mid-market
“So in that environment, it's particularly more difficult for larger managers because you have fewer ways to exit. You really can only exit through IPO or through publicly traded company making a very, very large acquisition. Those don't happen every day.”
Anne-Marie Fink Jun 3, 2024 ▶ 40:44 Anne-Marie Fink - Cutting Edge Pension Investing at SWIB (EP.389)
Jun 17, 2024
Assertion Supported
PE IPO exits average a 42% pop versus 25% for M&A
“On exit, M&A on average is 25%, and IPOs are 42%, POPs, which would suggest that public markets pays more for assets on the exits than M&A does, corporates.”
Yann Robard Jun 17, 2024 ▶ 28:12 Yann Robard - Liquidity Solutions for Private Capital at Dawson (EP.392)
Nov 20, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Mahr: Dot-com brokerages distributed hot IPO shares first-come, first-served
“There were a lot of IPOs in that market environment, the dot-com bubble. They would go up a hundred percent, 200% or more on the day that they priced, and there were a small number of investment firms that would get allocations to these IPOs, and they would of…”
Daniel Mahr Nov 20, 2025 ▶ 4:20 Daniel Mahr – Glass Box Quant at MDT Advisers (EP.472)
Dec 8, 2025 positive
Insight
Wolfe: Oligopolistic M&A bidding wars generate better returns than IPOs
“Our best outcomes, as an aside, have always been an oligopolistic industry structure where there's three or four players who are going to irrationally compete to own the asset because they want it and they don't want their competitor to get it leads to the bes…”
Josh Wolfe Dec 8, 2025 ▶ 15:59 Josh Wolfe & Brett McGurk – Venture, Geopolitics, and the Next Frontier (EP.476)
Feb 23, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
Warrington: Half of IPOs over the past year priced below private rounds
“If you look at the last 12 odd months, about half the IPOs that have happened are below their last financing round.”
Sean Warrington Feb 23, 2026 ▶ 24:48 Ed Grefenstette and Sean Warrington – Venture Market Update (EP.488)
Apr 20, 2026 positive
Insight
Comegys: Best Practice Is Adding IPOs to Index Funds on Day 3 to 5
“The minute a company comes public, it belongs in an index fund. We've had that belief for a long time. You might need a few days for it to get trading and figure out price discovery. Our best indexes add those securities in day three or day five.”
Rodney Comegys Apr 20, 2026 ▶ 35:16 Rodney Comegys – The Mechanics of Indexing at Vanguard (EP.498)
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