The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 148 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Gurley: Anthropic funds more lobbyists advocating for AI regulation than anyone else
“No one's funding more lobbyists begging for AI regulation than Anthropic themselves.”
Dr. Moore: Five obese online friends exponentially increases your obesity risk
“They showed in one study that if you have even five friends on the internet, just internet, Proximity, not in real person who are struggling with obesity, your chances of becoming obese are exponentially higher.”
Dr. Moore: IVF hormonal treatments damage metabolic health and reduce fertility
“That's the problem, is that hormonal load that these women go through is just wreaking havoc on their metabolic health, so they're becoming less and less and less It's fertile through the process of IVF.”
Brooks: Anonymous internet posters are overwhelmingly likely Dark Triad personalities
“Do you like to post anonymously on the internet? Because the answer is yes, you're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a dark triad. You're overwhelmingly likely to be talking to a pathological personality, somebody who really likes to stir up trouble and h…”
Kennedy: Hundreds remain missing in North Carolina and Tennessee disaster zone unreported
“The number of missing is, is still in the hundreds and again, not being reported.”
Saladino: Consumed animal organs biologically target and support corresponding human organs
“What you see is there's a lot of evidence that Oregon's Do support the corresponding organ in humans, which really breaks the mind of a traditionally trained doctor like myself. So when you give we can take an embryo, for instance, and you put a little bit of …”
Sanchez: Passive income represents under 1% of US earned income
“According to the Federal Reserve survey, only 11% of Americans earn any passive income at all. And of those, 75% comes from real estate requiring some management. So truly passive monthly income represents less than one percent of all income earned in the U.S.”
Sanchez: 95% of Shopify Stores Never Make a Single Sale
“Shopify says, 95% of stores, they never make a single sale.”
Sanchez: 90% of Amazon FBA Businesses Fail or Make Under $100/Month
“Amazon fulfilled by Amazon, so Amazon FBA. 90% fail rate. Or they plateau at, let me tell you how much, a hundred bucks a month in profit.”
Sanchez: EQ increases salary 20-30% while IQ has zero correlation to wealth
“I was reading a study the other day about how there's something like a, like, 20 to 30% increase in salary just from thinking about increasing your EQ and really ignoring IQ, that IQ almost has no correlation between monetary success.”
Sanchez: Sequoia Capital only allows non-profits to invest in its funds
“And I know this because my friends at Sequoia who are big, huge investors, they only allow nonprofits to invest now. They like will not take actively many people's money.”
Sanchez: Intelligence has zero correlation with how much money people make
“Once you realize that, your life will totally change because intelligence really has no correlation with how much money you can make.”
Sanchez: Hotels Have an Average Profit Margin of Negative 15 Percent
“Do you guys know they are negative margin? Which means if I give you a hundred bucks in a hotel you actually don't give me anything back. You cost me another 15 bucks. They have a -15% margin on average.”
Dr. Moore: Intermittent fasting and high-intensity training cause weight gain
“If you're a middle-aged woman, you're stressed out of your mind, you're insulin resistant by nature because your hormones are waning. Now you're trying to do these long, intermittent fasts. You're trying to do hardcore intensity training because you're like, I…”
Dr. Moore: One person's antibiotics shift the entire household's microbiome
“He was sharing that a study a few years ago where one person in the family took an antibiotic and the entire family's microbiome shifted within days.”
Brooks: Median number of questions men ask on first dates is zero
“You know, the average, by the way, the average number of questions asked by a man on a first date, according to my colleague, Alison Woodbrooks at HBS? Zero. That's the average. That's the median number of questions asked by a man on a first date with a woman.”
Brooks: Dating apps funnel 80% of overtures to dark triad men
“80% of the overtures toward men go to 10% of the male population, and those are not the right guys. Those are a lot of dark triads. The dark triads are the ones who show the best in every format, including in, in, in dating profiles.”
Sanchez: Research shows high IQ does not lead to higher income
“There is little to no research that high IQ leads to higher income. Now there is research that shows really low IQ or very Like lower mid IQ and below does materially show that you're going to make less money. Lots of research showing that, but there's not a l…”
Voss: Psychopathy Prevalence Estimates Have Risen to Roughly 1 in 35
“When I first started looking at the number, you know, they used to say like one in every 112, 116, and now they're saying roughly one in 35”
Saladino: No randomized controlled trials on seed oils in 50 to 70 years
“Most of them were done, in fact, all of them were done really between the late 19 fifties and the early 19 seventies. So they're all 50 to 70 years old. We haven't had a randomized controlled trial with seed oils in 50 to 70 years.”
Saladino: Bad breath is caused by gut dysbiosis, not lack of toothpaste
“And if you have bad breath, it's not that you're not brushing your teeth with toothpaste, it's that you have dysbiosis in your gut, right? So it all comes back to quality of food.”
Galloway: 30-year-olds are poorer than their parents were at 30
“And for the first time in our nation's history, a thirty-year-old man or woman isn't as wealthy as his or her parents were at 30, which in my opinion is a fundamental breakdown in the compact we have between us and America.”
Galloway: Top 25 Wealthiest Americans Pay 6% to 8% Tax
“The wealthiest 25 Americans pay an average tax rate of six to eight percent.”
Galloway: Urban women under 30 earn more than men
“Women under the age of 30 in urban centers are making more money than men.”
Ramaswamy: An oligopoly of political fundraising bundlers keeps up to ten percent
“There's a tiny group. It's an oligopoly of people who raise money, bundling and otherwise, who get to keep a large percentage, sometimes up to 10% of what they actually raise.”
Brooks: Over 20 years, women's happiness has declined to men's levels
“But what you've found is that over the past 20 years or so, women have converged downward to the unhappiness levels of men. So they've converged, and at first I thought, great, men are getting happier. Women are getting unhappier is what we find, and they're g…”
Adelman: U.S. electricians are currently earning almost $200,000 a year
“Electricians are making almost 200,000 a year right now.”
Sanchez: Owner Dependency Is the Number One Reason Businesses Don't Sell
“And when we look at the autopsy of these dead businesses, the number one reason, owner dependency.”
Hammer: Only education, housing, and healthcare increased as US income shares
“School, housing, healthcare. Some of the, it's like the three, only three categories that has gone up as a percentage of our income as Americans over the past hundred years or so. Everything else has gone down. Even groceries, even going out to eat has gone do…”
Sanchez: Passive information consumption depletes dopamine needed for execution
“Neuroscience shows you're burning the exact dopamine your brain needs for execution. It can't tell the difference.”
Jain: On-time rent payment is the best predictor of mortgage payment
“It didn't make sense that paying your rent on time every month for five years has no bearing on whether you're eligible to get a mortgage payment. That's the best predictor of whether you're gonna pay your mortgage on time.”
Sanchez: Negative YouTube titles and thumbnails generate 23% higher CTR
“In YouTube, we know that if you have a negative versus a positive thumbnail and title, you have a 23% higher click-through rate.”
Galloway: One in three romantic relationships begin in the workplace
“One in three relationships begin at work. And 99% of them are consensual.”
Sanchez: TikTok Based Its Algorithm on 5-to-10 Second Attention Limits
“TikTok actually based its entire algorithm on this single idea that humans can only pay attention for five to 10 seconds.”
Sanchez: Closed Rib Cage Posture Increases Cortisol and Lowers Testosterone
“So when your rib cage is closed like this, it's going to actually increase your cortisol. So that's your stress. And it's going to decrease your testosterone, which is like the aggressive energy that flows through us.”
Manson: Affluent neighborhoods and countries have higher suicide rates than poor ones
“The poorer the country or the poorer the neighborhood, the lower the suicide rate, and the more affluent the country and the more affluent the neighborhood, the higher the suicide rate.”
Daymond John: High school trade grads earn $70k, matching college grads
“A kid graduating college today is gonna barely make 70, 80,000. A kid who does a trade, like in my buddy Crash Champions, or HVAC, or these things that people don't want to do anymore, they're making 70,000 coming out of high school.”
Poumpouras: Rumination activates the same brain circuitry as cocaine use
“When you ruminate over something, you notice how sometimes it can be addicting. It actually gives you the same high, it actually activates the same part of the brain that gets activated when you do coke.”
Freitas: Modern Public Education Was Built on the Prussian Factory Model
“The modern public education system was built off of a Prussian model that was designed to make really good conscripts and factory workers.”
Sanchez: Haliey Welch's followers lost tens of millions in a crypto venture
“She confused virality for actual direction and she ended up going all in on this crypto coin and her followers lost tens and tens and tens of millions of dollars.”
Chinese Sellers Outnumber US Sellers on Amazon Three to One
“Chinese sellers outnumber US sellers. By almost three X on Amazon.”
Sanchez: Alpha School students score 2-3 standard deviations above traditional schools
“And basically, Alpha School came out with, like, two or three standard deviations of scoring by their students than a traditional school”
Dr. Moore: Prozac was never studied as a long-term depression treatment
“Like Prozac for instance. It was never studied long term for depression. It was studied to be implemented as a basically like an emergency shoot when you're going through a terrible time period. You use it during a window.”
Dr. Moore: Untreated fatty liver becomes cirrhotic in 10 to 20 years
“Most doctors have fatty liver themselves. So they tell you, oh, your labs are normal. You have some fatty liver. That's okay. It's like, no, it's not okay. Your liver is literally going to be cirrhotic in 1020 years. Like this is maybe a little longer depends …”
Harvard study: Calling a team a 'family' lowers business profits
“Harvard psychology professor Dr. Richard Hackman actually found that when a team was called a family, it reduces constructive conflict and challenge and lowers the profits of the business.”
Tough-love company cultures grow faster than retention-first businesses
“Companies that embrace a performance driven culture and quote unquote, tough love attract higher performing talent and grow at a faster rate than those that focus on retention at all costs.”