why aren't all 414 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Jensen Huang Has 60 Direct Reports at Nvidia
“He has 60 direct reports, six zero. Most CEOs have eight to 10.”
Assertion Supported
Hammer: Modern Individuals Have More Disposable Income Than Any Point in History
“It might be a lower percentage of homeowners, but in terms of disposable income that we have, it's better than anywhere else in human history.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: The youngest female self-made billionaire came from prediction markets
“I was really upset when I saw the first, like, female young, or the youngest female self-billionaire was from Prediction Markets.”
Assertion Supported
Zimmer: UTA canceled Oscar party to protest Trump travel ban
“We represented this, ah, boy, I'm embarrassed, I can't remember his name, a fantastic Iranian director who directed a movie called The Separation. And we represented him, and he was nominated for Academy Award, and this is in the first Trump presidency where h…”
Assertion Supported
McDonald: 528 Hz Sound Frequencies Can Lower Cortisol and Relieve Stress
“There is a very small study that shows that actually it can have the ability to reduce cortisol and relieve anxiety and stress. And I've actually found in people that I work with that it's extremely effective with people.”
Assertion Supported
Brooks: Depression has tripled and anxiety doubled for people under 30
“Depression has increased by about a factor of three for people under 30. Anxiety by about a factor of two.”
Assertion Supported
Brooks: Two-thirds of men prefer electric shocks over sitting in silence
“Two-thirds of the guys Would prefer to shock themselves painfully. One guy shocked himself a 190 times in 15 minutes, had to be thrown out of the experiment for being a sick and twisted freak.”
Assertion Supported
Eyal: Trader underwent 55-minute surgery with zero anesthesia via hypnosedation
“He goes into the operating room, and the doctors, for 55 minutes, cut into flesh and bone, pull out metal screws from his body with zero local anesthesia, zero general anesthesia, All through the power of his mind.”
Assertion Supported
Eyal: Evidence disproves ego depletion unless people believe willpower is limited
“Well, it turns out it's not true. That when we try and replicate those studies, and this happens in the social science, this is how science works. Science doesn't say anything. Science is the process of doing repeated experiments and seeing if they replicate, …”
Assertion Supported
Galloway: Older Generation Receives $1.3T Annually in Social Security
“The wealthiest generation in the history of the planet gets 1.3 trillion dollars a year in the form of Social Security.”
Assertion Supported
Galloway: US will spend more on national debt interest than military
“We're now, this year, going to spend more money on interest on the debt than we spend on our military.”
Assertion Supported
Galloway: Amazon's third-party seller take rate rose from 20% to 45%
“Amazon, 20 years ago, if you were a third-party marketer or a third-party reseller selling your products on Amazon, they took about 20%. Of your gross dollar volume, now they take 45, because they kind of own the market.”
Assertion Supported
Zahrai: Research shows individuals can intentionally change personality traits
“We do know from research and my own is you can actually change a personality trait if you choose to.”
Assertion Supported
Zahrai: Pure positive visualization drains the energy required to reach goals
“There was a study that came out in the, it was probably the mid-twenty tens, and they looked at the role of, they called it positive fantasies. So the term manifesting, or it's not in the literature, but positive fantasies about where you want to be. And they …”
Assertion Supported
Lyon: Larger Waistlines Correlate Directly With Decreased Brain Volume
“The more overweight you are, the wider your waistline, the lower the brain volume.”
Assertion Supported
Ellsworth is the only female beverage founder with an exit this large
“Especially in beverage, I am the only female founder of an exit of this size ever, right?”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: University costs grew three to four times while post-grad salaries stayed flat
“If you look at the actual numbers for educational institutions today, we have had a three to four x incline in the cost of universities, and we have had a flat line of return, meaning our salary increases after university.”
Prediction Held up
Sanchez: $5T–$10T in Businesses Will Transfer from Baby Boomers
“The numbers are between somewhere between five and 10 trillion dollars worth of businesses are going to be transferred from baby boomer generation to our generation.”
Assertion Supported
Malik: Women Have More Testosterone Than Estrogen in Their Bodies
“So testosterone in women, we have more testosterone than we do estrogen in our bodies.”
Assertion Supported
Malik: Erectile Dysfunction Precedes Heart Issues by 2 to 3 Years
“And so it's like two to three years before you're going to see a heart issue, you're going to see erectile dysfunction.”
Assertion Supported
Malik: Couples watching pornography together tend to have more sex
“And actually couples who watch it together tend to have more sex.”
Assertion Supported
Malik: Data Shows Women Who Consume Pornography Tend to Have More Sex
“So there's data that like women who watch pornography, and this is not like everybody, but like women who enjoy those sorts of things are more sexually adventurous, more You know, they like to have sex with their partner and they actually have more sex if you …”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Long-term marriage creates a $300k-$1M net worth advantage
“That leads to graphs like this, which show you that over time, if you are never married, and if you were married and never divorced, there is a delta of somewhere between 300,000 to a million dollars in net worth, which is kind of crazy.”
Assertion Supported
Loeffler: Biden Administration Passed Record $1.7 Trillion in Regulations
“And in fact, the Biden administration passed 1.7 trillion dollars in regulation, setting an all-time record by many multiples of massive regulation.”
Assertion Supported
Vaden: 62% of Americans Say Customer Testimonials Most Influence Buying Decisions
“62% of Americans say the single most important piece of marketing collateral that will influence their purchasing decision, testimonials from other customers.”
Assertion Supported
Dr. Moore: 94% of US adults suffer from cardiometabolic compromise
“We have 20 18 stats that were published in 2021 showing that close to, I think, 90 four percent of U.S. Adults have cardiometabolic compromise.”
Assertion Supported
Dr. Moore: Big Pharma aggressively sent cease-and-desists to compounding pharmacies
“And they had sent a lot of Cease and desist letters to the telemedicine companies, the compounding pharmacists, the many doctors who were prescribing compounded, they really have, and Nova Nordisk And Eli Lilly have been pushing very hard against the compounde…”
Assertion Supported
Nagpal: A $10 million net worth is not in the top 1% of households
“Like, if you make ten million, if you have a net worth of ten million dollars, you are not in the top one percent of households. It's crazy. You're like one top one and a half, but you're on the top one percent with a ten million dollar net worth.”
Assertion Supported
Dan Go: Getting in shape passes down epigenetic benefits to children
“The really cool thing that we're learning is that this can be generational. So, let's just say, like, you're overweight, you get yourself in shape, and then you end up, ah, having a kid. And you end up kind of like kicking the can, 90 years old, whatever it is…”
Assertion Supported
Brooks: Staying in graduate school long enough increases unhappiness
“And then when people hang around graduate school for long enough, their unhappiness starts to rise again.”
Assertion Supported
Brooks: Separate finances are a poor predictor of couple longevity
“If you're a merger, one of the tells of being a merger is you have separate finances and that's a, not a good predictor of actually, of growing together”
Assertion Supported
Brooks: Marriage provides happiness benefits to both men and women
“There was early data that turns out to not have been replicated very well, that men are happier when they're married than women are, that, that, that marriage is good for men, but it's not good for women. That's wrong. It's good for both.”
Assertion Supported
Van Der Beek: Flawed studies halted medical training for breech births
“What I discovered were there were some outdated studies on breech births that took into account third world countries without a head down counterpart. So the studies were heavily flawed, and at that time they stopped training doctors how to do breech births.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Zuckerberg admitted the government pressured Meta to censor vaccine content
“Well, I mean, look at Zuckerberg has come out now and said, actually, I wish we hadn't censored so many people around the vaccine, and also the government asked us to.”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: High-erucic rapeseed oil is banned due to cardiomyopathy links
“If you just take rapeseed oil, there is a large amount of this monounsaturated fat called erucic acid in rapeseed oil, and that is linked to cardiomyopathy, heart issues in animal studies, and so it's actually banned. You cannot sell rapeseed oil.”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: Proton pump inhibitors increase pneumonia risk and cause nutrient malabsorption
“You give someone a proton pump inhibitor because they have gastroesophageal reflux, right?
Well, then you have an increased rate of pneumonia because of side effects.
Then you have malabsorption of multiple nutrients, including B-twelve and other things that a…”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: Touching thermal receipts absorbs endocrine disruptors through skin
“There's solid evidence that touching these receipts can lead to absorption of endocrine disrupting chemicals through your skin.”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: Sweating in synthetic athleisure increases chemical absorption through skin
“Whether it's a sports bra or leggings, when you sweat in these, you can, it increases the absorption of chemicals in these pieces of clothing significantly.”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: Women on birth control select mates with similar MHC genetics
“Somebody funded a study where women on birth control were given sweaty t-shirts from men, and they knew sort of the immunologic signature of the men in the t-shirts, and women on the birth control selected different mates in terms of compatibility with their g…”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: Dancers off birth control earn peak tips during ovulation
“And when the strippers off birth control are performing, they earn the most tips right around their ovulation. They have a huge peak in the month when they ovulate. And the rest of the month is like less tips, right? Women on birth control earned the same amou…”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: McDonald's french fries contain silly putty additive dimethylpolysiloxane
“Dimethyl polysiloxane, which is an ingredient in silly putty, which is in McDonald's french fries.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Raw milk is illegal in more US states than silencers
“There are more states where raw milk is illegal than silencers, which I thought was interesting.”
Assertion Supported
Saladino: Studies link raw milk consumption to lower allergy and asthma rates in kids
“There are specific studies looking at lower rates of asthma, eczema, and allergies, the things I suffered from, but didn't drink raw milk growing up, in kids who drink raw milk, whether they grow up on a farm or off a farm.”
Assertion Supported
Streeter says culture wars outranked inflation for 2024 swing voters backing Trump
“When you look at the people who identified themselves as swing voters who eventually broke for Trump, the issue, the culture wars issue outranked the inflation issue for them.”
Assertion Supported
Sanchez: Study finds over 60% of women prefer dad bods for partners
“I read a wild study that basically said, actually, if given two choices, a chad, very fit, six pack, et cetera, versus a dad bod, a little fluffy, maybe a tiny bit of a receding hairline, On average, as a partner, perhaps not in a one-off situation, they choos…”
Assertion Supported
Israetel: Original Jack3d pre-workout contained a version of methamphetamine
“There's a supplement called it was a jacked three D that was the old formula prior to like the 2015 or something. And that legitimately had a version of methamphetamine in it.”
Assertion Supported
Israetel: Rising cancer rates stem from increased longevity, not food toxins
“It turns out that people live to older age so much more now that they live long enough to get cancer.”
Assertion Supported
Galloway: Older Americans receive $1.3T annually from Social Security
“And the wealthiest generation in the history of the planet gets 1.3 trillion dollars a year in the form of Social Security.”