why aren't all 90 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Albergotti: Anthropic agreed to train its next Claude model on Amazon Rainier
“They've, you know, they got Anthropic to, you know, train the next model of Claude on this, you know, on this Rainier cluster.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: ChatGPT hit 3.7B monthly visits in late 2024, dusting Bing
“Bing had 1.5 billion per month in February, 20, 24. It had all of 1.85 billion per month in October, 20, 24. You look at ChatGPT starts with 1.6 billion and now it has 3.7 billion per month. So it's left Bing in the dust. And by God, I mean, the rest that you …”
Opinion
Newton: Gemini is clearly the worst among ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini
“The three big models that I use and pay for every single week, some of them every day, some of them many times a day, are ChatGPT, Claude, and Gemini. Of those, I would say Gemini has clearly been the worst.”
Insight
AI models lack consciousness because they cannot refuse requests
“You know, while it may appear that a Claude or a ChatGPT is generating stuff, at the end of the day, it's just predicting the next word, right, the next word after that. It has no consciousness because it cannot say no to you. It can only predict an answer tha…”
Assertion Supported
Clark: US and UK AI Safety Institutes Are Testing Frontier AI Systems
“The US and UK are not, don't have regulatory powers. Will they be third parties that test out systems like Claude or ChatGPT or Gemini for national security risks and hold companies accountable to them? Yes. Like I'm in discussion with them today.”
Opinion
Siegler: Apple's upgraded Siri will satisfy the masses but not power AI users
“Siri is not gonna blow anyone away who's been day-to-day living with OpenAI and Anthropa and Claude but it's certainly gonna be good enough for the masses, and I think that they're gonna get some new experiences that those are not as versed in AI that they'll …”
Assertion Supported
Brown: Low-quality sourcing issues affect all major AI models, not just Claude
“That was the example I highlighted, but there are plenty of examples, and it wasn't just Claude and Anthropic, it was across all the models. Source quality is a real issue, and I do think an easier issue to address than some of the challenges around bias and f…”
Opinion
Krieger: Outcome-based pricing is very hard for general LLM work
“It gets so much fuzzier on these like tasks that we actually ask Claude these days. Like I had a strategy document. I use Claude to critique my strategy document like. What was the outcome? It's like, well, I don't know. It's like, tell me how the strategy goe…”
Insight
Krieger: AI tools still place too much technical burden on everyday users.
“We're still asking people to understand way too many concepts of like, what is, you know, the difference between like my sandbox environment and production or like connected MCP as myself or others, or how should I store data?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krieger: Environmental awareness and agency will transform Anthropic's entire product line.
“That's like theme one that I'm extremely excited about. And I think if we do it right, should actually like transform all of our products like from head to toe.”
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Users Maximize Claude's Value by Granting Autonomous Browser Control
“You realize that you can only get the benefit of this, or you're, you'll get most benefit by letting Claude take over your browser and do things for you.”
Disclosure
Anthropic Exec Runs Hundreds of Parallel Claude Instances Every Night
“Nowadays, I'm running, you know, like, on my computer, I run maybe five at a time, and then every night, I run, like, you know, not every night, but most nights, I run, like, hundreds of quads at a time. Hundreds. Yeah, hundreds, sometimes thousands.”
Disclosure
Cuban: I will not invest in founders avoiding AI for MVPs
“And if you're not willing or don't realize that you could just go to Claude and learn this stuff and do a minimum viable product, then you're not somebody I'm going to invest in.”
Opinion
Roy: Ramp data skews toward startups, not the aggregate broader economy
“Their data is going to be heavily skewed in whatever the coolest new, so it'll show momentum, but, like, in terms of showing actual, like, aggregate impact in the economy, most large companies are not using ramp, like, I can't imagine especially more kind of, …”
Insight
Moore: AI Consistency Explains Why Users Adopt Chatbots as Therapists
“And I think this is actually why we've seen a lot of people turn to ChatGPT or Claude as kind of, like, coach, therapist, helper because they're just incredibly consistent to a level that, like, human beings could never match.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Claude outputs undergo layers of human review before battlefield use
“And so, I have no doubt that any information that is, that's coming out of CLOD in this context is going through layers of review by humans, you know, prior to that influencing anything happening close to the battlefield.”
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Claude's role in the Maduro raid has been blown out of proportion
“I think its involvement in this specific operation has been blown completely out of proportion. Just speculation reading between the lines here.”
Disclosure
Krieger: Claude relies on word of mouth over viral growth loops
“With Claude, it feels quite different in that, you know, we have more of a business audience, like plenty of people use it for their individual pieces, but it has less of that sort of you know, social component right now. It's definitely more word of mouth... …”
Opinion
Krieger: Claude plays a more fundamental role in operations than in code building
“I think the answer to your question is it's support. It's a supporting role on the sort of building side. But it's playing a much more fundamental role in terms of the actual operational side.”
Assertion Supported
Anthropic Report: Washington D.C. Leads Per-Capita Claude Adoption
“The city that, or region that had the most clod adoption per capita is Washington, D C.”
Assertion Supported
Anthropic Report: Autonomous Tasks Delegated to Claude Jumped to 39%
“Directive conversations where users delegate complex, delegate complete tasks to Claude have jumped from 29, 27% to 39%.”
Assertion Supported
Roy: Leaked Claude System Prompt on GitHub Reaches 24,000 Tokens
“Well, actually, do you know a discovery that we had in the big technology discord is that Claude, the system prompt is 24,000 tokens long, and like it had leaked onto GitHub”
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: Google's experimental Gemini 1114 model currently tops the Chatbot Arena leaderboard
“They have a new experimental Gemini model. It's called Gemini exp one, four. And Do you know about, ah, Chatbot Arena where they test which is the best LLMs? It's currently sitting at the top of Chatbot Arena and kicking the butt of ChatGPT for O, O-one Previe…”
Opinion
Anthropic's Claude has better post-training and persona than rival models
“Claude seems to have better post training, which is to say, which is the jargon for basically saying like, What kind of personality does it have and how does it break down your question and how does it act? How does it act as a persona of a chat bot? And so al…”
Disclosure
Clark: Claude Redirects Election Inquiries to Factual Websites
“So we have some election work, and if you talk about American candidates, and we're extending this to other regions, Claude is like, oh, it looks like you're talking to me about elections.
Go to this factual website.”
Disclosure
Clark: Live web search connectivity is 'definitely coming' to Claude
“And on the web question, we're working on it. There's a bunch of Kind of computer security stuff to work through and some safety things, but that's definitely coming.”
Disclosure
Clark: Anthropic is developing audio and video capabilities for Claude
“Claude can now see images. Obviously we're working on other so-called modalities as well. You know, it would be nice for Claude to be able to listen to things. Be nice for Claude to understand movies. All of that stuff is going to come in time.”
Disclosure
Clark: Anthropic will always keep an accessible consumer product
“We're always going to have some Like, top of funnel, easy to access consumer thing, because we just can't ignore how useful this is to people, you know, and useful it is to writers especially.”
Assertion Supported
Clark: Anthropic does not train models on Claude user conversations
“No, no, no, no. That is not a thing that we do at all. Yeah.”
Opinion
Roy: Claude ordering a sandwich was likely a coordinated PR effort
“Claude's famous sandwich in the park, which was like a very coordinated PR effort that might've happened or probably did happen in some capacity.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sharp: A centuries-old enterprise is deploying Claude to 50,000 desktops
“I have a customer, you know, a normal run-of-the-mill brand that you would know, not a company that you would think is like an innovative company, like it's multiple hundreds of years old. They're rolling out Clawed to 50,000 desktops.”
Disclosure
Cuban: I built Cost Plus Drugs price monitoring in 12 minutes
“For Cost Plus Drugs, I like to compare our pricing to other competitors, and I just went in the cloud and said, okay, go to these three sites. Here's a list of all the products that Cost Plus Drugs carry. Take the top 25 most expensive, and every week I want t…”
Assertion Supported
Moore: ChatGPT and Claude App Ecosystems Have Only 11% Overlap
“If you look at the app store that they have enabled on ChatGPT, ChatGPT and then the App Store that Anthropic has enabled on Claude, they each have more than 200 apps, but there's only 11% overlap.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Anthropic published a prompt to export ChatGPT memory into Claude
“Anthropic put a prompt that you could copy to ChatGPT to export your memory. Like I was saying, memory's not sticky. They built the prompt that we were talking about, and you drop it in ChatGPT, it prints out your memory, you paste the memory in Claude, and th…”
Assertion Supported
Anthropic reports daily sign-ups quadrupled to over 1M per day
“Anthropix said daily sign-ups have quadrupled since the start of the year. On Thursday, Anthropix said more than one million people are now signing up every day.”
Assertion Supported
Siegler: Claude reached number one in the App Store
“Claude is now the number one app in the app store, which is wild.”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Claude mobile app time spent tripled between mid-2025 and January 2026
“In June 20, 25, so six, seven months ago, the average time spent on the mobile app of Claude was about 10 minutes. Today, in January 26, it's above 30 minutes. So, time spent per user on Anthropics Claude has Tripled in six months.”
Disclosure
Krieger: Anthropic deploys 'Claude on call' agent to triage incident channels
“One thing that we've built using the cloud agent SDK, which we also released alongside it's on at 4.5 publicly, but we've been using internally for awhile is the ability for cloud to basically show up first in those incident channels and already have A sense o…”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Coding Is Claude's Top Use Case at 36%
“Coding is still number one use case at 36%. But educational tasks have surged from 9.3% to 12.4%, and scientific tasks are now six point, they're, they went from 6.3% to 7.2%.”
Disclosure
Anugas: Snowfire uses Perplexity for search and Claude for mathematics
“So we really like things like perplexity for scraping and web search. We like Claude for mathematics. We're looking at something from Google called notebook LM right now to pull together massive language structures and to deliver an entire, entire audio file o…”
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SimilarWeb Data Shows Gemini at 10.9M and DeepSeek at 16.5M Daily Visits
“Google's Gemini web traffic grew to 10.9 million average daily visits worldwide in March. That's up seven, four, 7.4% month over month, while daily visits to Copilot, that's Microsoft's bot, Increased to 2.4 million, up 2.1% from February. SimilarWeb also says…”
Disclosure
Clark: Anthropic runs internal 'Claudification' project across its workflows
“We have a project internally called Claudification. Everything at Anthropic has Claude in it at some point. And one of the ideas of Claudeification is just get us all to use this stuff well. I talked about my colleague, Catherine, but there are many examples w…”