Taiwan

8 statements across 7 episodes · 2 bullish · 5 bearish · 6 people on the record · first statement Apr 4, 2023 by Palmer Luckey · said 66 times in 25 episodes since 2022 · across every show →

Mentions by year

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (25), Condoleezza Rice (14), Marshall Kosloff (6), Ranjan Roy (5), Palmer Luckey (4), Alexandr Wang (3), Ryan Petersen (1), Lauren Goode (1)

tap a year for its mentions
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081520222023202420252026episodes it came up in
0037.561520222023202420252026episodesmentions per episode
2026 16 mentions in 6 episodes 3 per episode
2025 28 mentions in 11 episodes 3 per episode
2024 7 mentions in 4 episodes 2 per episode
2023 9 mentions in 3 episodes 3 per episode
2022 6 mentions in 1 episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about Taiwan, oldest first

Apr 4, 2023 negative
What-if
Luckey: Stronger US deterrence would have changed Ukraine, Taiwan, and Hong Kong
“And if we had been in a better place, not just the United States, but our partners, I think that things would, I think things would be very different in Ukraine. They would be very different in Taiwan. Maybe they'd even be different in Hong Kong.”
Palmer Luckey Apr 4, 2023 ▶ 34:34 Palmer Luckey - Future of Virtual Reality, AI War, Autonomous Killing Machines, Militarized Policing
Dec 14, 2023 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030
Gelsinger: Global chip production will reach 50/50 East-West balance by 2030
“By the end of the decade, so, you know, seven, eight years, I think we can get close to fifty-fifty by the end of the decade, and if we accomplish that, right, over a seven or eight year period, I think the world is going to sleep much better at night”
Pat Gelsinger Dec 14, 2023 ▶ 14:10 Intel's CEO Shares His Plan To Win The AI Chip War — With Pat Gelsinger
Oct 23, 2024 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Ives: Chinese blockade or takeover of Taiwan is a very low-probability event
“I think there's a view that that's just very low likelihood that that's going to happen. Now look, in Hong Kong, you definitely sense some seat changes in terms of what we see, but look, we're always going to have these sort of, as Stephanie talks about a lot,…”
Dan Ives Oct 23, 2024 ▶ 30:25 The Apple Paradox, Trump’s Impact on Markets, NVIDIA Demand — With Dan Ives and Stephanie Link
Dec 11, 2024 bullish
Opinion
Wang: US must possess superior AI to prevail in conflict with China
“If you believe that there's some potential of some kind of conflict over Taiwan or other, some kind of other, like, hot conflict between the US and China then we really, the United States needs to ensure that we have the best possible AI technology to ensure t…”
Alexandr Wang Dec 11, 2024 ▶ 4:14 AI Predictions for 2025: Geopolitics, Agents, and Data Scaling — With Alexandr Wang
Jul 16, 2025 negative
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rice: China will coerce Taiwan via pressure tactics rather than military invasion
“Look, I'm not saying that the Chinese won't move on Taiwan. I just think that the idea that they're just kind of one day, you're going to start to see the Chinese, ah, ships, Navy, Air Force, ah, landing on Taiwan. If you talk to most military people, they say…”
Condoleezza Rice Jul 16, 2025 ▶ 10:14 Condoleezza Rice: U.S. Tech at Risk Amid University Cuts, China Threat
Jun 26, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cherney: US chip designers have no contingency plan for Taiwan disruption
“Chip companies, the design companies in the US do not plan for this. The contingency plan, excuse me, is something along the lines of like, well, we're all kind of screwed if China invades, which, OK, but like, there's no real plan there.”
Max Cherney Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 53:11 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jul 10, 2026 negative
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Cherney: US chip designers have no real contingency plan for Taiwan invasion
“Chip companies, the design companies in the US do not plan for this. The contingency plan, excuse me, is something along the lines of like, well, we're all kind of screwed if China invades, which, OK, but like, there's no real plan there.”
Max Cherney Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 11:48 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
Jul 10, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Cherney: Soft-power exchange is more likely for Taiwan than military invasion
“I think what's a lot more likely is some kind of soft power exchange like what happened in Hong Kong over time. I think realistically, that's a more Likely option, although I'm not saying Xi Jinping won't just invade like he absolutely will.”
Max Cherney Jul 10, 2026 ▶ 12:07 Can NVIDIA Keep Its Lead? — With Anissa Gardizy, Max Cherney, and Lauren Goode
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