SpaceX

includes SpaceX Dragon

43 statements across 19 episodes · 9 bullish · 8 bearish · 13 people on the record · first statement Sep 21, 2021 by Max Chafkin · said 246 times in 40 episodes since 2021 · across every show →

Mentions by year, the whole family

brought up most by Alex Kantrowitz (170), Ranjan Roy (23), M.G. Siegler (18), Dick Costolo (9), Kara Swisher (5), Mike Krieger (4), Stephen Morris (3), Anthony Scaramucci (3)

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2026 203 mentions in 26 episodes 8 per episode
2025 22 mentions in 5 episodes 4 per episode
2024 13 mentions in 5 episodes 3 per episode
2023 1 mention in 1 episode
2022 2 mentions in 1 episode
2021 5 mentions in 2 episodes 3 per episode

every mention, scene by scene, with the transcript →

Everything said about SpaceX, oldest first

Sep 21, 2021
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Chafkin: Luke Nosek pushed Founders Fund to back SpaceX over Thiel's hesitation
“As I understand it, you know, there was a lot of back and forth within Founders Fund over that investment where Luke Nosek was pushing really hard to do that investment. Teal wasn't so sure because Teal doesn't, you know, it's not his You know, like taking tha…”
Max Chafkin Sep 21, 2021 ▶ 44:20 Unraveling The Mystery Of Peter Thiel — With Max Chafkin
Jun 27, 2023 neutral
Opinion
Pogue: Before implosion, Titan sub seemed far safer than spaceflight
“I, to me, the sub was far safer than a Blue Origin or a SpaceX. I mean, obviously that looks insane now, but it imploded.”
David Pogue Jun 27, 2023 ▶ 41:23 My Experience Aboard The OceanGate Sub — With David Pogue of CBS
Feb 19, 2025 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Enjeti: A Future Democratic Administration Will Cancel Musk's Federal Contracts
“Yeah, if you're whoever, if you're Gavin Newsom administration, you're done. Like, it's, I'm gonna use the exact executive order precedent, and all of those contracts are getting canceled.”
Saagar Enjeti Feb 19, 2025 ▶ 15:44 Will Big Tech CEOs Win Their All-In Bet on Trump? With Saagar Enjeti
Jun 4, 2025 bullish
Disclosure
Scaramucci discloses personal investments in xAI and SpaceX
“Full disclosure, I am a investor in XI, XAI. I was an investor in Twitter. It got converted into XAI. It's, you know, sort of Twitter merged with Grok now. I have a small investment in XAI prior to that. I have an investment in SpaceX, me personally.”
Anthony Scaramucci Jun 4, 2025 ▶ 12:25 Anthony Scaramucci: Elon Musk’s Trump Exit, Tim Cook’s Tariff Problem
Jun 9, 2025 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: SpaceX has $4.5B in federal contracts and eyes rural internet funds
“Beyond its existing 4.5 billion in federal contracts. SpaceX is also poised to get a slice of the forty two billion in contracts to provide internet connections to rural areas through Starlink.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 9, 2025 ▶ 43:08 Apple’s AI 'Gap Year' at WWDC?, Elon Vs. Trump Goes Nuclear, NYTimes’ OpenAI Attack
Jan 28, 2026 positive
Opinion
Taylor: Elon Musk is probably the greatest entrepreneur of our time
“Probably the greatest entrepreneur of our time. I mean you know, he's a company, he's created everything from SpaceX and look at the impact of Starlink, let alone Tesla and X. So you know, had some complicated interactions, but sort of the undisputed leader in…”
Bret Taylor Jan 28, 2026 ▶ 59:02 Is AI Killing Software? — With Bret Taylor, OpenAI's board chair and CEO of Sierra
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Morris: SpaceX is targeting a $50B raise at a $1.5T valuation
“Yeah, I mean, we're hearing 50, potentially raising fifty billion at a 1.5 trillion valuation.”
Stephen Morris Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 52:31 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 2, 2026 negative
Opinion
Kantrowitz: Merging SpaceX and xAI is a high-risk, bad combination
“I think not a great combination if you ask me, especially, you know, SpaceX is highly regulated. It's a government contractor. XAI recently was, you know, bikini-fying people on, on Twitter. I think that's some sort of risk there.”
Alex Kantrowitz Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 49:22 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 2, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Morris: SpaceX told investors it wants an IPO to build space data centers
“The most logical reason is that SpaceX, one of the reasons that have been given privately to investors for wanting to IPO SpaceX is that it needs to raise money so that it can develop and build data centers in space.”
Stephen Morris Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 49:49 The Anthropic Rocketship, AI’s Spending Limits, SpaceX IPO
Feb 3, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Siegler: xAI and SpaceX merger sounds likely and may be announced this week
“If they really do merge with SpaceX, which it does sound like now, is gonna happen, and may even be announced this week, which is insane how fast that that came together, if it comes together in that way.”
M.G. Siegler Feb 3, 2026 ▶ 41:57 The Moltbook Uprising, NVIDIA’s OpenAI Pullback, Apple’s Conundrum
Mar 18, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2029
Sorkin: SpaceX IPO Will Likely Outpace OpenAI in Valuation
“Oh, I imagine it does. I mean, I, if we're talking, I think the numbers now, 1.75 trillion dollars with a T. I think right now OpenAI isn't, doesn't start with a T yet, but maybe.”
Andrew Ross Sorkin Mar 18, 2026 ▶ 59:35 Are We Screwed If AI Works? — With Andrew Ross Sorkin
Apr 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Elon Musk and SpaceX have filed for an IPO
“Elon Musk and co have filed for that IPO.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 28:56 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
Apr 6, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Kantrowitz: SpaceX's xAI acquisition valued SpaceX at $1.25 trillion in February
“The company's acquisitions of Musk's XAI company valued SpaceX at 1.25 trillion in February.”
Alex Kantrowitz Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 31:02 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
Apr 6, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hoffman: SpaceX Is Going Public to Eventually Merge with Tesla
“I think one of the underappreciated reasons that, that they are taking SpaceX public is to merge it with Tesla ultimately, right? Like Elon Musk has been collapsing his empire. And just as a practical matter, it's pretty hard for a private company, even a big …”
Liz Hoffman Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 34:53 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
Apr 6, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Hoffman: Bankers will likely raise $80 billion for SpaceX's upcoming IPO
“That giant sucking sound you're gonna hear in the markets, you know, this May and June is, is, Bankers running around asking for eighty billion dollars, which, by the way, I think they'll get.”
Liz Hoffman Apr 6, 2026 ▶ 32:30 OpenAI's TBPN Mistake, SpaceX’s $2 Trillion IPO?, Iran Disables Amazon Infrastructure
May 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
SpaceX leases entire 300MW Colossus One compute capacity to Anthropic
“Anthropic will use all the computing capacity from SpaceX's Colossus One data center in a new agreement with Elon Musk's rockets and artificial intelligence company. SpaceX will supply 300 megawatts of new computing capacity Using more than 220,000 NVIDIA GPUs…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 11, 2026 ▶ 1:43 The Unlikely Anthropic & SpaceX Marriage, OpenAI Trial Revelations, AI Layoffs Or Cope?
May 11, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
SpaceX will hold its initial public offering before OpenAI and Anthropic
“SpaceX will be the one that IPO is first out of this. I think we could both agree there.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 11, 2026 ▶ 27:19 The Unlikely Anthropic & SpaceX Marriage, OpenAI Trial Revelations, AI Layoffs Or Cope?
May 11, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Leasing compute to Anthropic signals xAI surrender in foundation model race
“This is effectively giving up. It's saying, you know, it doesn't know how to effectively use this compute capacity to train models, or if it did, it wouldn't be worth the expense because it would still be behind OpenAI. And anthropic, and so therefore it's now…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 11, 2026 ▶ 4:46 The Unlikely Anthropic & SpaceX Marriage, OpenAI Trial Revelations, AI Layoffs Or Cope?
May 11, 2026 neutral
Assertion Not checkable as stated
SpaceX data center leased to Anthropic cost $5B to $6B in GPUs
“The data center that they are going to be able to lease from Elon Musk is a five to six billion dollar data center. That's fully built. Right? That's just from the GPU cost alone. It's fully built and ready to work to help Anthropik deliver these services.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 11, 2026 ▶ 7:58 The Unlikely Anthropic & SpaceX Marriage, OpenAI Trial Revelations, AI Layoffs Or Cope?
May 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Roy: SpaceX S-1 shows Anthropic committed to $1.25B monthly spend
“In the SpaceX S one document, they talk about how Anthropic has agreed. And this is one of the big, like revenue boosters for them. To spend 1.25 billion dollars per month through May 2029. But they explicitly say in May and June, 2026, it is at a reduced fee.”
Ranjan Roy May 25, 2026 ▶ 16:01 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Roy: SpaceX is targeting a $40B to $80B IPO raise
“Again, like SpaceX is targeting a raise between 40 and eighty billion dollars.”
Ranjan Roy May 25, 2026 ▶ 13:43 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Contradicted
Kantrowitz: SpaceX filed for an IPO this week
“SpaceX, of course, filed to go public this week.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 25, 2026 ▶ 0:33 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 25, 2026 neutral
Opinion
Roy: SpaceX's S-1 filing positions it as an AI company, not space
“But, so they have already filed their S-one, and have positioned themselves squarely in the AI camp. Like, this is not a space company anymore. This is an AI company.”
Ranjan Roy May 25, 2026 ▶ 10:09 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 25, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SpaceX lost $4.28B on $4.69B Q1 revenue
“SpaceX had a net loss. 4.28 billion on revenue of 4.69 billion for the first quarter compared with a net loss of five hundred twenty eight million on revenue of about four billion a year earlier.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 25, 2026 ▶ 37:15 Is OpenAI Ready To IPO?, The Datacenters in Space Myth, The Kids Boo AI
May 27, 2026 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kantrowitz: Retail Tesla investors will move their capital to SpaceX
“I have this theory that the Tesla stock will, or the Tesla shareholders who've been through this bumpy ride with Tesla, like they've been told a couple of stories, Tesla, the electric car, the self-driving car, the optimist robot they will Move their money. Th…”
Alex Kantrowitz May 27, 2026 ▶ 12:34 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
May 27, 2026
Insight
Costolo: First mega-cap IPOs will soak up limited institutional liquidity
“Again, another, another advantage to going first and, or going second and not going third is there's not infinite capital out there. You're going to want to be in, you know, one or two of these things, and then probably, probably not all three Although we'll s…”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 23:18 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
May 27, 2026 bullish
Prediction Held up
Costolo: SpaceX could be worth over $2T on day one
“When SpaceX goes public, and I think it'll actually, could you could, it could end up being worth over two trillion dollars on day one, whether that's a fake price or not.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 9:25 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
May 27, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Costolo: Mega-cap IPO distributions will reignite early-stage VC fundraising
“You've got all these university endowments and, Venture LPs, et cetera, that haven't had their big liquidity events that are now gonna be, you know, flush with distributions of SpaceX and Anthropic and OpenAI that are gonna be able to turn around and pour a bu…”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 24:54 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
May 27, 2026 neutral
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2031
Costolo: SpaceX will acquire Tesla
“I think SpaceX, I am one of the people that believes SpaceX will buy Tesla.”
Dick Costolo May 27, 2026 ▶ 8:59 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
May 27, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Kantrowitz: SpaceX renting data centers to Anthropic signals giving up on AI
“Well, SpaceX has basically given up on the AI project, and I know that might sound extreme, but when you're renting data centers to Anthropik, you've given up.”
Alex Kantrowitz May 27, 2026 ▶ 17:33 Predicting the SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic IPOs — With Dick Costolo
Jun 2, 2026 bearish
Insight
Roy: Late-Stage AI Valuations Are Juiced to Anchor Retail IPO Pricing
“You have every incentive in the world to juice the valuation because that means that it gets anchored there and then you go out at a higher value. Like, then you realize that at the expense of the retail market.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 2, 2026 ▶ 45:31 Warning Signs For The AI Boom, Anthropic Passes OpenAI, Robinhood’s AI Trading
Jun 8, 2026 neutral
Prediction Held up
Siegler: SpaceX Will Go Public Within Days
“That a lot could change in between now and the time that they would go out, but SpaceX is going to go public, you know, this week, the end of this week or early next. And so or maybe the 11th, you know, at the latest or whatnot.”
M.G. Siegler Jun 8, 2026 ▶ 1:08:03 Did Google Just Fall Behind Again?, WWDC Preview, Anthropic Files To Go Public
Jun 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: Over 20% of SpaceX IPO allocation went to retail investors
“So more than 20% of the IPO allocation went to retail investors, which means, and this is sort of where the negative side of it is, the risks typically borne out by government and venture capitalists are now being Born out by everyday investors”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 14:10 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 15, 2026 bearish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
SpaceX lacks earnings to justify its $2.2 trillion valuation for years
“It's a 2.2 trillion dollar company. It's not going to have earnings that justify that at all for years.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 11:08 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 15, 2026
Assertion Supported
Kantrowitz: SpaceX Signed $15B Anthropic and $30B Google Data Center Deals
“Then in the run-up to the IPO, the company signed a fifteen billion dollar deal with Anthropic, a thirty billion dollar deal with Google to license out the data centers that it's built for its own AI efforts,”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 1:27 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 15, 2026
Assertion Supported
Roy: SpaceX IPO Launched with Only a 4.3% Public Float
“So much of how this is orchestrated, it's only a 4.3% float.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 7:22 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 15, 2026 neutral
Assertion Partly supported
Roy: Investment banks earned record $550M in fees for SpaceX IPO
“As the investment banks who led this IPO are making a record, reaping a record-making five hundred fifty million dollars in fees, Goldman Sachs, who is leading the deal, has remade its entire lobby and cafeteria with a space theme.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 16:18 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 15, 2026 neutral
What-if
Kantrowitz: SpaceX AI IPO Took Investor Money Otherwise Earmarked for OpenAI and Anthropic
“I don't know if it would have been that level of cash if the AI side of this wasn't included. So I think that, that money would have otherwise gone to OpenAI and Anthropic.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 15, 2026 ▶ 8:21 SpaceX’s IPO Triumph, Anthropic’s Fable Fumble, OpenAI’s Price War
Jun 26, 2026 neutral
Disclosure
Krieger: Anthropic is in discussions with SpaceX
“We're, you know, we're talking to SpaceX about spacey things.”
Mike Krieger Jun 26, 2026 ▶ 2:49:15 Big Technology AI Summit (full): Greg Brockman, Mike Krieger, Aaron Levie & Friends of The Podcast
Jun 29, 2026 bearish
Assertion Supported
SpaceX Generates $18.7 Billion in Revenue but Loses $4 Billion
“And remember, this is a company with an 18.7 billion dollars of revenue total. I mean, Amazon, it surpassed its market cap. Amazon has seven hundred fifty billion dollars in revenue. Like this is a company that's losing four billion dollars.”
Ranjan Roy Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 41:01 Mythos is Back, OpenAI Releases GPT 5.6, Apple’s Price Increases
Jun 29, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
SpaceX Raised Over $85 Billion in Largest IPO Ever
“Largest IPO ever, raising more than eighty-five billion dollars at a 1.77 trillion dollar valuation.”
Alex Kantrowitz Jun 29, 2026 ▶ 24:22 Mythos is Back, OpenAI Releases GPT 5.6, Apple’s Price Increases
Jul 27, 2026 negative
Assertion Supported
Roy: SpaceX floated under 5% of shares in its IPO
“Remember, they brilliantly went out to the market saying it is worth this ungodly valuation and kind of anchoring things there, only releasing less than five percent of actual available shares to the market to actually create that kind of artificial restricted…”
Ranjan Roy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 51:18 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
Jul 27, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Roy: Tesla and SpaceX will inevitably have to merge
“Giving that little nugget to the world, starting to seed that idea, and I think it's almost, it has to happen, because these two companies, again, Tesla has a car business, SpaceX kind of has a space business, still has an internet satellite business, but they…”
Ranjan Roy Jul 27, 2026 ▶ 54:04 What Happens If AI Fails?, Subprime Data Center Crisis, How Bad Can SpaceX Get?
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