CapEx

6 statements across 4 episodes · 3 bullish · 1 bearish · 3 people on the record · first statement Jun 25, 2025 by Tom Lee · across every show →

Everything said about CapEx, oldest first

Jun 25, 2025 neutral
Assertion Supported
Tom Lee: Much of Tech CapEx Is Maintenance, Not AI
“Not a hundred percent of tech spend is AI. A lot of it is maintenance CapEx and expansion CapEx and, you know, the catch up for spending that's been deferred because of COVID, et cetera.”
Tom Lee Jun 25, 2025 ▶ 0:53 Tom Lee: Decoding the AI Trade, Bitcoin Predictions & What an AI Black Swan Event Might Look Like
May 5, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Siegler: Apple will likely increase CapEx spending for AI inference
“I think that it's a reasonable assumption to make that they're going to start spending more on capex too. Even if they're not going to train models, they're not going to train an LLM inference and doing other things that you need to do.”
M.G. Siegler May 5, 2026 ▶ 27:26 Did Apple Get AI Spending Right?, Microsoft & OpenAI’s New Reality, Where’s Stargate?
Aug 5, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Cahn: Apple could emerge as a genius if AI models commoditize
“Apple is the one, by the way, with the do nothing strategy. Like you gotta look at Apple and say, wow, like there's some chance that Apple just comes out looking like a genius on this. Like if it does commoditize, Apple's not spending money on CapEx.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 53:54 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 5, 2026 bearish
Opinion
Cahn: Spending $200B a year on AI CapEx without new business lines is unsustainable
“The current status quo of we're spending two hundred billion dollars a year on CapEx. And, you know, yes, we're renting our GPUs, so revenue is accelerating, but fundamentally there's no There's not a new business line coming out of it. That is not sustainable…”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 13:56 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 5, 2026 bullish
Opinion
Cahn: The only way to repay massive AI CapEx is achieving AGI
“If you kind of think about those dollars of CapEx, the only possible way to pay those dollars back is going to be AGI.”
David Cahn Aug 5, 2026 ▶ 13:06 How The AI Bet Pays Off + AI Lab Strategy Game — With David Cahn
Aug 10, 2026 neutral
Assertion Supported
Microsoft Shifted CapEx to OpEx by Extending Data Center Leases
“In this quarter, they decided that they were going to basically change the way that they account for their data center leases. And so historically they've actually Considered them to be 15 years. And that basically meant that they were you know, taking on the …”
M.G. Siegler Aug 10, 2026 ▶ 33:31 Demis Steps Down, Apple’s Memory Problem, Microsoft’s Clever Trick
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