The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 12 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Lonsdale: Xi Jinping will shut down TikTok rather than allow a sale
“I think because this is such a powerful tool for the CCP that Xi Jinping will not allow it to be Sold out of his control and we'll turn it off instead.”
Baker: Global economic recovery is causing goods inflation to accelerate again
“And now goods is accelerating again because the rest of the world is recovering.”
Aboyeji: Africa will have the majority of the global workforce by 2035
“In fact, just in the next 15 years, Africa is already majority of the world's working population.”
Lonsdale: Joby Aviation will launch operations in Dubai within a year
“I think we're going to be launching in Dubai with Joby in the coming year.”
Lonsdale: Joby Aviation will be the first eVTOL company to deploy
“And so I think you guys, like you said, you're first through, you're going to be the first to deploy.”
Lowery: Epirus Will Enter a DoD Program of Record in 2025
“We are deploying to CENTCOM. If those deployments are successful, we will be palmed into a program or record In 20, 25.”
Gerstner: Fed's 1.5% GDP forecast for 2024 is probably overly optimistic
“The Fed has said its forecast for next year is 1.5% on GDP. I think that's probably rosy. Given, ah, the things that we're seeing in the world, 20% credit cards, 10% car loans, eight percent mortgages are having a deleterious impact on consumption.”
Williams: Half of Americans will view the 2024 election as illegitimate
“Fully half of the country, I think in 20, 24 Either way the election pans out will feel that the election was illegitimate, and that's.”
Kloberdanz: OneHope will become the largest US DTC wine brand
“And we'll be the largest direct to consumer wine brand in the U S in the next couple of years too.”
Kloberdanz: People born today are on track to live to 150
“But we're on the way to where people are expected to live to like a 150 that are being born now.”