The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 912 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Johnston: Cuba has better average health outcomes than the US
“Even Cuba has better health outcomes than we do.”
Glock: Cities building homes for every unsheltered person saw homelessness increase
“And yeah, San Francisco, Arizona, these other states and cities, they built enough homes for every single unsheltered homeless person in the street. 1015 years later, they have more homeless people in the streets.”
Glock: National Academy of Sciences found Housing First fails to improve health
“You know, as I often cite, the National Academy of Science said, there's no evidence that these housing first units improve the health of the homeless.”
Glock: 70% to 80% of Americans oppose unconditional free housing without sobriety mandates
“When you tell average Americans about this, we do the polls, do you think, ah, you know, basically free homes should be given out with no sobriety or mental health treatments to people on the street? Overwhelming. 70, 80% of people say, of course not. Again, a…”
Meyer: Four homeless people die daily in LA, exceeding military combat mortality
“Well, and so just San Francisco and LA alone, I mean, four people, four homeless individuals die on the streets of LA every day. That death rate is higher than the death rate in Iraq and Afghanistan for soldiers.”
Cowen: University of Virginia lobbies regulators to block GMU degree programs
“To create a new course, I actually need approval through a committee that is attached to the state of Virginia and exists in Richmond... And furthermore, like University of Virginia, our competitor will lobby that committee not to approve like a new degree pro…”
Kutcher argues architecture exists to bypass end-to-end encryption for CSAM.
“I think people need to realize and recognize that end to end encryption is great and valuable, but there's no reason why we can't create a carve out for this. And the architecture exists to create a carve out for this.”
Levie: Scaling to $100M Revenue in Two Years Is Unprecedented in Software
“Obviously you have companies going from zero to a hundred million or five hundred million in revenue in, you know, one to two years. Like this has never happened before in software. Or kind of technology broadly.”
Palantir, Anduril, and SpaceX sued the government for initial major contracts
“And one of the examples I use Palantir and Roland, SpaceX, all had to sue the government for their first big contract, because the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated at protecting their interests.”
The US military has deployed autonomous weapons since the 1970s
“We've had autonomous weapons since the seventies and eighties. You know, you think about, like, the Aegis system that defends a carrier when it senses an incoming threat coming at the speed of a missile, it's firing off to protect the ship, and you don't have …”
The Pentagon issued an RFI for space-based missile interceptors
“We just did a RFI for space-based interceptors, which is how do you put something in space that could take something down in space.”
Hughes: Critical Race Theory Emerged to Reject the Civil Rights Movement
“Critical race theory emerges in the 19 seventies as an explicit rejection of The civil rights movement.”
Hughes: US, Russian, and Brazilian Economies Grew Faster After Freeing Slaves
“United States had had a mass emancipation in Russia had a slower mass emancipation between 18 63 and around 1900. Brazil had a mass emancipation of slaves in the 18 eighties. In every single one of those cases, the economy grew faster after slaves were freed t…”
Hughes: Universal Abolitionist Principle First Originated in 18th-Century West
“But where do you get the first abolitionist sentiment? In other words, the first principle of slavery is wrong for all time, no matter who you are. You get that in the West. You get that in America and in Britain in the 18th century. You know, from Quakers and…”
Hughes: Nikole Hannah-Jones Claimed Black Americans Fought Alone for Civil Rights
“In Nicole Hannah-Jones's flagship essay was also that black Americans essentially fought alone in order to secure our civil rights. That was, that's the exact wording. Yeah, that we fought back alone.”
Helberg: Pax Silica Countries Are Growing 4% YoY Versus 1% for G7
“The Paxilica countries are growing roughly around four percent year on year compared to G seven countries that are growing somewhere in the zone of one percent.”
Lonsdale: Europe Is Poorer Than All US States Due to Slower Growth
“Which is what happened to Europe, by the way, is they don't realize they're the poorest relative to all of our states because we've just been growing so much faster for the generation.”
Helberg: China Criminalized Due Diligence on Official Economic Indicators
“You know, their data is really falsified, and they actually tried to hide their books so much so that they've made it illegal for people within China to ask too many questions or do due diligence on their economic indicators.”
Sankar: US expended 10 years of munitions production in 10 weeks in Ukraine
“The lesson of Ukraine is that we went through 10 years of production and 10 weeks of fighting.”
Sandler: Sentencing judge found zero economic impact for four Milken pleas
“When the judge who sentenced Mike did an analysis of the economic effect of everything Mike led to, put to five different things. She found that the economic effect of four of the things he led to was zero. And the economic effect of the fifth was about 280,00…”
Sandler: Drexel's settlement forced Milken's firing and barred employee contact
“Part of the deal with the government was they had to get rid of Michael Milken Not only did they have to get rid of Michael Milken, but under the deal they made with the government, no employee of Drexel was allowed to discuss any business matter with Mike.”
Bevirt: Chinese aerospace facilities are scaling for thousands of aircraft yearly
“A few weeks ago, I was in China, and I saw firsthand how fast they're moving... They are, in China, I saw production facilities that are scaling for thousands of aircraft per year.”
Wu: AI autonomous work capacity doubles 4-5 times per year
“And I think for the last few years, it's doubled about four or five times every year, you know, which is insane, which means, you know, you wait two or three months and it's already doing twice as much work.”
Loeffler: IG Report Found Overseas IP Addresses Obtained PPP Loans
“So we had an Inspector General report that said there were hundreds of people from overseas IP addresses that were getting PPP loans.”
Loeffler: Biden administration policies led to 80% no-bid government contracts
“I mean, they moved it up from a five percent statutory target to 15% of all government contracting. That's why the program almost doubled under Biden, and it went to about 80% no-bid contracts.”
Loeffler: SBA Uncovered $9B in COVID Fraud in California, $430M in Minnesota
“Turns out, four hundred and thirty million dollars of fraud in Minnesota. Then we go to California, nine billion dollars of COVID era fraud.”
Loeffler: SBA Removed 150 D.C.-Based Businesses from 8(a) Program
“We just removed a 150 Washington D.C. Based So-called small disadvantaged businesses from the program, because they were neither small nor disadvantaged, but they were Washington cronies.”
Loeffler: SBA Launches First 8(a) Audit in 45 Years, Expels 1,000 Firms
“That's why we're doing the first audit of this program in 45 years. It's never been looked at. We've already kicked a thousand people out of the program.”
Kolicich: AI Capital Expenditures Currently Represent Only 3% to 4% of GDP
“Now in AI we're investing, like, three percent or four percent. It's like, it's not even yet on the scale of the industrial revolution.”
Pentagon deployed Google Gemini to four million personnel in two months
“Which is why in two months of owning, being the chief AI, having the chief AI office run in my world, which was a new move, we were able to launch gen AI, which is Google's Gemini for four million, every, every employee, military and civilian in the department…”
Palantir and SpaceX sued the US government for first defense contracts
“Palantir and Roland, SpaceX, all had to sue the government for the first big contract, because the primes were sophisticated at selling, sophisticated protecting their interests.”
Kupor: 70-80% of Federal Employees Receive Top Ratings, Only 0.2% Fail
“In the government, if you look across, you know, government for long periods of time, about, like, you know, 70, 80% of people get ranked a four or five, meaning, like, 70, 80% of the people are well above, like, average, basically, and Literally, like, 0.2% o…”
Kupor: OPM successfully dissolved 42-year federal hiring test consent decree
“And literally that consent decree existed until about three months ago when we kind of went back to the original plaintiff in that case, actually, who was still alive. And we were able to actually get to a resolution where we got ourselves out of that consent …”
Kupor: Federal government relied on self-attestation without skill tests for 42 years
“Literally for like 42 years basically the government did away with any form of test, not just like that pace test, which was kind of a, an aptitude test and a leadership test, but also any kind of like Functional tests... We literally relied on self-attestatio…”
Ridley: Norway drilled 40 North Sea wells last year; UK drilled zero
“Norway has drilled something like 40 new gas and oil wells just in the past 12 months, I think, Britain has drilled zero, but it's the same field.”
Ridley: UK has the developed world's highest industrial power prices
“The highest industrial electricity prices in the developed world, bar none, second highest domestic electricity prices second to Germany.”
Lonsdale: Mississippi has a higher GDP per capita than the UK
“And in Mississippi, I think, is our poorest state right nearby, and you think of Mississippi, and you don't think of wealthy people, and it's wealthier now than the UK, obviously.”
Lonsdale: Tech startup formations in China have collapsed over four years
“You've seen the number of tech starts have collapsed over the last four years in China.”
Lonsdale: Chinese models now dominate global open-source AI
“Their open source models in the world, for example, are now dominated by the Chinese.”
Stitt claims there is no evidence needle exchanges curb drug use
“We don't see any evidence that that's gonna curb drug use by, you know, giving them more, more needles.”
Lonsdale claims over 48 district attorneys funded the Wren Collective
“More than 48 DAs were caught specifically funding the Wren collective around this.”
Levi: Studios Fed 150,000 Scripts into an AI Model
“And the studios have already fed a 150,000 of the best scripts ever written into an AI model.”
Schmitt: 18 to 24 Year Olds Vote Republican More Than Past Generations
“And I also think you'd look at younger voters right now, especially, you know, 18 to 24 year olds who live through these dark, crazy times. They're, I mean, they're the most conservative, or they vote Republican more than any generation previous to them, becau…”
Schmitt: Coca-Cola held training sessions on being 'less white'
“Coca-Cola, for example, was having sessions about how people had to explain how they wanted to be less white.”
Schmitt: Missouri holds a $24B legal judgment against China
“Missouri has currently a twenty four billion dollar judgment against communist China that is, you know, can, you can seize assets.”
Lonsdale: Venezuela is manufacturing weapons for United States adversaries
“It's producing with manufacturing plants, weapons for our adversaries.”