why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale: Decoupling from China would push iPhone costs to thousands for years
“Like an iPhone would cost right now a few thousand dollars probably for the next three, four or five years, you know, each, if we didn't have China for now, and then eventually we could get cost down a lot more, but there's going to be like a huge disruption i…”
Insight
Cowen: Globalization Inherently Generates Higher Income Inequality
“There's gonna be a lot of inequality the more global is the world, right? Because you're selling iPhones, you know, everywhere, not just to the, your local city. So that's a fact. It's not going away.”
Opinion
The first-generation Apple iPhone functioned terribly as an actual telephone
“The iPhone was the greatest thing except for a phone, right? Cause the phone really sucked. Cause we were learning, right? By figuring out what to do with how to make good cameras even.”
Assertion Supported
Only three of the 150 chips in an iPhone are advanced nodes
“Even if you look at your iPhone, there's about 150, 160 chips in that iPhone. Only three of them are advanced. Your processor, your memory, and the baseband from Qualcomm. That talks to the cell tower. Everything else, GPS, screen, power management, battery, a…”
Opinion
General Magic attempted to build the iPhone 15 years too early
“I think what happened was in general magic was, you know, trying to make, you know, when you look back on it, the iPhone, 15 years too early.”