The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale: Decoupling from China would push iPhone costs to thousands for years
“Like an iPhone would cost right now a few thousand dollars probably for the next three, four or five years, you know, each, if we didn't have China for now, and then eventually we could get cost down a lot more, but there's going to be like a huge disruption i…”
Joe Lonsdale Nov 30, 2023 ▶ 35:45 Ep 72: Illegal Chinese Bio Labs & Secret Police Inside America! Congressman Mike Gallagher · Joe Lonsdale
Insight
Cowen: Globalization Inherently Generates Higher Income Inequality
“There's gonna be a lot of inequality the more global is the world, right? Because you're selling iPhones, you know, everywhere, not just to the, your local city. So that's a fact. It's not going away.”
Tyler Cowen Feb 16, 2022 ▶ 35:32 Reviving a Culture of Innovation with Tyler Cowen · Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
The first-generation Apple iPhone functioned terribly as an actual telephone
“The iPhone was the greatest thing except for a phone, right? Cause the phone really sucked. Cause we were learning, right? By figuring out what to do with how to make good cameras even.”
Tony Fadell May 20, 2022 ▶ 25:22 Legendary iPod & iPhone Creator Tony Fadell Shares His Design Secrets · Joe Lonsdale
Assertion Supported
Only three of the 150 chips in an iPhone are advanced nodes
“Even if you look at your iPhone, there's about 150, 160 chips in that iPhone. Only three of them are advanced. Your processor, your memory, and the baseband from Qualcomm. That talks to the cell tower. Everything else, GPS, screen, power management, battery, a…”
Dmitri Alperovitch Aug 22, 2024 ▶ 48:59 He Predicted Putin's Invasion. Now He Predicts When China Will Invade Taiwan. · Joe Lonsdale
Opinion
General Magic attempted to build the iPhone 15 years too early
“I think what happened was in general magic was, you know, trying to make, you know, when you look back on it, the iPhone, 15 years too early.”
Tony Fadell May 20, 2022 ▶ 1:38 Legendary iPod & iPhone Creator Tony Fadell Shares His Design Secrets · Joe Lonsdale
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