The Calls

⏳ Open 📼 The record

Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions
0due for another look
0closed calls →
1204days to next prediction date
Everyone Kevin Mandia (4)Jake DeWitt (4)Maria Corina Machado (3)Ken Langone (3)Congressman Mike Gallagher (3)Balaji Srinivasan (3)Tony Fadell (2)Tim Urban (2)Marc Andreessen (2)Joe Lonsdale (2)Jared Isaacman (2)Gene Berdachevsky (2)
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today 2026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 2 calls beyond 2029 →

Next up (2)

1204 days left 2029-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2029
Urban: Robot nannies and housekeepers will arrive in the 2020s
“Housekeepers, robot nannies and housekeepers will be in the twenties.”
Tim Urban Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 54:28 How AI Might Solve the Alien Mystery: Thought Leader's Paradox · Joe Lonsdale
4856 days left 2039-12-31
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2039
Tim Urban predicts humans will land on Mars around 2035
“I would, if I had to guess now, I'd say, you know, 20, 35, something around there.”
Tim Urban Feb 14, 2025 ▶ 52:42 How AI Might Solve the Alien Mystery: Thought Leader's Paradox · Joe Lonsdale
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