The Calls

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Dated predictions and their status, on one timeline. Left of today: already assessed. Green held up, red didn't hold up, amber partly. Right: still open; when a dot's date hits, the ledger checks it again against the public record.

2open predictions

0due for another look

1closed calls →

1569days to next prediction date

Everyone Kevin Mandia (4)Jake DeWitt (4)Maria Corina Machado (3)Ken Langone (3)Congressman Mike Gallagher (3)Balaji Srinivasan (3)Tony Fadell (2)Tim Urban (2)Marc Andreessen (2)Joe Lonsdale (2)Jared Isaacman (2)Gene Berdachevsky (2)

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today 2026202720282029 OctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSep 2 calls beyond 2029 →

Next up (2)

1569 days left 2030-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2030

Berdichevsky predicts battery costs will reach $50/kWh by 2030

“And so you can plot that out and you can see the costs. If technology improves trending to kind of 50 bucks a kilowatt hour, which would have been unthinkable to people, you know just a few years ago. I mean, a hundred seemed like a real stretch for everybody.…”

Gene Berdachevsky Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 30:28 He Built Tesla's FIRST Roadster Battery. Find Out What He's Building Next! · Joe Lonsdale

8874 days left 2050-12-31

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2050

Berdichevsky predicts most fossil fuel use will disappear by 2050

“I think by the middle of the century, I'm very, very confident that most fossil fuel fuel use will go away.”

Gene Berdachevsky Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 25:06 He Built Tesla's FIRST Roadster Battery. Find Out What He's Building Next! · Joe Lonsdale

Closed calls (1) the full record →

Prediction Held up

Berdichevsky: Automotive scale will make lithium-ion dominate electrical grid storage

“Being somebody who's in lithium ion, I actually think the scale of automotive will also lead lithium ion to dominate most of the grid.”

Gene Berdachevsky Apr 21, 2022 ▶ 22:23 He Built Tesla's FIRST Roadster Battery. Find Out What He's Building Next! · Joe Lonsdale

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