small businesses

10 statements across 6 episodes · 8 bullish · 1 bearish · 5 people on the record · first statement Dec 30, 2025 by Joe Lonsdale · across every show →

Everything said about small businesses, oldest first

Dec 30, 2025 neutral
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Lonsdale: One Million Small Businesses Will Change Hands as Boomers Retire
“I think there's actually like a million small businesses that are going to change hands because baby boomers are retiring right now.”
Joe Lonsdale Dec 30, 2025 ▶ 28:30 These Jobs Will Skyrocket in the AI Economy · Joe Lonsdale
Mar 13, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Loeffler: Small businesses drive 40% of GDP and create two-thirds of new jobs
“Well, that's right, on a GDP basis, and about the same amount from an employment rate basis, so small businesses create two out of every three new jobs, so it's incredibly, incredibly powerful economic engine for the country.”
Kelly Loeffler Mar 13, 2026 ▶ 1:53 Exposing a Billion Dollar Fraud Scandal (Using Palantir) · Joe Lonsdale
Mar 27, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaplan: AI will cause an explosion in small businesses
“One thing I'll go on the record on is I think there's going to be an explosion in small businesses. I think AI is actually like an extremely small business enabling technology in particular”
Russell Kaplan Mar 27, 2026 ▶ 47:15 How AI Agents Are Creating 12X Productivity Gains · Joe Lonsdale
Apr 9, 2026 negative
Assertion Partly supported
Lonsdale: 32% of Small Businesses Cannot Find Reliable, Punctual Workers
“32% of these businesses you're seeing, 32% of millions of businesses have a job opening, but they can't find someone who's willing to come and just work hard and show up on time.”
Joe Lonsdale Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 20:33 How to Turn $15K Into $1M in 2026 · Joe Lonsdale
Apr 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2036
Fry: Small Businesses Will Create Over 80% of Jobs Next Decade
“I believe that in the next decade, they'll rise to four out of five, five out of six jobs.”
Will Fry Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 34:12 How to Turn $15K Into $1M in 2026 · Joe Lonsdale
Apr 9, 2026 positive
Assertion Supported
Fry: Small businesses created two of every three jobs in past 25 years
“The past 25 years, two out of every three jobs have been created from small businesses.”
Will Fry Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 34:07 How to Turn $15K Into $1M in 2026 · Joe Lonsdale
Apr 9, 2026 bullish
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Fry: Tech Workers Are Leaving Silicon Valley to Start AI-Driven Local Businesses
“And we've seen a lot of folks leave Silicon Valley and start new small businesses. So start from scratch using AI and absolutely clean up shop in their towns.”
Will Fry Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 22:05 How to Turn $15K Into $1M in 2026 · Joe Lonsdale
Apr 9, 2026 positive
Insight
Fry: SMBs Should Use AI for Revenue Growth, Not Cost Cutting
“A lot of people think of AI and they think of cost cutting and they're like, oh, we can really optimize our P and L. We can use AI, automate all these jobs, cut costs. That's not the right lens to look at small businesses. And it's not right for really one rea…”
Will Fry Apr 9, 2026 ▶ 13:18 How to Turn $15K Into $1M in 2026 · Joe Lonsdale
Apr 17, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Melas-Kyriazi: AI Back-Office Automation Will Drive Explosion of Small Businesses
“I think what we're seeing now, which is really exciting is this explosion of small businesses getting started. And I think that people are going to be able to spend more time on what they're truly passionate about, probably spend more time on things that direc…”
John Milles-Kiriazzi Apr 17, 2026 ▶ 34:17 How AI Agents are Changing Investing · Joe Lonsdale
Jul 9, 2026 bullish
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kaplan: AI will trigger an explosion in new small businesses
“I actually think one thing I'll go on the record on is I think there's gonna be an explosion in small businesses.”
Russell Kaplan Jul 9, 2026 ▶ 4:27 Why AI is Bigger Than the Industrial Revolution
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