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20VC Assertion Contradicted
Hulme: Microsoft acquired Inflection primarily for its 12,000 H100 GPU cluster
“I do not believe that Microsoft were buying the Pi model. I think Microsoft are GPU constrained, and we're buying a cluster of 12,000 H-one hundreds.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 49:13 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe May 2027
Hulme: 90% of AI foundation model capital will go to zero
“Foundation models, 90%. Application layer, 70%. And in the incumbents, the value going into the incumbents, only 20%.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 54:01 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2027
Hulme: Less venture capital will be available in two years
“I actually think there's probably going to be less money in the market for venture in two years than there is today.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 18:57 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Hulme: High UK energy costs prevent competitive AI model training
“We have the, probably the highest electricity or energy costs in the whole of the Western world. In the UK. That just does not enable you to do a great job of this. It doesn't even enable you to do a great job of training foundation models. Like, if the blende…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 24:38 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hulme: Defense tech collaboration will become increasingly vital over 20 years
“I'm going to say working with the military is important, and it's going to become more important over the next 20 years.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 1:14:54 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Open
Hulme: Wiz's $32B acquisition valuation is ~7% of Israel's GDP
“The Wiz Acquisition, thirty two billion. That's like seven percent of Israel's GDP.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 19:42 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tom Hulme: Hardware is under-invested and massive value will accrue there
“I'll go hardware. I think if you take a hardware company out to market, the people, investors, immediate response is, oh, that's really hard. But the paradox about venture capital is you need it to be difficult to be valuable. You need to be contrarian and rig…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:22:31 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Tom Hulme: Meta will own 14% of global Nvidia H100s by year-end
“He'll have 350,000 H-one hundreds by the end of this year. That is 14% of the world's H-one hundreds, and he's going to open source the result.”
Tom Hulme May 24, 2024 ▶ 3:17 Sam Altman, Arthur Mensch and more discuss:Which Startups Are Threatened vs Enabled by OpenAI?|E1156 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Hulme: Mark Zuckerberg will own 14% of world's H100s by year-end
“He'll have 350,000 H-one hundreds by the end of this year. That is 14% of the world's H-one hundreds, and he's going to open source the result.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 45:55 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Hulme: Nothing will reach $600M revenue in 2024
“I think they'll do six hundred million dollars revenue this year. They've sold three, three million devices so far”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 1:10:31 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Tom Hulme: Tech spinout cycles are compressing from 5-10 years to 18-24 months
“Businesses are growing faster than they ever had before. So I think those cycles will happen quicker, quicker. Previous, it might be five or 10 years that you start to see the best senior operators come out and build a company. Now it might be 18 months, 24 mo…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 54:09 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Contradicted
Hulme: bolt.new reached $40M revenue run rate in three months
“Like bolt.new, forty million dollars revenue run rate in three months.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:11:23 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Not checkable as stated
Hulme: Most impactful UK tech companies next decade will be AI-native and private
“I think we'll look back and the companies that are most impactful in the decade will have grown in the UK and they won't be names we know today because these companies are growing faster than ever. So they'll be AI native, incredibly fast growing businesses, a…”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 1:25:13 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Hulme: Priced rounds are declining as founders avoid valuation write-downs
“Oh, I think we're seeing that firstly price rounds are less common because people aren't willing to accept the new and fair valuation. So you get convertible notes.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 7:16 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Prediction Held up
Hulme: The tech IPO window will not open anytime soon
“Particularly since kind of the IPO window isn't open anytime soon.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 9:22 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hulme: Pre-2015 angel investments achieved 4.5x DPI and 24x TVPI
“You could take a batch of my angel investments Pre- twenty-fifteen. And I tracked this roughly 27 portfolio companies, about 4.5 X DPI, about 25 X or 24 X TVPI.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 11:36 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Hulme: GoCardless has reached nine-figure annual recurring revenue
“Look, GoCardless would be an example where the business kind of nine figure ARR, they have just continued growing.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 14:12 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Hulme: 60% to 70% of Fortune 500 companies use Microsoft Copilot
“If you look at the proportion of the, like, Fortune 500 that are using Copilot, I think it's 60 or 70% I heard last week.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 54:18 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Hulme: Sequoia Capital Names Its Meeting Rooms After Its LP Institutions
“One of the things I admire about Sequoia is that their meeting rooms, I think, are named after their LPs.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 47:03 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Open · timeframe Apr 2026
Hulme: Norway's Sovereign Wealth Fund Operates a Real-Time Public Ticker
“The other thing they do is they effectively have a stock Ticker so that everyone can see in real time what that sort of national wealth is.”
Tom Hulme Apr 10, 2025 ▶ 47:33 Tom Hulme & Stan Boland: Lessons from Jensen Huang & How to Fix the UK Tech Ecosystem · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
20VC Assertion Supported
Hulme: Currencycloud sold to Visa for $1 billion
“We invested in CurrencyCloud. Mike Lavin, the founder, I think had 30 years experience in fintech. He was so well placed to understand actually what those buyers wanted and ultimately sold the business to Visa for a billion dollars.”
Tom Hulme May 8, 2024 ▶ 1:01:18 Tom Hulme: Lessons from a 24x Angel Track Record, 275x on Robinhood & Making Billions on Uber |E1150 · 20VC with Harry Stebbings
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