The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: Retail private equity investors will face disappointing net returns
“There are going to be a lot of doctors and dentists who are pretty disappointed 10 years from now with the net returns that they're getting from their financial advisor plowing their capital into private equity. Gross returns might be fine, but between the fee…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 49:02 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Sullivan: Buyout firms routinely overpaid at 20-plus times EBITDA during COVID
“Buyout firms routinely paying 20 plus times EBITDA for quality businesses, but businesses that probably should not trade at that high valuation. Doing that in a world where interest rates were zero, and there was a lot of money being pumped into the economy by…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 50:05 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: Private equity will struggle to drive alpha like the past 40 years
“It's going to be very difficult for private equity, broadly defined venture and buyout and related stuff to be the single defining alpha creating strategy for institutional investors the way that it's been over the last 3540 years.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 54:12 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: Systematically finding 20%+ returning VC funds will be very hard
“I'm sure there will be times in the future where we have venture booms again, but the odds of systematically finding firms that are Consistently producing 20% plus returns and the occasional 80% returning fund. It's going to be very, very hard for that to happ…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 55:47 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: One peak dot-com VC fund exited its losing investments at 3x
“One of our venture capitalists had a famous quote, our winners we sell for 20 times our money, and our losers we sell for three times our money. And it was true.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 28:08 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Contradicted
Sullivan: Buyout firms relying on SBA leverage generally perform poorly
“One thing I never liked was we would have buyout firms come to us and talk about Oh, we're going to get all this leverage from the Small Business Administration. That's going to allow us to goose the returns and do all this clever stuff. To me, that was always…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 47:56 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: KKR's RJR Nabisco buyout proved to be a mediocre deal
“Some of those deals didn't wind up working out very well, and RJR proved to be a very mediocre deal for KER.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 20:21 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: PE adopted EBITDA in the 1990s to mask rising valuation multiples
“There was a time, probably in the early nineties, where people stopped talking about EBIT multiples, earnings before interest in taxes, and started talking about EBITDA multiples, heading in depreciation and amortization. I think they hoped nobody would notice…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 20:46 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Sullivan: GP-led secondaries originated around 2010 to resolve zombie funds
“Some of the original GP secondaries came out of that world. That's how that whole phenomenon started, that you had these zombie funds in the 2000 ten-ish era, where it was clear that there was no way for the GP to earn a carry, but There needed to be some kind…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 45:06 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Sullivan: Yale endowment grew from $1.75B to $40B during his tenure
“It was one and three quarter billion when I started and over forty billion when I left.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 7:59 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Partly supported
Sullivan: Yale was an early backer of Sequoia, Kleiner Perkins, and Mayfield
“Yale was already an investor with some of the preeminent firms in Silicon Valley and Boston. Sequoia, Kleiner, Perkins, Mayfield, people like that.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 8:26 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Sullivan: Scaled private equity firms are fragmenting into niche sub-verticals
“Some of the firms that verticalized 10 or 12 years ago are now creating sub verticals. The industrial team is not the industrial team anymore. There's the aerospace team, and the packaging team, and whatever else.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 17:20 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: During dot-com boom, some VC funds saw 90% of deals profit
“They'd have funds where 90% of the companies they invested in were profitable deals.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 28:01 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Not checkable as stated
Sullivan: Yale's VC managers rapidly grew from $200M to $1B funds
“Pretty much all of the venture firms we worked with, if in 1995, they were managing a two hundred million dollar fund. By 1999, they were managing a billion dollar fund. And then they were investing the billion dollar fund in nine months, which again, proved t…”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 29:31 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
CAPITAL ALLOCATORS Assertion Supported
Sullivan: Swensen's 1985 Yale hiring received no Wall Street Journal coverage
“When David Swenson got the job in 1985, there were no articles in the Wall Street Journal about him getting a job at Yale Endowment.”
Tim Sullivan Jul 14, 2025 ▶ 7:01 Tim Sullivan – Yale's Private Portfolio (EP.456)
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