The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

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MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Contradicted
Smith: US Longevity Gap with G7 Is Driven Primarily by Diseases of Despair
“America is falling behind some of the other, like, G-seven nations around longevity, but I thought it was because generally people were dying earlier but it's actually due to these things called diseases of despair. So just like alcoholism drugs, etc. But if y…”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 5:41 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
a16z Assertion Supported
Gas app's exclusive Today Show segment generated only 1,000 downloads
“Prior to the acquisition, Nikita, the founder went on the today show and had this big exclusive segment, which in the past would have been like, Huge for an application or a company. And he said he thinks it generated a thousand downloads.”
Steph Smith Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 13:24 The State of Apps with Olivia Moore
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Half of for-profit US assisted living facilities generate 20%+ returns
“There are 31,000 assisted living facilities in the United States. Four out of every five are run as for profits and half of all the operators in the industry are clearing annual returns of 20% or more.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 15:53 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: eVTOL is the first new FAA aircraft category in nearly 80 years
“They started approving these electric Vertical takeoff and landing companies, the EV tool companies, and again, that was in the news, but what wasn't covered as much was the fact that this was the first new category of aircraft in nearly 80 years”
Steph Smith Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 11:04 5 under-the-radar trends (+ our business ideas)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Waymo already accounts for 20% of Austin Uber rides
“Waymo's are already taking up 20% of Uber rides in Austin”
Steph Smith Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 15:21 5 under-the-radar trends (+ our business ideas)
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: An AI-written book will top NYT bestseller list in her lifetime
“I wouldn't be surprised if that happens within my lifetime, certainly”
Steph Smith Nov 22, 2022 ▶ 1:23:32 Neal Stephenson on the Future of the Metaverse
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Partly supported
Smith: US spends 0.8% of federal budget and $50B+ on kidney dialysis
“It was basically that .8% of the US budget is spent on kidney dialysis, which was basically three times NASA. So all these people need dialysis. It's like, I think Medicare spends over fifty billion dollars annually on dialysis and other related treatments, wh…”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 6:37 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Not checkable as stated
Steph Smith: Socialization and Strava-like features will emerge for CGMs
“I think there should be a Strava for CGMs. Now that more people are using it, even during just that trial period of a month of learning, like, I think being able to kind of socialize what you're learning, but also compete in a way that's what Strava is. Like, …”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 32:15 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Partly supported
Smith: Human happiness follows a U-shaped smile curve across age
“People tend to be happy early in life. And then in mid, mid years, there's this like, they call it the smile curve. Cause like generally they become a little less happy. And then that curve goes like up and up and up as people get older, which is really intere…”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 56:24 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steph Smith: People Spend More Time Organizing Second Brains Than Using Them
“Some people spend more time organizing their second brain than actually using it.”
Steph Smith Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 9:01 Can AI Truly Unlock Your Second Brain?
a16z Assertion Not publicly verifiable
a16z Offers Employees Q-Bio Health Scans and Five-Week Firm Shutdowns
“I just wanted to share that this episode was actually inspired by some of the unique perks that I had never seen before until I joined A-Suite C. That includes a full body health scan that we get from Q-Bio or five weeks of full firm shutdown. Yes, that's righ…”
Steph Smith Jul 7, 2023 ▶ 1:54 Polarizing Talent: Navigating 2023's Landscape
a16z Assertion Not publicly verifiable
Anduril's Palmer Luckey Funds Employee Side Projects to Attract Ambitious Talent
“One that I like is Andrew Palmer Luckey says that he offers his employees, tools and technology for all of their side projects, not just their work projects, because he thinks that'll attract ambitious people.”
Steph Smith Jul 7, 2023 ▶ 15:05 Polarizing Talent: Navigating 2023's Landscape
a16z Assertion Supported
Smith: US healthcare service prices can vary by up to 30x
“Service prices can range up to 30 X.”
Steph Smith May 9, 2023 ▶ 0:59 When Two Giants Intersect: Healthcare Meets Fintech
a16z Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Generative AI value must ladder into practical commercial use cases
“It's fun to play around in these tools, but ultimately there, while there is a market for just interesting art in the world, a lot of this will need to ladder back into, you know, whether it's blog post sharing images, whether it's creating, you know, the next…”
Steph Smith Mar 9, 2023 ▶ 28:43 Unlocking Creativity with Prompt Engineering
a16z Assertion Supported
Web-based AI avatar tools preceded Lensa using identical underlying APIs
“So there were at least, I'm aware of two or three different web-based applications, ProfilePicture.ai and then Avatar.ai as well, which had come out first with this idea of creating personalized avatars. I believe all, all of these products are based off of th…”
Steph Smith Feb 9, 2023 ▶ 32:27 The State of Apps with Olivia Moore
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steph Smith: Social Media Shifted From Social Graphs to Interest Graphs
“Social media is not really social anymore in a way. It's kind of gone from the social graph where you followed your friends and your family, and then now it's an interest graph where you follow just things that this algorithm is serving you.”
Steph Smith Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 9:34 AI and the Creator Economy with Karen X Cheng
MY FIRST MILLION Prediction Not checkable as stated
Smith: Hard kombucha will take off nationally in 3 to 5 years
“And I think it's just, it's going to take off. And so someone in like Wyoming, go, go start a hard kombucha brand. I think you're going to kill it in, you know, the next three to five years.”
Steph Smith Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 10:32 Why You Need a Chief Automation Officer | My First Million #208 with Steph Smith
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: Many subscription box startups obtain product inventory for free
“Actually a lot of subscription boxes just get their products for free because these companies want to be in it.”
Steph Smith Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 39:39 Why You Need a Chief Automation Officer | My First Million #208 with Steph Smith
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Partly supported
Smith: Most Common UK Age of Death Shifted from Infancy to 87
“In, in the UK in 1965, the most common age of death was the first year. That's perhaps not surprising, but today the most common age to die is 87.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 2:33 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Partly supported
Smith: Men's cardiovascular mortality exceeds women's before 55, then reverses post-menopause
“Below the age of 55, cardiovascular illness is a more likely cause of mortality in men. And then after 55, again, around that menopause stage, it basically reverses, because what menopause is, is like, I'm obviously oversimplifying, it's just like a super, sup…”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 7:34 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: 6,000 US women reach menopause every day
“And just due to the nature of, like, you could say, TAM, 6000 women in the U.S. Hit menopause every single day.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 8:21 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Japanese nursing homes grew nearly 50% over the past decade
“In Japan, the number of nursing homes has risen nearly 50% over the last decade”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 11:46 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Partly supported
Smith: Over eight million abandoned houses in Japan are given away or sold cheaply
“There's over, there's tons of articles on this, over eight million IKEA's that are being given away by the government or again, sometimes for very cheap.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 13:16 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: US assisted living median costs rose 31% above inflation from 2004 to 2021
“From 2004 to 20 21, the median annual price of assisted living increased 31% faster than inflation and has hit 54,000 dollars per year.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 15:41 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Robert Marchand broke cycling records at 101 and competed until 105
“He passed away at a 109, but he at a 101, Was still cycling, and he broke some records at a 101, and he decided that wasn't enough. So he then worked with a bunch of trainers and tried to break his existing record. At a 103, he hit 27 kilometers an hour on a b…”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 21:03 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Steph Smith: Dexcom's Stello is the first OTC FDA-approved CGM
“Their new product, Stello, is the first over-the-counter FDA-approved CGM. This was just as of, like, last month end of August.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 28:48 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steph Smith: 30-second podcast mention drove six figures for Internet Pipes
“Off that I'm pretty sure it's hard to tie directly. Like, but for sure, six figures.”
Steph Smith Apr 14, 2026 ▶ 57:40 Steph Smith: “This opportunity is totally overlooked”
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Steph Smith: 2.5 billion people projected to experience hearing loss by 2050
“So the stat or the digit is that nearly 2.5 billion people by 20 50 are expected to experience hearing loss. With over seven hundred million requiring rehabilitation.”
Steph Smith Apr 24, 2025 ▶ 3:24 5 under-the-radar trends (+ our business ideas)
a16z Assertion Supported
Smith: First new US nuclear reactor in 30 years opened in 2023
“In 2023, we saw America's first newly built reactor come online in over three decades.”
Steph Smith Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 1:28 A Nuclear Comeback: Are New Reactors the Answer?
a16z Assertion Supported
Steph Smith: US government announced intent to triple nuclear power by 2050
“The US government itself recently announcing its intent to triple nuclear power production by 20 50.”
Steph Smith Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 1:35 A Nuclear Comeback: Are New Reactors the Answer?
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Microgravity Enables Novel Pharmaceutical Compounds Impossible to Synthesize on Earth
“The physics when you're on earth due to gravity and some of the other forces that don't exist in space results in you not being able to create certain chemical structures, and that impacts the way that drugs can be basically ingested or administered. And so th…”
Steph Smith Dec 11, 2023 ▶ 18:15 5 Internet Goldmines To Spot The Next $1B Trend | Steph Smith (#529)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: 70% of Teenagers in the United States Own Apple AirPods
“70% of all U.S. Teens have AirPods.”
Steph Smith Dec 11, 2023 ▶ 39:51 5 Internet Goldmines To Spot The Next $1B Trend | Steph Smith (#529)
a16z Assertion Supported
Steph Smith: Knowledge workers spend 2.5 hours daily searching for information
“Knowledge workers apparently spend 2.5 hours a day, which is around 30% of their time in a workday searching for information.”
Steph Smith Sep 15, 2023 ▶ 2:40 Can AI Truly Unlock Your Second Brain?
a16z Assertion Supported
Smith: Fee-for-Service Model Has Driven US Healthcare Since the 1960s
“Unfortunately, the American healthcare system has instead been grounded in fee-for-service models since the 19 sixties, incentivizing providers to focus on quantity rather than quality of care.”
Steph Smith Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 1:48 These People Are Engaging Their Doctors 45x a Year
a16z Assertion Supported
Smith: Value-Based Care Investment Quadrupled During the Pandemic
“Investment in value-based care quadrupled during the pandemic, while new hospital construction remained unchanged.”
Steph Smith Jul 14, 2023 ▶ 4:14 These People Are Engaging Their Doctors 45x a Year
a16z Assertion Contradicted
Smith: None of 1989's top 20 companies remain in top 20 today
“I saw this infographic that basically showed the largest companies in 1989. The top 10 or top 20, none of them are in the top 20 today.”
Steph Smith May 25, 2023 ▶ 11:07 The Rise of the Exponential Organization with Peter Diamandis and Salim Ismail
a16z Assertion Supported
Masad: A 13-year-old built a crypto mining operation on Replit
“One is recently shared a thirteen-year-old kid that set up a sizable crypto mining operation via Replit.”
Steph Smith Feb 16, 2023 ▶ 4:48 The 1000x Developer with Amjad Masad
a16z Assertion Supported
Smith: A headline claimed airplanes were a million years away in 1903
“I think I read another headline that said it would take over a million years for the airplane to be successful, only to which I believe the Wright brothers took flight two months later.”
Steph Smith Jan 12, 2023 ▶ 1:09:49 Building for Tomorrow with Jason Feifer
a16z Assertion Supported
Karen X Cheng Created the First AI-Generated Cosmopolitan Magazine Cover
“Her AI-generated Cosmo magazine cover, the first ever.”
Steph Smith Nov 9, 2022 ▶ 0:58 AI and the Creator Economy with Karen X Cheng
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Not checkable as stated
Smith: The Average Person Spends $1,500 Following a Breakup
“It was this stat, which is the average person spends one and a half thousand dollars after a breakup.”
Steph Smith Oct 13, 2022 ▶ 21:05 5 Business Ideas With High Demand & Low Supply | Start These In 2022 (#374)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Kirin Developed Electric Chopsticks Making Food Taste Saltier
“So Kirin, which is K-I-R-I-N, it's a company in Japan, and they partnered with a university, and they found a way to make, to basically use a super weak electrical current, both in bowls and chopsticks, so that when you're eating, something about the ionizatio…”
Steph Smith Oct 13, 2022 ▶ 1:05:45 5 Business Ideas With High Demand & Low Supply | Start These In 2022 (#374)
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Clothing Returns Cost Up to 66% of the Item Price
“And a return with clothing can cost up to 66% of the cost of an item.”
Steph Smith Mar 10, 2022 ▶ 15:57 3 Profitable Business Ideas You Should Start in 2022
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Washington National Cathedral Earns $100k Annually Leasing Tower to Motorola
“So a 100,000 a year just for access to their 234 foot tower.”
Steph Smith Mar 10, 2022 ▶ 20:20 3 Profitable Business Ideas You Should Start in 2022
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: Cloudflare Exec Performance Grants Scale Up to $979 Target
“Their first price target is 156 dollars, and it goes all the way up to 979 dollars. So this is what these execs internally are tracking towards.”
Steph Smith Mar 10, 2022 ▶ 28:04 3 Profitable Business Ideas You Should Start in 2022
MY FIRST MILLION Assertion Supported
Smith: SwagUp Is on Track for $55M in 2021 Sales
“This company Swag Up, they started in 2017. They did five K their first month, 3.3 million in their first year. And today they're on track to do fifty five million in sales. And the founder is 26 years old.”
Steph Smith Aug 12, 2021 ▶ 17:00 Why You Need a Chief Automation Officer | My First Million #208 with Steph Smith
a16z Assertion Not checkable as stated
Steph Smith: Andre Karpathy coined the term 'vibe coding'
“The term actually comes from Andre Karpathy, right, who is, like, extremely technical, like, is behind the LLMs that are actually helping people vibe code.”
Steph Smith Mar 13, 2025 ▶ 1:38 Vibe Coding is Here - How AI is Changing How We Build Online
a16z Assertion Supported
Steph Smith: Nuclear energy accounts for 20% of US electricity
“Nuclear energy accounts for 20% of the electricity in the United States.”
Steph Smith Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 1:02 A Nuclear Comeback: Are New Reactors the Answer?
a16z Assertion Supported
Smith: Salary transparency laws cover over 25% of the US workforce
“And now at least 10 states require it, with over a quarter of the US labor force covered by salary transparency legislation.”
Steph Smith Sep 21, 2023 ▶ 0:07 The Truth Behind Salary Transparency
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