The Ledger, every show

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks, across all 44 shows. Pick shows below, then mix any filter with any other.

shows every show 44 of 44
every show
clear all ✕
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2031
Sam Lessin: A novel virus will definitely be invented using AI
“The main fear is that a novel virus is, you know, invented, and then crispered, and we have serious problems. Which will definitely happen.”
Sam Lessin Jul 24, 2026 ▶ 16:35 Stripe Is Trying To Buy PayPal For $150b | OpenAI Cyber Incident, Frontier Model Economics, Peptides · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2029
Lessin predicts OpenAI equity value is headed to zero
“Guys, I've been saying OpenAI zero the entire time. And I'm gonna keep saying it.”
Sam Lessin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 24:30 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2029
Sam Lessin: Bay Area software jobs will drop 50% in three years
“200,000.”
Sam Lessin Feb 20, 2026 ▶ 43:52 OpenClaw vs Meta vs OpenAI: The Personal Agent Wars Heat Up · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Sam Lessin predicts NVIDIA stock will decline by 15% in 2026
“NVIDIA will be down 15%.”
Sam Lessin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 36:39 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2030
Lessin: Washington won't break up Big Tech because they're trading partners
“They're not going to break up the big tech companies because like, that's like the whole point is like they're trading partners of the big tech companies. They want to see them Win, in a lot of ways, on a global basis”
Sam Lessin Sep 26, 2025 ▶ 26:46 #118 Elon vs Altman: The $10B Capital War Reshaping Tech · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2028
Sam Lessin: Stripe has no interest in going public
“I would go super under on Stripe going out. Those guys are too smart. They have a totally different plan. They have no interest in the public market. And there's no point to them in going public. There's plenty of liquidity in their currency.”
Sam Lessin Aug 8, 2025 ▶ 12:20 #111 Figma, OpenAI, Canva: Meme Stock IPOs in Silicon Valley · More or Less Podcast
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Apr 2030
Sam Lessin predicts most sub-$50M seed funds will disappear without DPI
“I think what we're going to find is that, you know, a, The market, most of those funds are going away because they don't have that and they're not going to be.”
Sam Lessin Apr 26, 2025 ▶ 24:00 Is Venture Capital Broken? | Sam Lessin on TBPN
TBPN Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2030
Lessin: AI leverage will create one-person billion-dollar companies
“I totally buy the thesis that you're going to see individuals that have a lot of trust and brand and community and deeply understand a niche. Do things you haven't seen before. Like, I buy the one person billion dollar company thing. Like, I think that's real …”
Sam Lessin Mar 17, 2025 ▶ 24:21 The GREAT VC AI DEBATE between Slow Ventures and Greylock Partners.
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2040
Sam Lessin wagers $1M that no human sets foot on Mars by 2040
“I, a million dollars that a human has been on Mars by 2040. Like set foot, like planted the flag, like boot on sand. Like literally went out of a spaceship, like hung out, did a little dance and I'll bet you a million dollars.”
Sam Lessin Mar 14, 2025 ▶ 24:03 #90: Silicon Valley Unscripted: Billionaires, AI, and Interplanetary Exploration · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Sam Lessin: Google Antitrust Monopoly Decision Will Be Struck Down
“I personally think if this is, if the case ended up coming down, they, that the courts defined it as the search ad market was not a monopoly, but the search consumer was, and that I, my money says this gets struck down, which is why the stock isn't.”
Sam Lessin Jan 4, 2025 ▶ 13:37 #80: More or Less Holiday Special Pt. 2 (Crypto and Antitrust) · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2027
Lessin predicts federal antitrust search ruling against Google will be struck down
“So I personally think if this is, if the case ended up coming down, they, that the courts defined it as the search ad market was not a monopoly, but the search consumer was, and that I, my money says this gets struck down, which is why the stock isn't.”
Sam Lessin Aug 9, 2024 ▶ 16:28 #59: Google: Can it Outrun Regulation? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2026
Sam Lessin: Character AI will be displaced by platform incumbents
“Character AI, sayonara. Like, it's not like, you know, it's, these are cool ideas, but the reality is you have the data, you have the distribution. AI is an easy tack on for platforms. This is not disruptive. It's just extending what they can already do.”
Sam Lessin Sep 29, 2023 ▶ 8:33 #16: Why Your AI Startup is Probably Already Dead · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Sam Lessin predicts exactly one $500 billion-plus IPO will occur in 2026
“There will be one, but only one, five hundred billion dollar plus IPO.”
Sam Lessin Dec 19, 2025 ▶ 36:15 Hype vs Reality: Our 2026 Predictions for Tech, Media, and Culture · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2029
Sam Lessin: Google will not be broken up under Donald Trump
“That's not going to happen with Trump as president.”
Sam Lessin Nov 15, 2024 ▶ 11:27 #73: Elon to Lead DOGE, Bitcoin Surges & the Trump Alliance · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2027
Sam Lessin: Meta Will Not Release Its Orion AR Glasses Anytime Soon
“By all accounts, I've heard Orion's amazing, but they're not going to release it any time. Like, there's no, Device coming. It's going to be a long time on the burn, and I think it's a totally different story in terms of what the progression is there.”
Sam Lessin Oct 25, 2024 ▶ 30:03 #70: Is Apple’s Vision Out of Focus? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Oct 2028
Sam Lessin: Repealing Section 230 will cause platforms to ban news entirely
“The unintended consequences that I think politicians will think in their heads, oh, if we get rid of section two 30, it will force the companies to deal with fake information and fake news and AI news because we can't do it. Right. What it will do in fact and …”
Sam Lessin Oct 13, 2023 ▶ 25:29 #18: Why This Week Changed Social Media Forever · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2023
Sam Lessin: The SEC no longer considers Bitcoin or Ethereum securities
“I don't think even the SEC is claiming things like Bitcoin or Ethereum are actually securities anymore, right? You know, that we've kind of moved beyond that.”
Sam Lessin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 29:02 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Sep 2029
Sam Lessin: Luna Route's Fixed-Fee Unlimited Inference Will Go Bankrupt
“That's clearly going to go bankrupt.”
Sam Lessin Sep 4, 2026 ▶ 11:35 AI Agents Are Going Rogue. Should We Be Worried? │Claude vs. Grok, Tesla vs Waymo, Google vs Canva · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Aug 2031
Lessin: Users will stick with Airtable because of browser auto-complete habit
“Because they're thinking, because they type A on their keyboard, and it auto completes to Airtable.com, and so they will keep using it.”
Sam Lessin Aug 7, 2026 ▶ 29:14 Jeff Dean Leaves Google, Airtable Sells, and the Bag-Securing Era · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2029
Lessin: Venmo Will Never Make Money Despite Being an Important Product
“It's like how Venmo is an important product, but never will make money and never has.”
Sam Lessin Jul 31, 2026 ▶ 45:18 The Lilian Weng Saga, Mental Health Essay Then OpenAI | Meta's AI Ad, China Cracks DUV
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe May 2029
Sam Lessin predicts The New York Times' lawsuit against OpenAI will fail
“That lawsuit, I just can't imagine that OpenAI, the cat's out of the bag. It's just not going to happen, that that, that lawsuit will be successful.”
Sam Lessin May 1, 2026 ▶ 11:10 Elon Musk vs OpenAI Trial, Google Cloud Surge, Meta’s Blocked Acquisition, Anthropic Winning · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jul 2030
Lessin: JPMorgan will inevitably allow customers to hold Bitcoin
“It seems inevitable that JP Morgan will let you hold Bitcoin inside.”
Sam Lessin Jul 11, 2025 ▶ 7:19 #107 Crypto Isn’t for Everyone (And That’s a Good Thing) with Anatoly Yakovenko · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2028
Sam Lessin: Relaunched Digg cannot sustain ads, will rely on crypto
“They're gonna be so subscale. They're not gonna have an advertising model. It's gonna be like some sort of fucking coin bullshit thing. Like there's, you can't build an advertising model.”
Sam Lessin Mar 7, 2025 ▶ 14:38 #89: America’s Crypto Reserve, Nvidia’s $600M Hit & Digg’s Comeback · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2030
Sam Lessin: Chinese tech firms will reincorporate in Mexico to evade bans
“You're just gonna end up exactly what we already have in the physical world, where basically, you'll just have laundering through Mexico, right? Where, like, all the Chinese internet companies will become Mexican internet companies that Chinese people have to …”
Sam Lessin Jan 17, 2025 ▶ 37:12 #82: TikTok, Trade Wars & Tech 2.0 · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2027
Sam Lessin: Carta will relaunch secondary trading in two to three years
“They're going to wait two to three years until everyone forgets. And then they'll do it again. This is not over. They're just going to wait two to three years.”
Sam Lessin Jan 12, 2024 ▶ 10:00 #29: Is the Year of Startup Austerity Over? What Can Save the News Business? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Jun 2023
Sam Lessin: Market reaction to SEC crypto lawsuits is a 'nothing burger'
“Bitcoin's down. I'm looking right now in the last week, two percent. ETH is down a percent. Like, this is kind of a big nothing burger from how the crypto markets are digesting it, right?”
Sam Lessin Jun 12, 2023 ▶ 31:10 #1: Apple's head scratchy VR rollout; VR vs. AI in the interface wars; crypto's 'nothing burger'? · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Feb 2025
Lessin: Doubled Twitter follower count following meme coin launch
“It's just like the interesting experience I had is, you know, you end up, I like double the number of Twitter followers I have of these people who are interested in this economy.”
Sam Lessin Feb 7, 2025 ▶ 47:57 #85: The $250M Meme Coin Experiment · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe May 2024
Sam Lessin: BuzzFeed doubled its market cap to $70 million
“Somehow Buzzfeed has doubled its value from thirty million to seventy million dollars in market cap.”
Sam Lessin May 17, 2024 ▶ 42:31 #47: Algorithm-Proof Media and New Twists in the AI War · More or Less Podcast
MORE OR LESS Assertion Not yet assessed · timeframe Dec 2025
Sam Lessin: Vinod Khosla shares his personal email onstage and responds
“He literally gives everyone his email address on stage. He's like, if you want to email me, I respond to all the emails.”
Sam Lessin Dec 5, 2025 ▶ 5:55 Code Red, Bitcoin Costs, AWS Resurgence, and Waymo Safety (Not About AI... ish) · More or Less Podcast
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, thousands of episodes across every show transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.