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LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Krause: AI models cannot qualify new aerospace alloys without physical experiments
“A model can't figure out your way through the qualification pipeline for a new alloy for a jet turbine. You have to do experiments to do that”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 3:59 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: China will beat the US in R&D without automated self-driving labs
“That's how I think we can compete. That's the only way we can compete. I think if we want to move forward, if we do not do that, then they will continue to win because they will outpace us on cost and they will outpace us on people.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 1:04:51 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: Most AI models will be open source in five years
“We actually think in five years, most models will be open source.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 1:14:09 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Radical AI made 1,200 alloys in six months, with 300 novel
“We probably made 1200 alloys in the last five or six months. 300 of those alloys are new novel, never before seen in literature. And I'd say probably 10 of those alloys had performance that Has got us very excited on where they're going to be in the industry.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 10:14 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
DeepMind, Microsoft, and Meta are building or using physical science labs
“You see people like Google DeepMind, Microsoft, other places like Meta, either building their own lab or running experiments at someone else's lab to get that data back.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 22:14 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Radical AI models explore previously unpublished alloy families
“And then we have a second overlay on that chart of where our AI scientist has gone. And it's moved into elemental families or alloy families. No one has ever published on before.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 36:31 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Large Alloy Manufacturers Are Bearish on AI for Science Hype
“We do talk to a lot of companies in our field who make materials at scale in, in the alloy space who are thinking about this, and they look at it from a different lens. You know, they're not all hype on AI for science, and actually I'd say a lot of them are ki…”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 52:57 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Radical AI enables one PhD to run 10 simultaneous alloy campaigns
“We can have one PhD in metallurgy or alloys run 10 campaigns at a time. When I was in a PhD, we had 10 scientists focused on one campaign. One research problem at a time.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 1:02:13 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Heavy industries have used the same alloys for 50 years
“And there has been, you know, for the past 50 years, the same alloys used in all these industries. And the reason why is these long discovery timelines we talked about.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 11:30 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Krause: Commercial airplanes still use alloys from the 1950s to 1970s
“The alloys that are in the plane I flew here on, the 19 fifties, 19 sixties, 19 seventies, they might be coated with some CMZs from the late 19 nineties.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 12:27 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Krause: Hafnium prices surged 10x to 15x due to Chinese supply dominance
“Hafnium, 10 to 15 X in price, because China owns a majority of the supply chain, things like refractories, tampium, niobium.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 16:45 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: New semiconductor interconnect materials could deliver 2x to 10x+ efficiency gains
“I think you could in, in the near future with some of the systems that have been recommended today, you would see like a two to five X generally, especially when you think about integration in these materials, you need barrier layers and there's all these inte…”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 29:45 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: Novel alloys will reach defense and space systems in 3-5 years
“I would say something on the alloy side, like aerospace, we feel good opportunity three to five year timeline. Yeah, correct. I think it'll be an application, not like manned flight. Like, I don't think it'll be a jet turbine because of the constraints there w…”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 31:23 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Radical AI generates all candidate materials via AI
“For generation, all of our materials are generated by our AI scientists today.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 35:33 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Prediction Not checkable as stated
Krause: Science will experience a foundation model breakthrough within 2-3 years
“I think we're going to have that for science over the next two to three years. I do. Once discoveries start coming out and this field continues to mature even more.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 1:00:25 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Krause: Radical AI's Matrix VLM boosts scientific reasoning by 5-16%
“Now we have actually seen this, and you can go read the publication, it's on archive, where the public data set that we used actually is showing improvements, like five to 16%, I believe, on general scientific reasoning.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 1:11:09 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Krause: Aerospace alloy qualification is typically a ten-year process
“Typically a ten-year process today, you have to make a number of different ingots of material and run these kind of standardized tests on them to prove your material is usable in those systems.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 13:54 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Not checkable as stated
Krause: Radical AI's Robots Autonomously Transfer Samples Across Lab Tools
“The same way a human scientist would come in, you know, look at the results, take the sample out and go to the next one. Our robots do that today.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 26:20 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Open · timeframe Jun 2026
Krause: DARPA and GE Aerospace synthesized 500 alloys in 12 months
“The largest alloys program was the mock program. It was run by DARPA NGE Aerospace. They did 500 alloys in about 12 months. They did a bunch of kind of AI and simulations on the front end of that, and then they synthesized 500 new alloys in that whole year.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 42:49 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
LATENT SPACE Assertion Supported
Krause: Common aerospace alloy C-103 contains roughly 10% hafnium by weight
“It's about 10% weight or weight percentage of hafnium in C one or three, which is a very common aerospace and space alloy that's used today.”
Joseph Krause Jun 17, 2026 ▶ 16:57 🔬 The Limits of AI in Science - Why We Need Self-Driving Labs — Joseph Krause, Radical AI
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